Duplex
303 Castle St · Geneva, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to your next owner occupied home or investment property. This up/down duplex offers excellent potential and strong numbers, making it a smart addition to any portfolio. The property does need some TLC, but with long-term, secure tenants already in place, the investment foundation is solid. Recent improvements include a newer furnace less than five years old, freshly split electric, a new upstairs bathroom, a common laundry room, and a newer roof. Conveniently located within walking distance to public transportation, downtown Geneva, Hobart and William Smith Colleges, the downtown business district, and the main commercial corridor, this fully rented property offers both stability an
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Newer roof
- Common laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units; Two units in community; One separate gas meter; Two separate electric meters
- Financial info: Owner pays grounds care, heat, snow removal and water; Rent includes gardener, heat, snow removal and water; Operating expense details available in remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Common parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
- Home design: 2 stories; Existing construction
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Built previously (existing)
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Open porch; Fence; Near public transit; Residential lot; City street frontage; Irregular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2-unit property (multi-family) — bedrooms not itemized per unit
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Natural woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $648/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 5.0% in Geneva — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in NY, #2,760 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D.
- Geneva City School District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #528 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $120k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.35%
- DSCR
- 3.06
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,769
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -54.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 West St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,896 (+2%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $103 | 62 |
| 11 Cortland St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,760 (-5%) | 11mo | $105,000 | $60 | 57 |
| 245 W North St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,906 (+3%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $87 | 52 |
| 12 Twoomey Pl | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (-10%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $96 | 44 |
| 31 N Genesee St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,128 (+15%) | 8mo | $147,000 | $69 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $63,218
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 49.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.81×
- Total profit
- $161,647
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14456
- Home prices YoY
- -15.8%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,736 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,233/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$575
- Net cashflow
- $1,297
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,365 | -5% $1,331 | +0% $1,297 | +5% $1,263 | +10% $1,229 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,080 | -5% $1,189 | +0% $1,297 | +5% $1,405 | +10% $1,513 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,357 | -0.5pp $1,327 | base $1,297 | +0.5pp $1,266 | +1.0pp $1,234 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $2,736 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,368 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,368 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,736 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 794 Pre Emption Rd Unit 9 Geneva, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,700 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 794 Pre Emption Rd Unit 10 Geneva, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $1,650 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 877-char remark
-
2026-05-05$119,900 Active 877-char remark
-
2022-03-03price $700
-
2015-05-07soldstatus $47,940
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,233 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,233 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$2,233
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,627
- − Management
- −$2,627
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $14,542
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,490
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Geneva City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611970
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,012
- Composite
- 33.48/100
- National rank
- #5448
- State rank
- #528 of 590 in NY
Livability — Geneva
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Geneva, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,864
Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,230 people
- By 2030
- 111,401 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 109,535 · -1.5%
- By 2050
- 104,895 · -5.7%
- By 2075
- 92,999 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 73,723 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ontario
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.56%
- Current HPI
- 307.9168
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+150.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
- 2022-03-03 Price Changed $700 RENT.
- 2015-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $47,940 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,233 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…