🏗️ New Construction
392 Coastline Way · World Golf Village, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
QUICK MOVE-IN - Ready to Close! This 2022 townhome features 2 large bedrooms, 2.5 baths with a little over 1,200 square feet of living space. Your golf cart community awaits!
Key facts
- Garage
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with 1 parking space
- Security:
- Utilities:
- Home design: Residential property; One story
- Construction:
- Exterior features: Small lot (approx. 0.05 acre); Zoned MF (multi-family)
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms:
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling:
- Interior features: Single-story layout
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 374.8% vs local median 3.0% in World Golf Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#168 in FL, #2,512 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1336 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 13 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 39.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 374.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1316.04%
- DSCR
- 59.56
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 66.24×
- Total profit
- $91,336
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 132.15×
- Total profit
- $183,616
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32092
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 1336
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,987 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $1,535
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,539 | -5% $1,537 | +0% $1,535 | +5% $1,534 | +10% $1,532 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,378 | -5% $1,457 | +0% $1,535 | +5% $1,614 | +10% $1,692 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,538 | -0.5pp $1,537 | base $1,535 | +0.5pp $1,534 | +1.0pp $1,533 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450 Coastline Way Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1210 | $1,825 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 73 Java Ln Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1442 | $1,899 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 136 Pinebury Ln Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1438 | $1,925 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 61 Pinebury Ln Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1438 | $1,950 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $5,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 296-char remark
-
2026-06-13$5,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,908
- − Management
- −$1,908
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $19,506
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,681
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — World Golf Village
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #2512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,071
- Household income
- $131,020
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.26%
- Current HPI
- 259.732
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-98.4% since first listed42 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
- 2025-11-15 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-11-15 Price Changed $200,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $209,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $225,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $245,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $265,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $280,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-02 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $289,000 realMLS
- 2025-06-13 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-05-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-22 Listed $130,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-10 Listed $130,900 realMLS
- 2022-12-30 Sold (MLS) $294,990 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-12-30 Sold (MLS) $294,990 realMLS
- 2022-11-28 Pending — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-11-28 Pending — realMLS
- 2022-11-18 Relisted — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-11-18 Relisted — realMLS
- 2022-09-01 Pending — realMLS
- 2022-09-01 Pending — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-09-01 Price Changed $294,990 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-08-31 Price Changed $294,990 realMLS
- 2022-08-03 Price Changed $299,990 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-08-03 Price Changed $299,990 realMLS
- 2022-08-03 Relisted — realMLS
- 2022-07-08 Price Changed $309,990 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-07-07 Price Changed $309,990 realMLS
- 2022-07-07 Pending — realMLS
- 2022-07-07 Relisted — realMLS
- 2022-07-07 Relisted — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-04-28 Pending — realMLS
- 2022-04-28 Pending — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-04-25 Relisted — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-04-25 Relisted — realMLS
- 2022-04-18 Delisted — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-04-18 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2022-03-23 Listed $319,990 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-03-15 Price Changed $319,990 realMLS
- 2022-03-09 Listed $314,990 realMLS
Property tax history
+70.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,544 · +31.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…