820 N Lincoln Way #7 · Galt, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 28 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HOT SUMMER SALE! SELLER OFFERING 3 MONTHS OF FREE SPACE RENT IF BUYER CLOSES PRIOR TO JUNE 30, 2026. Adorable Spacious 2-3 Bedroom/2 Full Bath located in Galt Mobile Estates, an All Agent Park! Three Spaces for Parking included on lot. The Yard is extra large with a flourishing Orange Tree in the middle of the yard. The room with the Barn Door could be used for an extra bedroom, or living room. Wall units are Cooling/heating units! This Mobile Home has been top to bottom, inside and out renovated, roof just resealed, and Laundry hookups for a stackable unit in the Bathroom. Don't miss out on this gem!
Key facts
- Extra large yard
- Renovated roof
- Laundry hookups
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Galt Mobile Estates (820 N Lincoln Way #7, Galt, CA 95632); Directions: Off Highway 99; turn on Simmerhorn, enter Galt Mobile Estates at 820 N Lincoln Way, Space 7
- Financial info: Land lease: No
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 3 total parking spaces; Guest parking available; no garage
- Utilities: Cable available; Internet available; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer; Electric service includes 220V in laundry
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Single-wide; Made by Prestige; Remodeled home; Built in 1967
- Construction: Metal roof; Wood skirting
- Exterior features: Porch awning; Covered patio; Regular-shaped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Stone countertops; Free-standing gas range; Free-standing gas oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Dining space in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (possible 3rd bedroom); Includes master bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub with shower over
- Heating & cooling: Wall-mounted cooling units; Heating details: see remarks
- Interior features: Covered patio; Dual-pane full windows; Updated/remodeled condition; Porch awning; Unfurnished; Pets allowed
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups inside a room; 220V in laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 3.3% in Galt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#733 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Galt Joint Union High (town): math 75% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #137 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $545 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.54%
- DSCR
- 3.47
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,960
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 Lincoln #78 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (0%) | 7mo | $73,000 | $101 | 90 |
| 604 Pringle Ave #55 | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $69 | 84 |
| 604 Pringle Ave #65 | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $104 | 78 |
| 820 N Lincoln Way #73 | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 684 (-5%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $66 | 75 |
| 820 N Lincoln Way #31 | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+1%) | 23mo | $86,000 | $118 | 73 |
| 604 - 15 Pringle Ave #15 | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 702 (-2%) | 22mo | $105,000 | $150 | 66 |
| 604 Pringle Ave #47 | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 756 (+5%) | 18mo | $95,000 | $126 | 61 |
| 820 N Lincoln Way #39 | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-13%) | 17mo | $75,000 | $120 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $52,366
- Equity at exit
- $11,764
- IRR
- 59.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.87×
- Total profit
- $129,575
- Equity at exit
- $6,822
Cash invested: $22,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95632
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,984 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,184/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $1,022
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,077 | -5% $1,050 | +0% $1,022 | +5% $995 | +10% $968 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $866 | -5% $944 | +0% $1,022 | +5% $1,101 | +10% $1,179 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,062 | -0.5pp $1,043 | base $1,022 | +0.5pp $1,002 | +1.0pp $981 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,725
- Closing costs
- $2,367
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 McFarland St Apt 6 Galt, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,640 | $2.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $78,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $78,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,900 Active 128 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,420
- − Property taxes
- −$1,184
- − Insurance
- −$394
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,905
- − Management
- −$1,905
- − Depreciation
- −$2,295
- Taxable income
- $11,710
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,811
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,459/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galt Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0614820
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▲ 48.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,916
- Composite
- 44.24/100
- National rank
- #2844
- State rank
- #137 of 517 in CA
Livability — Galt
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #733
- US rank
- #21603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galt, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 32,493
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,493
- Household income
- $102,239
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 476.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 5% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -309.48%
- Current HPI
- 309.3197
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $80 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…