323 S Vine St · Kewanee, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$17,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sitting on a corner lot, this 3-bedroom, 1 bath home with 1 car attached garage needs a lot of work but if you are looking for a cheap, fixer upper home, this may be the home for you. The main floor features a spacious eat-in kitchen, a living room, 1 bedroom, a full bath with tub/shower combo, single vanity with sink & stool and a laundry room. The second floor has 2 more bedrooms. There is a privacy fenced back yard, but it also needs work and an enclosed front porch. Home has not been occupied for at least a year. Electricity is on but gas and water are not. With some work, this could be a real nice home. Home is being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchen
- Corner lot
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Special Service Area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (garage owned); Concrete parking; Total of 1 parking space / 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Over 100 years old; Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt and rubber roofing
- Exterior features: Corner lot; 72 x 90 lot dimensions; Curbs, sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area / table space
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (12 x 14); Second-floor bedroom (13 x 13); Second-floor bedroom (7 x 13)
- Flooring: Hardwood in living room; Tile in kitchen, laundry, and two upstairs bedrooms; Other flooring in master bedroom and enclosed porch
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen/dining combo; Unfinished full basement; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $17k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $17k).
- Cap rate 54.0% vs local median 8.7% in Kewanee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Kewanee CUSD 229 (town): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #540 of 620 in IL (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Central Junior High (math 5% / reading 26%, grade F, #493 of 665 statewide, top 75%, 250 students, 0% FRL); Kewanee High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #506 of 693 statewide, top 74%, 581 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $118 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $510 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 54.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 170.38%
- DSCR
- 8.58
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $90,396
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414 E Oak St | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-6%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $88 | 78 |
| 414 E Oak St | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-6%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $88 | 78 |
| 323 S Vine St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+15%) | 0mo | $17,000 | $15 | 75 |
| 716 Morton Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-6%) | 2mo | $94,000 | $103 | 66 |
| 416 S Park St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+4%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $25 | 58 |
| 136 W Mill St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,039 (+7%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 323 S Chestnut St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,098 (+13%) | 8mo | $67,500 | $61 | 51 |
| 518 E Division St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 875 (-10%) | 12mo | $88,000 | $101 | 50 |
| 110 N Park St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (+12%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $97 | 50 |
| 1010 Lake St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+5%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $52 | 47 |
| 419 E Church St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-14%) | 11mo | $78,500 | $93 | 31 |
| 419 E Church St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-14%) | 11mo | $78,500 | $93 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.47×
- Total profit
- $40,304
- Equity at exit
- $2,535
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.03×
- Total profit
- $90,583
- Equity at exit
- $1,470
Cash invested: $4,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61443
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,004 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$89
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$21 /mo · $255/yr
- Insurance
- −$7
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $676
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,250
- Closing costs
- $510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-21$17,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,050
- − Mortgage interest
- −$952
- − Property taxes
- −$255
- − Insurance
- −$85
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$964
- − Management
- −$964
- − Depreciation
- −$495
- Taxable income
- $8,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,001
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kewanee CUSD 229
- NCES district ID
- 1721000
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,294
- Composite
- 11.77/100
- National rank
- #9682
- State rank
- #540 of 620 in IL
Livability — Kewanee
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #409
- US rank
- #8423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kewanee, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,529
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,376 people
- By 2030
- 45,920 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 42,829 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 39,606 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 31,848 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 23,503 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% English 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.32%
- Current HPI
- 121.8672
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $17,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,701 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…