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6621 Shamus Ct #811
B+ Composite 77.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

6621 Shamus Ct #811 · Citrus Heights, CA 95621
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Manufactured · 5 Days on market
Built 1983 $85/sqft · 27% below area Est $163k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Excellent opportunity in the beautiful 55+ Lakeview Village community. This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home recently had the carpet and flooring replaced. Spacious living room has several windows and skylight making it naturally bright and welcoming. Great location on a quiet court. Priced to sell!

Key facts

  • Spacious living room
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1983

Tags

LAKEVIEW VILLAGE COMMUNITYCARPET AND FLOORING REPLACEDSPACIOUS LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located at 6621 Shamus Ct #811, Citrus Heights, CA 95621; Directions: Van Maren to Oak Lakes Lane, follow Oak Lakes Lane then right on Shamus Ct; property on left
  • Financial info: Land lease: No (listed land lease amount present)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Internet available; 220 volts in laundry
  • Home design: Manufactured in-park home; Double wide; Far West manufactured home (Far West Homes / Far West); Built in 1983
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Automatic sprinkler system (front and rear); Landscaping improvements

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven and range; Free-standing refrigerator; Hood over range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub; Tub with shower over; Shower stall(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted living room ceiling with skylights; Skylight in dining area; Dining and living room combined; Porch steps; Pets allowed with size limit
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 3.4% in Citrus Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#614 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • San Juan Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #138 of 517 in CA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.86%
Cash-on-cash
37.74%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,560
List price
$119,000
Delta
-26.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6116 Mame Ct 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+3%) 3mo $179,000 $124 85
6641 Grosse Point Ct 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,464 (+5%) 3mo $175,000 $120 81
6116 Mame Ct #905 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+3%) 8mo $100,000 $69 81
6637 Grosse Point Ct 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+10%) 1mo $95,000 $62 79
6113 Summerset Ln 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-4%) 2mo $169,000 $126 77
6105 Mame Ct 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-11%) 3mo $85,000 $68 76
6143 Blucher Ln 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,401 (+0%) 8mo $170,000 $121 74
6621 Grosse Point Ct 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-11%) 1mo $130,000 $104 73
6845 Caywood Ct 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (+10%) 2mo $150,000 $98 63
6923 Daisy Ln 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,488 (+6%) 7mo $155,000 $104 60
6206 Plymouth Rock Ln #110 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+10%) 1mo $159,000 $104 57
6937 Grand Tree Ln 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,495 (+7%) 6mo $169,500 $113 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$44,896
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
4.44×
Total profit
$114,769
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95621

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,367 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$1,048

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6219 Oak Valley Ln Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 2.5 1304 $2,295 $1.76 44d 1 0.33mi
6219 Oak Valley Ln Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 3.0 1304 $2,295 $1.76 18d 1 0.33mi
6203 Ackland Ct Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 1.5 1322 $2,500 $1.89 24d 1 0.56mi
6319 Misty Wood Way Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1454 $2,500 $1.72 44d 1 0.58mi
6011 Shadow Ln Citrus Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 779 $2,348 $3.01 2d 15 0.63mi
5979 Devecchi Ave Citrus Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,871 $2.41 2d 15 0.75mi
6948 Sunburst Way Citrus Heights, CA 4.0 2.5 1673 $3,000 $1.79 44d 1 0.77mi
6940 Trailride Way Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1527 $2,695 $1.76 44d 1 0.80mi
6104 Rockport Ln Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 2.5 1150 $2,295 $2.00 22d 1 0.80mi
5417 Olympic Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 920 $1,795 $1.95 15d 1 0.87mi
6687 Greenback Ln Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1323 $2,495 $1.89 18d 1 0.87mi
6025 Dewey Dr Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1847 $2,500 $1.35 24d 1 0.91mi
5844 Garden Park Ct Unit RV 5853-D Carmichael, CA 2.0 1.0 915 $1,525 $1.67 16d 1 0.96mi
5844 Garden Park Ct Unit RV 5877-B Carmichael, CA 2.0 1.0 915 $1,575 $1.72 16d 1 0.96mi
6558 Meadowcreek Way Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1304 $2,500 $1.92 44d 1 0.98mi
7120 Van Maren Ln Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1292 $2,495 $1.93 18d 1 0.98mi
6034 Centurion Cir Citrus Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1726 $3,100 $1.80 44d 1 1.01mi
5718 Manzanita Ave Carmichael, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $2,000 $2.04 44d 1 1.03mi
5922 Petaluma Ct Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 1048 $2,075 $1.98 2d 1 1.07mi
6913 Gold Run Ave Sacramento, CA 4.0 2.0 1474 $2,800 $1.90 20d 1 1.09mi
7135 Cobalt Way Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,995 $1.66 4d 1 1.10mi
6333 Aslin Way Carmichael, CA 4.0 2.0 1257 $2,750 $2.19 44d 1 1.13mi
7024 San Altos Cir Citrus Heights, CA 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,800 $2.50 44d 1 1.19mi
6841 Concert Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 2d 1 1.20mi
5587 Keoncrest Cir Unit 2 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $2,000 $2.22 2d 1 1.22mi
7139 Baranga Dr Citrus Heights, CA 3.0 1.5 1162 $2,500 $2.15 2d 1 1.26mi
6000 Coyle Ave Carmichael, CA 4.0 2.0 1120 $2,295 $2.05 24d 1 1.27mi
5233 Calistoga Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,495 $2.08 2d 1 1.31mi
6413 Tupelo Dr Citrus Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $2,000 $2.58 2d 10 1.38mi
6600 Hillsdale Blvd Sacramento, CA 3.0 3.0 1686 $2,600 $1.54 16d 1 1.40mi
6225 Wildomar Way Carmichael, CA 3.0 1.0 1040 $3,000 $2.88 44d 1 1.41mi
6172 Peoria Dr Citrus Heights, CA 2.0 1.0 917 $1,695 $1.85 4d 1 1.41mi
7761 Pompei Ct Unit 7763 Citrus Heights, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,705 $1.89 24d 1 1.47mi
7632 Van Maren Ln Unit 1 Citrus Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,495 $1.92 15d 1 1.49mi

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 36 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,408
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,273
− Management
−$2,273
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$11,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,725
After-tax cash flow
$9,848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Juan Unified
NCES district ID
0634620
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 16.00%
Median HH income
$55,655
Composite
44.07/100
National rank
#2878
State rank
#138 of 517 in CA

Livability — Citrus Heights

Score
60/100
State rank
#614
US rank
#19580

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Citrus Heights, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
89,370
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,442
Household income
$80,901
Rent vs Own
31.9% rent · 68.1% own
Severe rent burden
1854.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Asian 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -408.14%
Current HPI
351.9333
Rent YoY
▲ 1.90%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $205 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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