4902 Marcella Ave #11 · Laredo, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Condo very well maintained. Move in ready. Condo has solar screens. A must see. GREAT investment property!! Close to supermarkets, mall, gas stations, and restaurants.
Key facts
- Close to restaurants
- Investment property
- Solar screens
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Underground utilities
- Home design: Condo/Townhouse; Residential property; 2 stories; Located in Calton Gardens subdivision
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Range; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($565/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.1% in Laredo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#227 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- United ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #568 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Clark El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 404 students, 91% FRL); Clark Middle (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 568 students, 88% FRL); John B Alexander H S (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #583 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 3,070 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,448 units permitted in Webb County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Webb County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.61%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-17,268
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-11,217
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78041
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,099 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,363/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $47
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $118 | -5% $82 | +0% $47 | +5% $12 | +10% $-24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-40 | -5% $4 | +0% $47 | +5% $90 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $79 | base $47 | +0.5pp $15 | +1.0pp $-18 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5402 Marcella Ave Unit 209B Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 754 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5402 Marcella Ave Unit 103A Laredo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $925 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5402 Marcella Ave Unit 102A Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 783 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5402 Marcella Ave Unit 201A Laredo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $1,300 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5402 Marcella Ave Unit 302 A Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 754 | $1,040 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5410 Marcella Ave #9 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5410 Marcella Ave Unit 13 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4505 Springfield Ave Laredo, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 740 | $875 | $1.18 | 45d | 3 | 0.44mi |
| 419 W Eistetter St Unit 7 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $980 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 705 Bustamante St Unit 6 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $850 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1204 E Hillside Rd Laredo, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $950 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1315 E Hillside Rd Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 920 | $1,000 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5816 Longoria Loop Laredo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3801 Salinas Ave Unit 12 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 654 | $925 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 508 Gale St Laredo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $760 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1303 Philadelphia St Unit 3 Laredo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $850 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1502 E San Pedro St Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 793 | $900 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1502 E San Pedro St Unit 11 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 793 | $900 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 508 Gale St Apt 9 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $975 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 508 Gale St Apt 21 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1502 Calle del Norte Laredo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $760 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1502 Calle del Norte Unit 47 Up Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1502 Quail Ct Laredo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,100 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1616 Calle del Norte Laredo, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $950 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6718 Springfield Ave Laredo, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 967 | $1,370 | $1.42 | 45d | 13 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-05$125,000 Active 168-char remark
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2015-04-08soldstatus
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2000-04-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,363 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$924/yr (+$77/mo · 67.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,189
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,363
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,055
- − Management
- −$1,055
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,548
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$372
- After-tax cash flow
- $936/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- United ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843650
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,780
- Composite
- 28.02/100
- National rank
- #6848
- State rank
- #568 of 826 in TX
Livability — Laredo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #5399
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laredo, TX
- City population
- 67,333
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,089
Population outlook (Webb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 301,387 people
- By 2030
- 316,307 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 345,636 · +14.7%
- By 2050
- 370,647 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 413,907 · +37.3%
- By 2100
- 416,458 · +38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 52% White 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 87%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 14% English-only · Spanish 85%
Political lean MEDSL · Webb
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.5% · R 50.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.6pp toward R · 2008: 43.4pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+23.3 2016: D+51.6 2012: D+54.0 2008: D+43.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.15%
- Current HPI
- 162.152
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $125,000 LAOR
- 2015-04-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-04-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,363 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…