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D- Composite 39.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

9601 Forest Ln #413 · Dallas, TX 75243
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 823 sqft · Condo public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1983 $122/sqft · at area comps Est $100k · at est. $256/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property is ready to go. Already has a tenant in place and producing income. Unit is on ground level. It is a 2 bedroom and 1 bath unit. Full size washer and dryer closet located in the hallway.

Key facts

  • Ground level
  • $256 HOA
  • Parking

Tags

GROUND LEVELFULL SIZE WASHER AND DRYER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 3.89 acres for the overall parcel; Complex name: Forestwood on the Creek
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Monthly association fee of $256; Association covers water, sewer, grounds maintenance, and back yard maintenance; Managed by Forestwood on the Creek

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (covered) with 1 covered/carport space
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available; Located in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Condominium attached unit; Two-story building, unit located on floor 1
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1983
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Back yard maintenance included in association

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (level 1) approximately 12 x 12; Second bedroom (level 1) approximately 10 x 10
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Open living area with one living room and one dining area; Wood-burning fireplace; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-658/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (9.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $90k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Richardson ISD (urban): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #316 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Lane Academy (math 35% / reading 24%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 570 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 54% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richardson ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.3%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $100k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,316 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.35%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$100,241
List price
$100,000
Delta
-0.24%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.2%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-23,096
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
-47.3%
Equity multiple
-0.35×
Total profit
$-37,704
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75243

Rents YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
271
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,238 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$211 /mo · $2,533/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$256
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$-55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,308
Max offer price $90,316
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9601 Forest Ln #516 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 675 $800 $1.19 15d 1 0.01mi
9637 Forest Ln Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1006 $1,544 $1.53 2d 14 0.11mi
9665 Forest Ln Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1053 $1,520 $1.44 44d 1 0.14mi
9669 Forest Ln Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 827 $1,380 $1.67 3d 36 0.34mi
9690 Forest Ln Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0–2.0 838 $1,426 $1.70 2d 31 0.38mi
9450 Forest Springs Dr Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1027 $1,414 $1.38 5d 69 0.39mi
9737 Forest Ln Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 650 $1,100 $1.69 17d 30 0.41mi
12121 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $1,450 $1.68 2d 41 0.41mi
9701 W Ferris Branch Blvd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 862 $1,275 $1.48 1d 4 0.44mi
11991 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 827 $1,315 $1.59 2d 36 0.46mi
9633 W Ferris Branch Blvd Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 663 $1,076 $1.62 2d 22 0.50mi
12484 Abrams Rd #1724 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1006 $1,500 $1.49 44d 1 0.54mi
9387 Pinyon Tree Ln Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 883 $1,699 $1.92 2d 36 0.55mi
9389 Pinyon Tree Rd Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,315 $1.40 44d 1 0.55mi
11655 Audelia Rd #705 Dallas, TX 2.0 1.5 983 $1,850 $1.88 44d 1 0.55mi
12111 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $1,300 $1.51 2d 42 0.55mi
12482 Abrams Rd #1327 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 959 $1,655 $1.73 3d 1 0.56mi
12480 Abrams Rd Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 756 $1,100 $1.46 8d 3 0.59mi
12480 Abrams Rd Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 756 $1,100 $1.45 2d 3 0.59mi
12480 Abrams Rd Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 756 $1,100 $1.46 19d 2 0.59mi
12480 Abrams Rd #124 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 775 $1,150 $1.48 44d 1 0.59mi
12480 Abrams Rd #705 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 729 $1,150 $1.58 10d 1 0.59mi
12480 Abrams Rd Ste 921 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $1,400 $2.00 24d 1 0.61mi
11606 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,295 $1.28 22d 1 0.63mi
11606 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 741 $925 $1.25 24d 1 0.63mi
11606 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,295 $1.28 44d 1 0.63mi
9747 Whitehurst Dr #87 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 573 $1,000 $1.75 44d 1 0.64mi
9730 Whitehurst Dr Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1039 $1,712 $1.65 44d 3 0.65mi
9911 Whitehurst Dr Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 738 $1,370 $1.86 2d 27 0.68mi
11700 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 830 $1,485 $1.79 8d 15 0.69mi
9302 Forest Ln Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 570 $1,019 $1.79 13d 1 0.69mi
11620 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 889 $1,325 $1.49 3d 12 0.70mi
9302 Forest Ln Unit 9353 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 570 $1,060 $1.86 44d 1 0.70mi
9302 Forest Ln Unit 9339 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,382 $1.47 3d 1 0.70mi
9302 Forest Ln Unit 9376 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 570 $1,027 $1.80 3d 1 0.70mi
9302 Forest Ln Unit 9359 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,415 $1.51 44d 1 0.70mi
9302 Forest Ln Unit 9323 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 570 $1,065 $1.87 14d 1 0.70mi
9917 Whitehurst Dr Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 553 $932 $1.69 24d 1 0.73mi
11311 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1113 $1,495 $1.34 4d 2 0.73mi
11600 Audelia Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 877 $1,309 $1.49 5d 18 0.74mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$256 · $3,072/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-04-27
    listed $100,000 Active 198-char remark
  15. 2024-09-18
    historical $1,000
  16. 2024-08-06
    price $1,000
  17. 2024-07-11
    listed $1,200
  18. 2012-10-26
    soldstatus
  19. 2010-01-05
    soldstatus $65,470

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,533 · $211/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,533 · $211/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,861
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,533
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,189
− Management
−$1,189
− HOA
−$3,072
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$2,132
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$512
After-tax cash flow
$-146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richardson ISD
NCES district ID
4837020
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$54,609
Composite
36.58/100
National rank
#4633
State rank
#316 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
63,481
Household income
$53,618
Rent vs Own
73.4% rent · 26.6% own
Severe rent burden
5970.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 23% White 22% Two or more races 10% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Swiss 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.08%
Current HPI
317.5287
Rent YoY
▼ -5.31%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+52.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $100,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-18 Rental Removed $1,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $1,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-11 Listed for Rent $1,200 NTREIS
  • 2012-10-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,470 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,533 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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