2749 Deer Pass Dr SW · North Industry, OH 44706

$87,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,716 sqft · Manufactured · 202 Days on market

Built 1993 2,587 sqft lot $51/sqft · 25% below area Est $117k · 25% under ↓ 20% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Recently updated and exceptionally spacious home in a desirable Stark County park. Offering more square footage than new double-wides, this property features new flooring throughout most of the home, an updated kitchen, remodeled primary bath, fresh paint in the primary suite, and floor-joist repairs completed within the past few years. Enjoy the convenience of an existing carport, a large deck, and the added privacy of the open lot next door. Move-in ready with major improvements already done—an excellent value you won’t want to miss!

Key facts

• Large deck
• Existing carport
• Open lot

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• REMODELED PRIMARY BATH
• NEW FLOORING
• LARGE DECK
• EXISTING CARPORT
• OPEN LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
• Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 6.6% in North Industry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Canton Local (suburban): math 54% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #401 of 656 in OH (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Recommended offer $77,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.56% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.76%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.09%
• DSCR: 2.03
• GRM: 5.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $116,968
• List price: $87,900
• Delta: -24.85%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 16.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.65×
• Total profit: $15,942
• Equity at exit: $13,106

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.7%
• Equity multiple: 3.15×
• Total profit: $52,808
• Equity at exit: $7,600

Cash invested: $24,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44706

• Active inventory: 87
• Price-to-rent: 5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,368 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$461
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$110 /mo · $1,318/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $474

Break-even live

Break-even rent $769

Max offer price $87,900

Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $534	-5% $504	+0% $474	+5% $443	+10% $413
Rent	-10% $366	-5% $420	+0% $474	+5% $528	+10% $582
Rate	-1.0pp $518	-0.5pp $496	base $474	+0.5pp $451	+1.0pp $428

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,975
• Closing costs: $2,637
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $87,900 Active 202 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $87,900 Active 201 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $87,900 Active 200 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $87,900 Active 199 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $87,900 Active 197 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $87,900 Active 196 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $87,900 Active 194 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $87,900 Active 193 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $87,900 Active 192 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $87,900 Active 191 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $87,900 Active 187 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $87,900 Active 186 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $87,900 Active 185 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $87,900 Active 184 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $87,900 Active 183 DOM
16. 2026-05-15
    price $87,900 553-char remark

    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Recently updated and exceptionally spacious home in a desirable Stark County park. Offering more square footage than new double-wides, this property features new flooring throughout most of the home, an updated kitchen, remodeled primary bath, fresh paint in the primary suite, and floor-joist repairs completed within the past few years. Enjoy the convenience of an existing carport, a large deck, and the added privacy of the open lot next door. Move-in ready with major improvements already done—an excellent value you won’t want to miss!

17. 2026-03-16
    price $90,000 553-char remark

    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Recently updated and exceptionally spacious home in a desirable Stark County park. Offering more square footage than new double-wides, this property features new flooring throughout most of the home, an updated kitchen, remodeled primary bath, fresh paint in the primary suite, and floor-joist repairs completed within the past few years. Enjoy the convenience of an existing carport, a large deck, and the added privacy of the open lot next door. Move-in ready with major improvements already done—an excellent value you won’t want to miss!

18. 2026-02-23
    price $103,500 553-char remark

    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Recently updated and exceptionally spacious home in a desirable Stark County park. Offering more square footage than new double-wides, this property features new flooring throughout most of the home, an updated kitchen, remodeled primary bath, fresh paint in the primary suite, and floor-joist repairs completed within the past few years. Enjoy the convenience of an existing carport, a large deck, and the added privacy of the open lot next door. Move-in ready with major improvements already done—an excellent value you won’t want to miss!

19. 2025-11-28
    listed $104,500 Active 553-char remark

    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Recently updated and exceptionally spacious home in a desirable Stark County park. Offering more square footage than new double-wides, this property features new flooring throughout most of the home, an updated kitchen, remodeled primary bath, fresh paint in the primary suite, and floor-joist repairs completed within the past few years. Enjoy the convenience of an existing carport, a large deck, and the added privacy of the open lot next door. Move-in ready with major improvements already done—an excellent value you won’t want to miss!

20. 2025-10-29
    historical
21. 2025-08-04
    price $104,500
22. 2025-07-24
    price $109,500
23. 2025-07-23
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,421
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,924
• − Property taxes: −$1,318
• − Insurance: −$440
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,314
• − Management: −$1,314
• − Depreciation: −$2,557
• Taxable income: $4,555
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,093
• After-tax cash flow: $4,590/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Canton Local
• NCES district ID: 3904983
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $46,980
• Composite: 45.0/100
• National rank: #2699
• State rank: #401 of 656 in OH

Livability — North Industry

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Stark County · 272,865 people
• Metro: Canton-Massillon, OH
• Population (ZIP): 16,496
• Household income: $58,228
• Rent vs Own: 32.3% rent · 67.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 502.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 373,708 people
• By 2030: 371,245 · -0.7%
• By 2040: 361,331 · -3.3%
• By 2050: 345,290 · -7.6%
• By 2075: 302,669 · -19.0%
• By 2100: 238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -156.35%
• Current HPI: 239.851
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Canton-Massillon, OH
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

-20.1% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $87,900 MLSNOW
• 2026-03-16 Price Changed $90,000 MLSNOW
• 2026-02-23 Price Changed $103,500 MLSNOW
• 2025-11-28 Listed $104,500 MLSNOW
• 2025-10-29 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
• 2025-08-04 Price Changed $104,500 MLSNOW
• 2025-07-24 Price Changed $109,500 MLSNOW
• 2025-07-23 Listed $110,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2017): $119 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.