314 Magpie · Fountain Valley, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedroom + den/office. Could easily be converted to a 3rd bedroom just by adding a closet. 2 bath, wood flooring, inviting front porch, vaulted ceilings, move in ready.
Key facts
- 18.59 acre lot
- Community pool
- Built 1992
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manager approval required for residency; Pets allowed — contact manager
- Financial info: Monthly land lease of $1,950 (park-operated)
- HOA & community: Senior community; Suburban community
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Rancho La Siesta mobile home park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home remains on site; Estimated year built
- Construction: Mobile home approximately 24 ft wide by 57 ft long; Estimated living area
- Exterior features: Community pool; Level with street lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Entry on the main level
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 2.0% in Fountain Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#403 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, schools A, crime B; Watch: commute F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 57 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($115k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.54%
- DSCR
- 3.20
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,364
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Myna Ln | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,334 (-2%) | 8mo | $159,000 | $119 | 87 |
| 310 Magpie | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+6%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $135 | 83 |
| 201 Road Runner | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-1%) | 3mo | $87,000 | $65 | 81 |
| 715 Catalpa Ln | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+6%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $87 | 79 |
| 411 Gold Finch Ln | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,506 (+11%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $159 | 71 |
| 907 Ironwood | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $196 | 66 |
| 209 Road Runner | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+12%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $109 | 66 |
| 203 Parrot Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+6%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $118 | 64 |
| 302 Magpie Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+12%) | 14mo | $265,000 | $174 | 63 |
| 130 Sumac Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-9%) | 9mo | $148,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 108 Pigeon Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+12%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $112 | 56 |
| 701 Catalpa Ln | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,545 (+14%) | 15mo | $252,500 | $163 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $95,259
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $241,518
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92708
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,858 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$810
- Net cashflow
- $1,907
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,021 | -5% $1,964 | +0% $1,907 | +5% $1,850 | +10% $1,793 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,602 | -5% $1,755 | +0% $1,907 | +5% $2,060 | +10% $2,212 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,990 | -0.5pp $1,949 | base $1,907 | +0.5pp $1,864 | +1.0pp $1,821 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9595 Toucan Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $4,200 | $2.71 | 18d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 18236 Sanmian Ct Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1690 | $4,100 | $2.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 18131 S 3rd St Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $5,000 | $3.99 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9213 El Tango Cir Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1670 | $4,800 | $2.87 | 0d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 18229 Olympic Ct Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $4,300 | $3.76 | 0d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9580 El Rey Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $3,469 | $3.82 | 0d | 10 | 0.80mi |
| 10220 El Monterey Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $5,000 | $2.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10220 El Monterey Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $5,000 | $2.75 | 16d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17375 Brookhurst St Fountain Valley, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $2,720 | $3.16 | 0d | 6 | 0.96mi |
| 8579 Volga River Cir Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $3,500 | $2.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 19132 Magnolia St Huntington Beach, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 920 | $2,945 | $3.20 | 0d | 6 | 1.02mi |
| 19282 Salmon Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $4,500 | $5.02 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 10636 La Perla Ave Unit A Fountain Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $3,150 | $3.37 | 0d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18341 Gum Tree Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1658 | $4,500 | $2.71 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 10441 Slater Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $3,167 | $3.48 | 0d | 25 | 1.19mi |
| 17025 Buttonwood St Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1805 | $4,999 | $2.77 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 19343 McLaren Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1654 | $4,000 | $2.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9440 Clover Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 863 | $2,699 | $3.13 | 0d | 3 | 1.31mi |
| 8402 Slater Ave Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,200 | $3.56 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10244 Warner Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 861 | $3,283 | $3.81 | 0d | 22 | 1.38mi |
| 10320 Warner Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $2,750 | $3.23 | 0d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 8945 Riverbend Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $3,580 | $4.63 | 0d | 3 | 1.49mi |
| 17570 Van Buren Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1269 | $3,950 | $3.11 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $165,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $188,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $188,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16$188,500 Active
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-02-20price $188,500
-
2025-11-15$199,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,291
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,703
- − Management
- −$3,703
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $21,542
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,170
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntington Beach Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0618060
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▲ 17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,159
- Composite
- 64.9/100
- National rank
- #511
- State rank
- #39 of 517 in CA
Livability — Fountain Valley
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #403
- US rank
- #13744
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fountain Valley, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 56,258
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,258
- Household income
- $115,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1924.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Asian 37% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Vietnamese 22% Spanish 10% Arabic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -928.61%
- Current HPI
- 462.4337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-5.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $188,500 CRMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $188,500 CRMLS
- 2025-11-15 Listed $199,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $62 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…