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107 E 4th Ave
B- Composite 65.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,500

107 E 4th Ave · Metaline Falls, WA 99153
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · Manufactured public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1974 0.25 ac lot $77/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.

Key facts

  • Covered porches
  • Functional layout
  • Attached bathrooms

Tags

DOUBLE CITY LOTFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTKITCHEN WITH ISLANDATTACHED BATHROOMSSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOMCOVERED PORCHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($940 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#545 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Selkirk School District (rural): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #51 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 62 units permitted in Pend Oreille County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
  • Pend Oreille County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $76k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $78,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.81%
Cash-on-cash
9.01%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$213,366
List price
$89,500
Delta
-58.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
103 LARSEN Blvd 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (+2%) 7mo $210,000 $177 61
132A Village St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (+1%) 8mo $215,000 $183 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$19,021
Equity at exit
$36,291
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$55,680
Equity at exit
$53,031

Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99153

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$940 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$469
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $574/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$197
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $702
Max offer price $89,500
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,375
Closing costs
$2,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
101 W 4th Ave Metaline Falls, WA 2.0 1.0 687 $940 $1.37 43d 1 0.02mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $89,500 Pending 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,500 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,500 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,500 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,500 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,500 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-02-09
    price $89,500 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.

  8. 2026-02-09
    price $89,500 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.

  9. 2026-01-24
    listed $98,000 Active 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.

  10. 2026-01-24
    listed $98,000 Active 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.

  11. 2023-04-25
    soldstatus $76,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$574 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$877 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$303/yr (+$25/mo · 52.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 21 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,280
− Mortgage interest
−$5,013
− Property taxes
−$574
− Insurance
−$448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$902
− Management
−$902
− Depreciation
−$2,604
Taxable income
$836
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$201
After-tax cash flow
$2,056/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Selkirk School District
NCES district ID
5307800
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,164
Composite
54.26/100
National rank
#2941
State rank
#51 of 291 in WA

Livability — Metaline Falls

Score
55/100
State rank
#545
US rank
#23115

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Metaline Falls, WA
Population (ZIP)
428

Population outlook (Pend Oreille County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,193 people
By 2030
13,160 · -0.3%
By 2040
12,774 · -3.2%
By 2050
12,150 · -7.9%
By 2075
10,909 · -17.3%
By 2100
8,858 · -32.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Slovak 7% Serbian 7%
Foreign-born
5% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Korean 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pend Oreille

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.0% · R 68.6% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: -17.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+36.6 2016: R+35.8 2012: R+21.7 2008: R+17.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.20%
Current HPI
177.3455
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $89,500 NEWMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $89,500 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $98,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $98,000 NEWMLS
  • 2023-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $574 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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