149 Newkirk St · New London, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home offering comfort, functionality, and timeless appeal. The spacious layout features abundant natural light, a thoughtfully designed kitchen, and inviting living areas perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Bedrooms provide ample space and storage. The detached garage includes a versatile loft, ideal for storage, hobbies, or workspace needs. Enjoy peace of mind with newer furnace, roof, water heater, and windows. The standout feature is the expansive backyard -- perfect for outdoor gatherings, recreation, or future improvements. Conveniently located in town, this property offers both accessibility and a peaceful setting.
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Newer roof
- Newer water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1.5 spaces); Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
- Construction: Wood siding
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Range; Gas water heater; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (7.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#797 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- New London Local (rural): math 47% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #452 of 656 in OH (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Huron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Huron County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.42%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,857
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -21.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Cedar St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (+5%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $98 | 76 |
| 140 High St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,696 (-1%) | 9mo | $182,500 | $108 | 75 |
| 201 E Main St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,822 (+6%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 92 S Main St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,812 (+6%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $131 | 66 |
| 159 E Main St | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+8%) | 8mo | $96,500 | $52 | 65 |
| 68 Prospect St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,672 (-2%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $114 | 59 |
| 13 Grant St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,557 (-9%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $90 | 55 |
| 250 E Main St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-11%) | 5mo | $159,900 | $105 | 55 |
| 156 High St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (-14%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $130 | 46 |
| 74 Sherman St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,572 (-8%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $92 | 45 |
| 5580 E St Rt 162 | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (+4%) | 23mo | $220,000 | $124 | 40 |
| 100 New London Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,844 (+8%) | 21mo | $170,000 | $92 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-10,624
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-50
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44851
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,021 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $846/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-11$110,000 Active 679-char remark
-
2022-03-09historical
-
2021-12-09$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $846 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,281 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$435/yr (+$36/mo · 51.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$846
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$980
- − Management
- −$980
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$465
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$112
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New London Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904772
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,646
- Composite
- 41.63/100
- National rank
- #3428
- State rank
- #452 of 656 in OH
Livability — New London
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #797
- US rank
- #14596
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New London, OH
- County
- Huron · 56,496 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,303
- Household income
- $62,458
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.3
Population outlook (Huron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,572 people
- By 2030
- 53,514 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 48,770 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 43,611 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 32,349 · -41.8%
- By 2100
- 21,849 · -60.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Huron
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.9pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.80%
- Current HPI
- 249.3754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-8.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $110,000 MARMLS
- 2022-03-09 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2021-12-09 Listed $120,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $846 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…