1000 Crescent St · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$440,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CoAgent: RICARDO COX Ofc: 1860 - DONT LET THE PRICE FOOL YOU, GOOD HOUSE FOR THE MONEY! 3 BEDROOMS OVER 2 W/2 BATHS. RANCH STYLE DETACHED HOME. OWNERS ARE ELDERLY, PEOPLE PLEASE BE PATIANT!,Exclusions: WASHER,Tax Exempt: NO,Water/Plumbing: SEP METER,Condition: AVG
Key facts
- 3,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: PSEG electric; Public sewer (connected/available); Natural gas available and connected; Public water (connected/available); Trash collection (public)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Described as a fixer
- Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Built area recorded as 1,100
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 7 rooms total (includes bedrooms)
- Flooring: Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $440k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($897/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $370k (15.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $370k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,702/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 7574% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($433k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $440k implies a 520% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.38%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $603,900
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1311 Dumont Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+2%) | 10mo | $615,000 | $549 | 62 |
| 1316 Dumont Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+2%) | 23mo | $585,000 | $522 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-54,536
- Equity at exit
- $65,605
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $11,195
- Equity at exit
- $38,043
Cash invested: $123,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11208
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,702 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,307
- Tax from tax record
- −$293 /mo · $3,512/yr
- Insurance
- −$183
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$777
- Net cashflow
- $75
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $199 | +0% $75 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-174 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-218 | -5% $-71 | +0% $75 | +5% $221 | +10% $367 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $296 | -0.5pp $187 | base $75 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-155 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $110,000
- Closing costs
- $13,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156-49 76th St Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,300 | $2.64 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 14912 83rd St Howard Beach, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,200 | $2.56 | 26d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 149-09 84th St Unit 2 Howard Beach, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $3,200 | $4.27 | 26d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 13214 81st St Ozone Park, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $4,100 | $3.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 132-13 81st St #1 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $4,100 | $3.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10541 90th St Ozone Park, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $4,111 | $3.25 | 26d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $440,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $440,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $440,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $440,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $440,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $440,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $440,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $440,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 335-char remark
-
2026-06-07$440,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,512 · $293/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,474 · $456/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,962/yr (+$164/mo · 55.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,647
- − Property taxes
- −$3,512
- − Insurance
- −$2,998
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,554
- − Management
- −$3,554
- − Depreciation
- −$12,800
- Taxable loss
- −$6,640
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,594
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 105,428
- Household income
- $62,077
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7574.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 39% Asian 10% Two or more races 8% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -546.38%
- Current HPI
- 376.1489
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+537.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $440,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $419,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-12 Listed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 1996-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 1996-01-15 Listed $69,000 BNYMLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,512 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…