5057 Quail Ter · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 bedrooms • 3.5 bathrooms • office • approx. 2,398 sq ft • pergola-covered backyard retreat • wood privacy fence • 2-car garage plus 2-car carport 5057 Quail Terrace offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and a dedicated office in a home with approximately 2,398 square feet. The exterior is full of character and charm, and the stone-lit walkway creates a welcoming approach to the front porch. Inside, the flexible floor plan offers space for everyday living, working from home, and entertaining. In the backyard, a dedicated pergola-covered area creates a relaxing outdoor retreat ideal for gathering, dining, or unwinding. The wood privacy fen
Key facts
- Wood privacy fence
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing is Active Under Contract; Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing; Second mortgage: none
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener (garage faces rear); Covered parking for 4 vehicles; 2-car carport
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Video surveillance present
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Curbs; Located in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence (residential); Two-story home; Not attached to another property
- Construction: Built in 2002; Siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Covered patio/porch; Gutters; Fencing: rock/stone and wood; Located on a cul-de-sac; Landscaped lot; Subdivision location
Interior
- Kitchen: Granite countertops; Built-in cabinets; Breakfast bar; Walk-in pantry; Water line to refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bath, dual sinks and separate shower; Three bedrooms upstairs (split bedroom layout) — two with built-in desks; one upstairs ensuite
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Tile; Concrete
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Pantry; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Window coverings; Fireplace (wood burning); One living area; One dining area; Total room count: 9; Two levels
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with built-in cabinets and drip/dry area; Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer and dryer hookups (electric dryer hookup)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $373k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $347k (13.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $347k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ward El (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 494 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+40.7%/yr); 288 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,465/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1181% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.65%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $335,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5057 Quail Ter | 0.00mi | 4/3.5 | 2,398 (0%) | 1mo | $400,000 | $167 | 100 |
| 2409 Lynbrook Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 2,334 (-3%) | 2mo | $460,000 | $197 | 77 |
| 5202 Sherbrooke Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,437 (+2%) | 10mo | $309,000 | $127 | 73 |
| 5518 Chimney Rock Rd | 0.46mi | 4/4.0 | 2,436 (+2%) | 2mo | $319,900 | $131 | 72 |
| 2401 Helena Cir | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,501 (+4%) | 7mo | $349,990 | $140 | 65 |
| 5501 Chimney Rock Rd | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 | 2,628 (+10%) | 6mo | $399,900 | $152 | 58 |
| 42 Riviera Cir | 0.64mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,429 (+1%) | 5mo | $425,000 | $175 | 57 |
| 4624 Oak Knoll St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 2,224 (-7%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $139 | 52 |
| 2558 Meadow Lake Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,598 (+8%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $125 | 50 |
| 2402 Stonecrest Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,106 (-12%) | 9mo | $259,900 | $123 | 47 |
| 11 Hoylake Dr | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 | 2,739 (+14%) | 1mo | $485,000 | $177 | 45 |
| 2965 Arrowhead Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,249 (-6%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $124 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-56,196
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $22,302
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79606
- Rents YoY
- 40.7%
- Active inventory
- 288
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,465 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$628 /mo · $7,531/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$728
- Net cashflow
- $-154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $72 | -5% $-41 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-267 | +10% $-381 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-428 | -5% $-291 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-17 | +10% $120 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $47 | -0.5pp $-52 | base $-154 | +0.5pp $-258 | +1.0pp $-363 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2418 Helena Cir Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2478 | $3,700 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2510 Gilmer Ave Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1974 | $2,995 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5733 Legacy Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $5,000 | $2.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3134 Winterhawk Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,795 | $1.55 | 8d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5400 Ridgeline Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2571 | $6,000 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3826 Crest Way Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $2,695 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3533 Grand Ave Abilene, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $2,200 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4617 Catclaw Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2263 | $2,500 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-04-27historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-04-27price $400,000
-
2026-04-23$364,800 Active
-
2005-10-03soldstatus
-
2000-04-27soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,531 · $628/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,531 · $628/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$7,531
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,327
- − Management
- −$3,327
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$8,642
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,074
- After-tax cash flow
- $223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,182
- Household income
- $79,196
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1181.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.33%
- Current HPI
- 179.2555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 40.73%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+9.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $400,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $364,800 NTREIS
- 2005-10-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-04-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $7,531 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…