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124 Fox Hill Dr
C- Composite 53.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

124 Fox Hill Dr · Center Point, AL 35215
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1979 0.34 ac lot $92/sqft · 6% above area Est $219k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in established Center Point within Jefferson County. Situated on a spacious lot, this home offers approximately 1,700+ square feet of comfortable living space with a functional layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a bright and inviting living area, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinet space, and generously sized bedrooms. The primary suite features a private bath, while additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to a large yard ideal for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxing evenings. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with easy access to Birmingham. Great opportunity for homeowners or investors—don’t miss your chance to make this property your own!

Key facts

  • Bright living area
  • Large yard
  • Spacious lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTBRIGHT LIVING AREAWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENLARGE YARDCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (5.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#193 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A, housing A; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,290 (5.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.28%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$218,590
List price
$149,900
Delta
-31.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 26th Ave NW 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,706 (+5%) 8mo $145,000 $85 64
2620 2nd Way NW 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,451 (-11%) 1mo $220,000 $152 62
2421 2nd St NE 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,661 (+2%) 8mo $196,000 $118 62
2813 4th Pl NW 0.52mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,530 (-6%) 4mo $220,000 $144 58
3105 3rd St NE 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,593 (-2%) 5mo $169,500 $106 57
3035 Apple Valley Ln 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,682 (+4%) 5mo $225,000 $134 54
3054 Wood Cir 0.52mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,763 (+9%) 8mo $235,000 $133 50
3009 Wood Cir 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,734 (+7%) 7mo $195,000 $112 49
2505 2nd St NW 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,386 (-15%) 7mo $134,500 $97 48
317 26th Ave NE 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,500 (-8%) 7mo $158,500 $106 46
508 26th Ave NW 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,383 (-15%) 2mo $197,600 $143 42
109 36th Ave NE 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-10%) 7mo $219,900 $151 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-16,925
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-5,094
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,413 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,835/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
127 Fox Hill Ct Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1418 $1,545 $1.09 43d 1 0.10mi
408 Sunhill Rd NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1290 $1,355 $1.05 43d 1 0.45mi
2629 Wood Dr NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,250 $1.04 43d 1 0.46mi
202 Westchester Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1374 $1,300 $0.95 23d 1 0.47mi
3309 Chase Ln Unit 3309 Birmingham, AL 2.0 2.0 1068 $1,000 $0.94 43d 1 0.56mi
2613 5th St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,150 $0.98 11d 1 0.58mi
2416 4th St NW Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 23d 1 0.62mi
3073 Panorama E Birmingham, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,275 $1.31 1d 20 0.62mi
2412 4th St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,150 $0.94 16d 1 0.62mi
2324 3rd St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1329 $1,300 $0.98 23d 1 0.75mi
532 26th Ave NW Center Point, AL 4.0 1.0 1644 $1,250 $0.76 43d 1 0.76mi
2245 3rd St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,100 $0.95 23d 1 0.78mi
319 23rd Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1284 $1,395 $1.09 43d 1 0.81mi
2320 5th St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,150 $1.05 43d 1 0.84mi
2655 6th St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,390 $0.87 2d 1 0.89mi
3814 Mars Ave Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 2063 $1,890 $0.92 43d 1 0.91mi
2245 3rd St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,100 $0.96 23d 1 0.92mi
605 Country View Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1698 $1,560 $0.92 43d 1 0.92mi
607 Country View Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1568 $1,550 $0.99 23d 1 0.93mi
2708 7th St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1451 $1,150 $0.79 43d 1 0.97mi
332 23rd Ave NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 2d 1 0.97mi
2229 3rd St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1215 $1,125 $0.93 23d 1 1.00mi
5992 Princess Blvd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,661 $1.14 43d 1 1.15mi
149 Martin Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,485 $1.28 23d 1 1.15mi
2249 4th Place Cir NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,400 $1.00 43d 1 1.16mi
424 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 1233 $1,300 $1.05 43d 1 1.18mi
340 40th Ave NE Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 2007 $1,650 $0.82 16d 1 1.19mi
457 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1658 $995 $0.60 21d 1 1.27mi
212 Saint John Dr NW Birmingham, AL 2.0 2.0 1445 $1,423 $0.98 14d 1 1.28mi
107 Sterling Ct NW Center Point, AL 2.0 1.5–2.0 1026 $1,062 $1.04 2d 4 1.29mi
2232 6th St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,150 $0.74 43d 1 1.29mi
345 Saint John Rd NW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 2142 $1,731 $0.81 2d 1 1.33mi
1905 2nd St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1258 $1,395 $1.11 43d 1 1.33mi
413 20th Ct NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1540 $1,375 $0.89 43d 1 1.36mi
113 19th Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,250 $0.89 11d 1 1.38mi
305 18th Ct NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1270 $1,100 $0.87 43d 1 1.46mi
1104 Oak Creek Trl NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1233 $1,543 $1.25 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $149,900 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-05-15
    price $149,900 836-char remark
    Show marketing remark (836 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in established Center Point within Jefferson County. Situated on a spacious lot, this home offers approximately 1,700+ square feet of comfortable living space with a functional layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a bright and inviting living area, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinet space, and generously sized bedrooms. The primary suite features a private bath, while additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to a large yard ideal for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxing evenings. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with easy access to Birmingham. Great opportunity for homeowners or investors—don’t miss your chance to make this property your own!

  10. 2026-04-18
    listed $154,900 Active 836-char remark
    Show marketing remark (836 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in established Center Point within Jefferson County. Situated on a spacious lot, this home offers approximately 1,700+ square feet of comfortable living space with a functional layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a bright and inviting living area, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinet space, and generously sized bedrooms. The primary suite features a private bath, while additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to a large yard ideal for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxing evenings. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with easy access to Birmingham. Great opportunity for homeowners or investors—don’t miss your chance to make this property your own!

  11. 2024-03-11
    soldstatus $7,216,000
  12. 2016-02-01
    soldstatus $26,016,500
  13. 2014-10-03
    soldstatus $45,500
  14. 2014-09-30
    soldstatus $45,250 736-char remark
    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    What an opportunity! This home has room for everyone!! Two story home on a full basement that features a finished den with a fireplace to enjoy on those chilly nights, bedroom and full bath for visiting family or friends. Main level offers a large living room for entertaining guests, kitchen with ample cabinet and counter space for preparing meals, just off the kitchen is the dining room for sharing meals, a half bath for your convenience. Enjoy a nice cup of coffee on the large open deck. On the second level you will find the master bedroom and master bath as well as 2 bedrooms and additional full bath. This home is conveniently located near schools, shopping and entertainment. AL Right of Redemption may affect this property.

  15. 2014-08-05
    listed $45,500 736-char remark
    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    What an opportunity! This home has room for everyone!! Two story home on a full basement that features a finished den with a fireplace to enjoy on those chilly nights, bedroom and full bath for visiting family or friends. Main level offers a large living room for entertaining guests, kitchen with ample cabinet and counter space for preparing meals, just off the kitchen is the dining room for sharing meals, a half bath for your convenience. Enjoy a nice cup of coffee on the large open deck. On the second level you will find the master bedroom and master bath as well as 2 bedrooms and additional full bath. This home is conveniently located near schools, shopping and entertainment. AL Right of Redemption may affect this property.

  16. 2004-02-09
    soldstatus $110,250
  17. 1988-03-01
    soldstatus $59,451

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,835 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,835 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,955
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,835
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,356
− Management
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,100
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$264
After-tax cash flow
$1,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Center Point

Score
63/100
State rank
#193
US rank
#15671

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Center Point, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
43,903
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,903
Household income
$52,793
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
1729.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.97%
Current HPI
215.0607
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+152.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $149,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $154,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $7,216,000 Public Records
  • 2016-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,016,500 Public Records
  • 2014-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
  • 2014-09-30 Sold (MLS) $45,250 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2014-08-05 Listed $45,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2004-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $110,250 Public Records
  • 1988-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,451 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,835 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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