8144 Ridge Dale Ave · Brookridge, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifull Brookridge Large Home, 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath. MOVE-IN READY, Seller Motivated, on a Beautiful Lot that you will own, in the middle of the community, near the clubhouse and near golf. Enjoy riding in your own golf cart, near the clubhouse as you enjoy living in your own home in Hernando County with very LOW monthly fees, in this active 55+ Community, where the good life begins. This home is very beautiful, with an easy to maintain with a kitchen, dining, study area and living room, built in closets, enclosed porch with a work area, laundry area, and great sitting area. Located nearby is the Vibrant Golf Community, with an amazing 18-hole golf course, with a very active Club House fill
Key facts
- Laundry area
- Beautiful lot
- Enclosed porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Manufactured home; Zoning: PUD/PDP
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee ($55); Community amenities include clubhouse, golf course, gated entry, RV/boat storage, security, and pool; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space)
- Security: 24-hour security; Gated community with guard; Security gate
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home (attached); Faces west; Residential single-family use
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Other roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch with awning(s) and side porch; Cleared lot with few trees; Paved private road frontage on a privately maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Flooring: Vinyl; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry area in carport
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.3% in Brookridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#421 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pine Grove Elementary School (math 60% / reading 45%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 991 students, 60% FRL); West Hernando Middle School (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #405 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 695 students, 58% FRL); Central High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,426 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 691 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $149k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.25%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,961
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8271 Modena Ave | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,265 (+5%) | 0mo | $107,000 | $85 | 83 |
| 14371 Nectarine St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,178 (-3%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $174 | 80 |
| 8057 Dinsmore St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-5%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $74 | 80 |
| 8305 Weatherford Ave | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,314 (+9%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $147 | 78 |
| 7464 Dinsmore St | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $146 | 76 |
| 8304 Weatherford Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-13%) | 1mo | $109,000 | $103 | 72 |
| 14366 Starcross St | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (-9%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $72 | 70 |
| 14883 Rialto Ave | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-5%) | 0mo | $148,000 | $129 | 69 |
| 7472 Moriah Ave | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,288 (+6%) | 1mo | $158,000 | $123 | 66 |
| 14986 Rialto Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (-2%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $156 | 66 |
| 7443 Morelli Ave | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-7%) | 3mo | $144,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 14563 Brookridge Blvd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+11%) | 2mo | $224,000 | $167 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,894
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $18,304
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34613
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 691
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,570 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $655/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $371 | -5% $329 | +0% $287 | +5% $245 | +10% $203 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $163 | -5% $225 | +0% $287 | +5% $349 | +10% $411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $362 | -0.5pp $325 | base $287 | +0.5pp $248 | +1.0pp $209 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8407 Weatherford Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 14342 Starcross St Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,025 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 15466 Brookridge Blvd Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 828 | $1,225 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14697 Brookridge Blvd Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 8917 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9919 Scepter Ave Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8871 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,050 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7124 Barclay Ave Unit A Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 927 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14373 Irving St Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,750 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $149,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-10$179,000 Active
-
1996-12-03soldstatus $47,500
-
1984-09-01soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $655 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,237 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- +$581/yr (+$48/mo · 88.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,835
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$655
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,507
- − Management
- −$1,507
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $1,080
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$259
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,184/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Brookridge
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #421
- US rank
- #7529
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookridge, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,337
- Household income
- $58,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.51%
- Current HPI
- 276.2229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+383.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Listed $179,000 HCAR
- 1996-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 1984-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $655 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…