715 Country Pl Dr · Coolbaugh, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
STR- Friendly!!! in Amenity filled community. This beautifully cozy- cape home features including 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, open- concept layout with exposed Beanes, fireplace in the living room, tranquility of rural life! Also, the community offering Lakes, Beaches, swimming pool, Tennis court, and playground for the kids. .. . Very convenance location! closed to skiing area, hiking, water parks, outlet for shopping, fine restaurant, Mt. Airy casino and golf club. .. . Ideal for a primary residence; vacation home or investor for Air B & B. A must see!
Key facts
- Tennis court
- Swimming pool
- Exposed beans
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($354/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $210k implies a 664% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.60%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $233,037
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -9.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 765 Country Place Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+6%) | 3mo | $195,699 | $140 | 77 |
| 126 Feather Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-7%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $106 | 77 |
| 7511 Crestview Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (+1%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $201 | 73 |
| 532 Country Place Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (-5%) | 4mo | $242,000 | $192 | 67 |
| 8237 Natures Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-5%) | 6mo | $237,500 | $188 | 67 |
| 1150 Country Place Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-0%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $182 | 66 |
| 8191 Elk Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (-14%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $216 | 61 |
| 7515 Crestview Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-6%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $240 | 61 |
| 3188 Carobeth Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (-3%) | 1mo | $380,000 | $294 | 61 |
| 8229 Sunset Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-14%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $166 | 58 |
| 462 Country Place Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (+8%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $179 | 55 |
| 1094 Country Place Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-14%) | 2mo | $297,000 | $261 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $20,173
- Equity at exit
- $86,912
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $78,317
- Equity at exit
- $128,371
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,937 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,966/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$148
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $29
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $148 | -5% $89 | +0% $29 | +5% $-30 | +10% $-89 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-124 | -5% $-47 | +0% $29 | +5% $106 | +10% $183 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $135 | -0.5pp $83 | base $29 | +0.5pp $-25 | +1.0pp $-80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7694 Fawn Ln Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 776 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1870 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 954 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 954 Country Place Dr Unit H623 Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,900 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5215 Sundew Ter Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $148 · $1,776/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $210,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $215,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $218,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $218,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $218,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $218,000 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
STR- Friendly!!! in Amenity filled community. This beautifully cozy- cape home features including 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, open- concept layout with exposed Beanes, fireplace in the living room, tranquility of rural life! Also, the community offering Lakes, Beaches, swimming pool, Tennis court, and playground for the kids. .. . Very convenance location! closed to skiing area, hiking, water parks, outlet for shopping, fine restaurant, Mt. Airy casino and golf club. .. . Ideal for a primary residence; vacation home or investor for Air B & B. A must see!
-
2026-03-03$219,900 Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
STR- Friendly!!! in Amenity filled community. This beautifully cozy- cape home features including 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, open- concept layout with exposed Beanes, fireplace in the living room, tranquility of rural life! Also, the community offering Lakes, Beaches, swimming pool, Tennis court, and playground for the kids. .. . Very convenance location! closed to skiing area, hiking, water parks, outlet for shopping, fine restaurant, Mt. Airy casino and golf club. .. . Ideal for a primary residence; vacation home or investor for Air B & B. A must see!
-
2026-01-01price $239,900
-
2025-10-22$249,900 Active
-
2025-09-29price $239,000
-
2025-09-19price $279,000
-
2025-09-02$299,000 Active
-
2015-09-25soldstatus $27,500
-
2015-08-08$47,000
-
2002-06-06soldstatus $67,000
-
1997-05-20soldstatus $70,000
-
1986-03-10soldstatus $16,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,966 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,642 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$676/yr (+$56/mo · 34.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$1,966
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,859
- − Management
- −$1,859
- − HOA
- −$1,776
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$3,141
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$754
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coolbaugh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+1254.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $218,000 PMAR
- 2026-03-03 Listed $219,900 PMAR
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $239,900 PMAR
- 2025-10-22 Listed $249,900 PMAR
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $239,000 PMAR
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $279,000 PMAR
- 2025-09-02 Listed $299,000 PMAR
- 2015-09-25 Sold (MLS) $27,500 PMAR
- 2015-08-08 Listed $47,000 PMAR
- 2002-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1997-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1986-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $16,100 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,966 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…