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2960 Silver Creek Rd Lot 148 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

2960 Silver Creek Rd Lot 148 · Bullhead City, AZ 86442
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 111 Days on market
Built 1986 Est $69k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

OPEN HOUSE EVERY SATURDAY 11AM - 2PM. Longridge MHP 55+ Community. Best Buy in Park, includes appliances, upgraded dual pane windows, linoleum/carpet flooring, Newly painted, 2 extra large storage sheds, covered parking and patio. LOW SALES PRICE REFLEXS $2000 FLOORING ALLOWANCE, MOVE IN CONDITION! Longridge MHP is on leased land with a monthly $595 lot rent which includes trash and use of park amenities. Pool, hot tub, club house with weekly activities, billiard room, dog park. Pet friendly with restrictions. Pick up application for park residency at management office.

Key facts

  • Covered parking
  • Hot tub
  • Covered patio

Tags

UPGRADED DUAL PANE WINDOWSEXTRA LARGE STORAGE SHEDSCOVERED PARKINGCOVERED PATIOPOOLHOT TUB

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1986
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Interior features: Carpet; Pantry; Patio

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $39,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$68,880) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.4% vs local median 3.7% in Bullhead City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#103 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Bullhead City School District (4378) (town): math 16% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #189 of 249 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 710 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,309 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.21%
Cap rate
28.38%
Cash-on-cash
78.90%
DSCR
4.51
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,880
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2960 Silver Creek Rd #23 0.44mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 3mo $50,000 $60 73
2960 Silver Creek Rd #98 0.00mi 2/2.0 900 (+7%) 15mo $60,000 $67 72
2960 Silver Creek Rd #58 0.00mi 2/1.5 728 (-13%) 10mo $75,000 $103 68
2960 Silver Creek Rd #155 0.00mi 2/2.0 728 (-13%) 18mo $60,000 $82 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.6%
Equity multiple
4.28×
Total profit
$36,589
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
78.5%
Equity multiple
7.95×
Total profit
$77,697
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86442

Home prices YoY
-27.0%
Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
710
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,279 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$735

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $762 -5% $748 +0% $735 +5% $721 +10% $707
Rent -10% $634 -5% $684 +0% $735 +5% $785 +10% $836
Rate -1.0pp $755 -0.5pp $745 base $735 +0.5pp $724 +1.0pp $714

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2801 Colibri Ct Bullhead City, AZ 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 14d 1 0.44mi
1570 Paseo Grande Bullhead City, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,585 $2.05 14d 10 0.70mi
1618 Goldrush Rd Bullhead City, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 731 $1,298 $1.77 14d 6 1.42mi
2030 Prospector Ct Bullhead City, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1118 $1,259 $1.13 14d 13 1.43mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,900 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 103 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 100 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,900 Active 97 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 93 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,900 Active 92 DOM
  16. 2026-02-28
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥111°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,346
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,228
− Management
−$1,228
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$8,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,087
After-tax cash flow
$6,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bullhead City School District (4378)
NCES district ID
0401500
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,109
Composite
15.83/100
National rank
#9263
State rank
#189 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Bullhead City

Score
64/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#14458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bullhead City, AZ
County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
City population
43,354
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
34,735
Household income
$48,081
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
1040.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.11%
Current HPI
270.3297
Rent YoY
▼ -0.90%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $39,900 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…