Duplex
2226 51st St · Galveston, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
REDUCED. .. Revenue producing duplex close enough to the beach to walk or drive a golf cart. Close to shopping, restaurants and fishing at the beach. Drive over to 61st and go fishing or boating at the park. Your tenants will be near to many of our coastal amenities.
Key facts
- Garage for each unit
- 2,580 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $137/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 0.1% in Galveston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#108 in TX, #3,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D, crime F.
- Galveston ISD (town): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #514 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,673/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1626% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 480 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 480 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.85%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $310,073
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -19.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1613 52nd | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,776 (+0%) | 14mo | $199,900 | $113 | 62 |
| 2515 52nd St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-14%) | 13mo | $305,000 | $202 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-19,421
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $20,738
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77551
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 382
- Price-to-rent
- 15.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,673 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$355 /mo · $4,264/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$561
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $416 | -5% $345 | +0% $275 | +5% $204 | +10% $133 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $64 | -5% $169 | +0% $275 | +5% $380 | +10% $486 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $401 | -0.5pp $338 | base $275 | +0.5pp $210 | +1.0pp $144 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,672 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,336 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,336 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,673 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4818 Avenue R 1/2 Galveston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1264 | $1,875 | $1.48 | 0d | 2 | 0.18mi |
| 4420 Avenue T Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6116 Avenue Q 1/2 Unit Rear Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4025 Avenue M Unit M Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1628 | $2,490 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2427 35th St Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,500 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3808 Avenue L Unit L Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3523 Avenue L Unit L Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $250,000 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 477 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 476 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 475 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 474 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 468 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 467 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 466 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 463 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 462 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 460 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 459 DOM
-
2025-07-29price $275,000 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
REDUCED. .. Revenue producing duplex close enough to the beach to walk or drive a golf cart. Close to shopping, restaurants and fishing at the beach. Drive over to 61st and go fishing or boating at the park. Your tenants will be near to many of our coastal amenities.
-
2025-07-28price $275,000 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
REDUCED...Great opportunity to own a revenue producing duplex. Just blocks from the beach, restaurants and stores, this property is a steady rental. Located on the corner of 51st and Ave R, it is complete with a garage for each unit. Quick walk or ride to great bay or beach fishing. Currently occupied, call agent for a 24 hour appointment.
-
2025-05-19price $280,000 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
REDUCED. .. Revenue producing duplex close enough to the beach to walk or drive a golf cart. Close to shopping, restaurants and fishing at the beach. Drive over to 61st and go fishing or boating at the park. Your tenants will be near to many of our coastal amenities.
-
2025-05-18price $280,000 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
REDUCED...Great opportunity to own a revenue producing duplex. Just blocks from the beach, restaurants and stores, this property is a steady rental. Located on the corner of 51st and Ave R, it is complete with a garage for each unit. Quick walk or ride to great bay or beach fishing. Currently occupied, call agent for a 24 hour appointment.
-
2025-04-16price $290,000 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
REDUCED. .. Revenue producing duplex close enough to the beach to walk or drive a golf cart. Close to shopping, restaurants and fishing at the beach. Drive over to 61st and go fishing or boating at the park. Your tenants will be near to many of our coastal amenities.
-
2025-04-15price $290,000 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
REDUCED...Great opportunity to own a revenue producing duplex. Just blocks from the beach, restaurants and stores, this property is a steady rental. Located on the corner of 51st and Ave R, it is complete with a garage for each unit. Quick walk or ride to great bay or beach fishing. Currently occupied, call agent for a 24 hour appointment.
-
2025-02-26$315,000 Active 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
REDUCED. .. Revenue producing duplex close enough to the beach to walk or drive a golf cart. Close to shopping, restaurants and fishing at the beach. Drive over to 61st and go fishing or boating at the park. Your tenants will be near to many of our coastal amenities.
-
2025-02-25$315,000 Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
REDUCED...Great opportunity to own a revenue producing duplex. Just blocks from the beach, restaurants and stores, this property is a steady rental. Located on the corner of 51st and Ave R, it is complete with a garage for each unit. Quick walk or ride to great bay or beach fishing. Currently occupied, call agent for a 24 hour appointment.
-
2017-11-27soldstatus
-
2017-11-20soldstatus Sold
-
2017-11-13status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2017-08-07price $155,000
-
2017-07-26$155,000 Active
-
2017-07-24price $155,000
-
2017-07-24historical
-
2016-11-04price $159,000
-
2016-11-04$149,000 Active
-
2014-08-25soldstatus
-
2014-08-22soldstatus
-
2014-07-15historical
-
2014-06-17$114,500
-
2005-04-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,264 · $355/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,575 · $381/mo
- Expected delta
- +$311/yr (+$26/mo · 7.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$4,264
- − Insurance
- −$2,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,566
- − Management
- −$2,566
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$644
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$155
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galveston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820280
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,162
- Composite
- 30.22/100
- National rank
- #6299
- State rank
- #514 of 826 in TX
Livability — Galveston
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #3559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galveston, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 55,599
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,696
- Household income
- $58,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1626.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 19% Black 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.84%
- Current HPI
- 273.0717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+140.2% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-29 Price Changed $275,000 Galveston MLS
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $275,000 HARMLS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $280,000 Galveston MLS
- 2025-05-18 Price Changed $280,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $290,000 Galveston MLS
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed $290,000 HARMLS
- 2025-02-26 Listed $315,000 Galveston MLS
- 2025-02-25 Listed $315,000 HARMLS
- 2017-11-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-11-20 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2017-11-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-08-07 Price Changed $155,000 Galveston MLS
- 2017-07-26 Listed $155,000 HARMLS
- 2017-07-24 Price Changed $155,000 HARMLS
- 2017-07-24 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2016-11-04 Price Changed $159,000 HARMLS
- 2016-11-04 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
- 2014-08-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-08-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-07-15 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2014-06-17 Listed $114,500 HARMLS
- 2005-04-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,264 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…