2682 Fremont Ct · Bryan, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$257,280
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Ashburn floorplan at Pleasant Hill in Bryan, Texas is a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-story home covering approximately 1,262 sq. ft. The 2-car garage ensures plenty of space for vehicles and storage. In this floorplan, you'll find a home that makes the most of its space. The kitchen features beautiful shaker-style cabinetry with granite or quartz countertops as it flows into the dining area and great room. The bedrooms are carpeted, and the primary bedroom has an attached bathroom with a walk-in closet. The secondary bedrooms are cozy and carpeted, with plenty of closet space. The laundry room and a secondary bathroom are perfectly place next to these rooms for easy access.
Key facts
- Qolsys panel
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $257k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-592/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (2.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $219k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D+.
- Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mary Branch El (math 32% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 617 students, 83% FRL); Jane Long (math 32% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 998 students, 85% FRL); Travis B Bryan H S (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,419 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: 367 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.82%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $263,091
- List price
- $257,280
- Delta
- -2.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5541 Harriet St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (0%) | 0mo | $249,276 | $197 | 98 |
| 5538 Harriet St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (0%) | 1mo | $256,640 | $203 | 96 |
| 2209 Jeter Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+0%) | 4mo | $252,990 | $199 | 85 |
| 2240 Jeter Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (0%) | 5mo | $254,440 | $201 | 83 |
| 5414 Bear Run | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (0%) | 8mo | $258,265 | $204 | 81 |
| 2336 Jeter Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+0%) | 10mo | $253,990 | $200 | 76 |
| 5438 Bear Run | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+0%) | 5mo | $253,990 | $200 | 72 |
| 2634 Patschke Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+0%) | 6mo | $253,990 | $200 | 72 |
| 2436 Rooke Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+0%) | 10mo | $222,740 | $176 | 68 |
| 5415 Bear Run | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+12%) | 4mo | $267,890 | $189 | 63 |
| 5426 Bear Run | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+12%) | 8mo | $268,515 | $190 | 61 |
| 2252 Jeter Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+12%) | 10mo | $274,515 | $194 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-44,797
- Equity at exit
- $38,361
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-42,917
- Equity at exit
- $22,245
Cash invested: $72,038 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 29 active · 25 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.2 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $270,840 ($193/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 106 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77807
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,188 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,349
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$322 /mo · $3,859/yr
- Insurance
- −$107
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $-49
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $40 | +0% $-49 | +5% $-138 | +10% $-227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-222 | -5% $-136 | +0% $-49 | +5% $37 | +10% $124 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $80 | -0.5pp $16 | base $-49 | +0.5pp $-116 | +1.0pp $-184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,320
- Closing costs
- $7,718
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2148 Chief St Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,000 | $1.28 | 62d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2119 Chief St Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 62d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5433 Bear RUN Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $2,195 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2111 Chief St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,150 | $1.57 | 62d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2010 Chief St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $2,250 | $1.40 | 93d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1971 Chief St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 70d | 1 | 0.40mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $262,965
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 covered parking spaces (2-car garage total)
- Home design
- Single-family (Spec construction), Ashburn plan
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Living area of 1263
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-27days on market $257,280 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $257,280 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $257,280 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $257,280 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,280 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,280 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,280 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,280 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,280 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $249,280 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $254,280 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $254,280 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $254,280 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $254,280 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $254,280 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $254,280 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $254,280 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $254,280 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $254,280 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$262,965 Active 1311-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,259
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,412
- − Property taxes
- −$3,859
- − Insurance
- −$1,286
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,101
- − Management
- −$2,101
- − Depreciation
- −$7,485
- Taxable loss
- −$4,984
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,196
- After-tax cash flow
- $605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 24 photos
This single-story home in Bryan, Texas is in excellent condition with a smart home system and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of modern amenities and traditional design, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Smart home system — Enhances home security and convenience ↑
- Both Smart lighting — Saves energy and enhances ambiance ↑
- Both Smart blinds — Controls natural light and privacy ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811790
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,895
- Composite
- 26.26/100
- National rank
- #7253
- State rank
- #608 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #3341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 267,942 people
- City population
- 101,772
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,227
- Household income
- $74,375
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 18% Black 14% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.38%
- Current HPI
- 186.1387
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…