107 E 4th Ave · Metaline Falls, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 21 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.
Key facts
- Covered porches
- Functional layout
- Attached bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($940 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#545 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Selkirk School District (rural): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #51 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 62 units permitted in Pend Oreille County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- Pend Oreille County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $76k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.01%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,366
- List price
- $89,500
- Delta
- -58.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 LARSEN Blvd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+2%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $177 | 61 |
| 132A Village St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+1%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $183 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $19,021
- Equity at exit
- $36,291
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $55,680
- Equity at exit
- $53,031
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99153
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $940 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $574/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 W 4th Ave Metaline Falls, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $940 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.02mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-08status $89,500 Pending 132 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-02-09price $89,500 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.
-
2026-02-09price $89,500 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.
-
2026-01-24$98,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.
-
2026-01-24$98,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
1160 sq ft mobile home situated on a . 25-acre double city lot within city limits. The home includes a functional layout with living room, dining area, and kitchen with island and working appliances. Two bedrooms each have attached bathrooms, including one full bath and one half bath, along with a separate laundry room. Two covered porches and a newer covered deck provide additional outdoor space. A full cover over the home with metal roof, offers added protection. Off-street parking available.
-
2023-04-25soldstatus $76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $877 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$303/yr (+$25/mo · 52.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 21 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$574
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$902
- − Management
- −$902
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $836
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$201
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,056/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Selkirk School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307800
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,164
- Composite
- 54.26/100
- National rank
- #2941
- State rank
- #51 of 291 in WA
Livability — Metaline Falls
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #545
- US rank
- #23115
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Metaline Falls, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 428
Population outlook (Pend Oreille County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,193 people
- By 2030
- 13,160 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 12,774 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 12,150 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 10,909 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 8,858 · -32.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Slovak 7% Serbian 7%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Korean 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pend Oreille
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.0% · R 68.6% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: -17.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+36.6 2016: R+35.8 2012: R+21.7 2008: R+17.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Current HPI
- 177.3455
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+17.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $89,500 NEWMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $89,500 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-24 Listed $98,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-24 Listed $98,000 NEWMLS
- 2023-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2026): $574 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…