Fourplex
3007 Lincoln Hwy · Thorndale, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$724,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This property has been updated and very well maintained! Picturesque setting makes you feel like you're at home!!!! This nicely landscaped 2.6 Acre level lot allows plenty of parking as well as a two story Barn and breathtaking yard. The building has been classified as non smoking & no pets since 1994. Zoned-SV-Sadsbury Village District- with 167.9' Frontage. This property has lots of possibliities including zoning for office space. Call agent for copies of zoning within village district. Only retirement makes this property available. A RARE FIND INDEED!
Key facts
- Two story barn
- Landscaped lot
- Public water
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Assessor provided living area and year-built source; Property located in Sadsbury Township (Sadsburyville)
- Financial info: Four-unit multifamily property; Improvement assessed value reported; Land assessed value reported
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; On-site septic; Electric service
- Home design: Detached structure; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Stucco construction; Stone foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Year built source: Assessor
- Exterior features: Public water; On-site septic
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four units total: two 1-bedroom units, one 2-bedroom unit, one 3-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Heating fuel: oil; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Assessor-reported finished area above grade: 3,200
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $725k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $54/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $662k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $662k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.9% in Thorndale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 89/100 on livability (#20 in PA, #118 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+.
- Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,617/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $285k; list at $725k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.29%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-91,156
- Equity at exit
- $108,085
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-8,567
- Equity at exit
- $62,676
Cash invested: $202,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19320
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 36.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,617 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,801
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$906 /mo · $10,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$302
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,390
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $719 | -5% $468 | +0% $218 | +5% $-33 | +10% $-283 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-305 | -5% $-44 | +0% $218 | +5% $479 | +10% $741 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $583 | -0.5pp $402 | base $218 | +0.5pp $30 | +1.0pp $-161 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $6,616 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,654 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,654 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,654 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $1,654 |
| Total (4 units) | $6,617 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $181,225
- Closing costs
- $21,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $724,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $724,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $724,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $724,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-15remarks 577-char remark
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2026-06-15days on market $724,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $724,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 529-char remark
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2026-06-13$724,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $79,404
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,606
- − Property taxes
- −$10,874
- − Insurance
- −$3,624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,352
- − Management
- −$6,352
- − Depreciation
- −$21,088
- Taxable loss
- −$9,492
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,278
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,892/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coatesville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206240
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,753
- Composite
- 23.19/100
- National rank
- #7944
- State rank
- #457 of 539 in PA
Livability — Thorndale
- Score
- 89/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #118
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- City population
- 2,294
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,941
- Household income
- $90,601
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.38%
- Current HPI
- 274.045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+107.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $724,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-20 Delisted — TREND
- 2018-03-19 Sold (MLS) $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-19 Sold (MLS) $285,000 TREND
- 2018-03-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-09 Pending — TREND
- 2018-03-09 Listed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-09 Listed $285,000 TREND
- 2007-10-23 Sold (MLS) $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-09-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-08-21 Listed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…