521 Dean St · Scottsboro, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCTION! Bring out your rocking chairs for the covered rear deck. 3 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath, Breakfast Area in Kitchen, Level Fenced Yard, Covered Rear Deck. All Electric, Recently Replaced Water Heater, Stove Remains. Kitchen has Pantry. Laundry has Outside Entry. 1 Car Garage.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.3% in Scottsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#21 in AL, #4,752 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities D-.
- Scottsboro City (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #27 of 129 in AL (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.94%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,792
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -23.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525 Quincy St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 988 (+3%) | 6mo | $127,400 | $129 | 82 |
| 408 Ponroy St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-10%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $133 | 47 |
| 203 Lee St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 903 (-6%) | 23mo | $126,400 | $140 | 46 |
| 2005 Moody Ridge Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (+5%) | 16mo | $159,900 | $158 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $14,720
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $52,313
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35768
- Home prices YoY
- -16.1%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $269/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $540 | -5% $512 | +0% $484 | +5% $456 | +10% $428 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $377 | -5% $430 | +0% $484 | +5% $537 | +10% $590 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $534 | -0.5pp $509 | base $484 | +0.5pp $458 | +1.0pp $432 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Meadow St Unit B Scottsboro, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $99,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $106,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 398-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $106,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $106,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $106,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $106,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $106,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $106,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $106,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $106,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $106,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 323-char remark
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $106,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $111,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $111,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $111,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $111,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $111,500 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION! Bring out your rocking chairs for the covered rear deck. 3 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath, Breakfast Area in Kitchen, Level Fenced Yard, Covered Rear Deck. All Electric, Recently Replaced Water Heater, Stove Remains. Kitchen has Pantry. Laundry has Outside Entry. 1 Car Garage.
-
2026-04-17$119,000 Active 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
PRICE REDUCTION! Bring out your rocking chairs for the covered rear deck. 3 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath, Breakfast Area in Kitchen, Level Fenced Yard, Covered Rear Deck. All Electric, Recently Replaced Water Heater, Stove Remains. Kitchen has Pantry. Laundry has Outside Entry. 1 Car Garage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $269 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $406 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- +$137/yr (+$11/mo · 50.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$269
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $4,418
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,060
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scottsboro City
- NCES district ID
- 0102940
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,210
- Composite
- 33.67/100
- National rank
- #5388
- State rank
- #27 of 129 in AL
Livability — Scottsboro
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #4752
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottsboro, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,394
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,261 people
- By 2030
- 48,655 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 45,119 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 41,518 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 33,507 · -33.3%
- By 2100
- 26,385 · -47.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.4) · D 13.9% · R 85.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.9pp · 2024: -71.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.4 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+62.5 2012: R+41.9 2008: R+36.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.15%
- Current HPI
- 193.1223
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-6.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $111,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $119,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $269 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…