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149 Newkirk St
C Composite 56.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

149 Newkirk St · New London, OH 44851
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,711 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1900 $64/sqft · 21% below area Est $140k · 21% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home offering comfort, functionality, and timeless appeal. The spacious layout features abundant natural light, a thoughtfully designed kitchen, and inviting living areas perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Bedrooms provide ample space and storage. The detached garage includes a versatile loft, ideal for storage, hobbies, or workspace needs. Enjoy peace of mind with newer furnace, roof, water heater, and windows. The standout feature is the expansive backyard -- perfect for outdoor gatherings, recreation, or future improvements. Conveniently located in town, this property offers both accessibility and a peaceful setting.

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Newer roof
  • Newer water heater

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEVERSATILE LOFTEXPANSIVE BACKYARDNEWER FURNACENEWER ROOFNEWER WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1.5 spaces); Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Range; Gas water heater; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#797 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • New London Local (rural): math 47% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #452 of 656 in OH (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Huron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Huron County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $102,110 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.42%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,857
List price
$110,000
Delta
-21.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
49 Cedar St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,792 (+5%) 1mo $175,000 $98 76
140 High St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,696 (-1%) 9mo $182,500 $108 75
201 E Main St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,822 (+6%) 7mo $235,000 $129 68
92 S Main St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,812 (+6%) 1mo $237,000 $131 66
159 E Main St 0.19mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,856 (+8%) 8mo $96,500 $52 65
68 Prospect St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,672 (-2%) 13mo $190,000 $114 59
13 Grant St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,557 (-9%) 7mo $140,000 $90 55
250 E Main St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-11%) 5mo $159,900 $105 55
156 High St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,463 (-14%) 12mo $190,000 $130 46
74 Sherman St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,572 (-8%) 13mo $145,000 $92 45
5580 E St Rt 162 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (+4%) 23mo $220,000 $124 40
100 New London Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,844 (+8%) 21mo $170,000 $92 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-10,624
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-50
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44851

Home prices YoY
-7.0%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,021 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $846/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $877
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    listed $110,000 Active 679-char remark
  2. 2022-03-09
    historical
  3. 2021-12-09
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$846 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,281 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$435/yr (+$36/mo · 51.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,253
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$846
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$980
− Management
−$980
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$465
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$112
After-tax cash flow
$1,473/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New London Local
NCES district ID
3904772
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,646
Composite
41.63/100
National rank
#3428
State rank
#452 of 656 in OH

Livability — New London

Score
64/100
State rank
#797
US rank
#14596

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New London, OH
County
Huron · 56,496 people
Population (ZIP)
5,303
Household income
$62,458
Rent vs Own
20.6% rent · 79.4% own
Severe rent burden
7.3

Population outlook (Huron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,572 people
By 2030
53,514 · -3.7%
By 2040
48,770 · -12.2%
By 2050
43,611 · -21.5%
By 2075
32,349 · -41.8%
By 2100
21,849 · -60.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Huron

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-40.9pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.80%
Current HPI
249.3754
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending MARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $110,000 MARMLS
  • 2022-03-09 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2021-12-09 Listed $120,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $846 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…