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204 SE 3rd St
C+ Composite 63.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$95,000

204 SE 3rd St · Springhill, LA 71075
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,382 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1960 8,712 sqft lot Est $87k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM HOME IS CURRENTLY TENANT OCCUPIED. THE KITCHEN AND BATHROOM WERE UPDATED LESS THAN ONE YEAR AGO. THIS HOME HAS RECENTLY BEEN UPDATED WITH NEW ELECTRIC, PLUMBING, PAINT, FLOORING, FIXTURES, CABINETS & COUNTERTOPS.

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • New flooring
  • Kitchen updated

Tags

KITCHEN UPDATEDBATHROOM UPDATEDNEW ELECTRICNEW PLUMBINGNEW PAINTNEW FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Power and utilities available via municipal services (no municipal utility district)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1960; One story; Not attached to another property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: All-weather road access; Asphalt surfaces; City sewer; City water; Lot less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.20 acre); Subdivision: EAST SIDE; Use GPS or Google Maps for directions

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (Primary bedroom on level 1)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; One level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 7.0% in Springhill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Webster Parish (town): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #67 of 98 in LA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Webster Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Webster County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.80%
Cash-on-cash
12.51%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,066
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 SE 3rd St 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,332 (-4%) 11mo $39,900 $30 79
303 Center Park Dr 0.11mi 2/1.0 1,278 (-8%) 16mo $30,000 $23 69
400 3rd St SE 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (-9%) 5mo $87,000 $69 68
709 W Church St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,397 (+1%) 2mo $40,000 $29 64
205 8th St NE 0.46mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,360 (-2%) 6mo $117,500 $86 63
700 Reynolds St 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,520 (+10%) 7mo $149,500 $98 56
201 North St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,297 (-6%) 9mo $53,000 $41 50
603 Center Park Dr 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,200 (-13%) 23mo $75,000 $63 49
201 NW 4th St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,539 (+11%) 6mo $99,900 $65 48
114 7th St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,319 (-5%) 21mo $55,000 $42 44
106 Farrar St 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,280 (-7%) 23mo $57,500 $45 41
702 S Park Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+11%) 13mo $109,500 $71 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$31,955
Equity at exit
$45,780
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
4.21×
Total profit
$85,503
Equity at exit
$73,033

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71075

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,090 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $554/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $739
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$554 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$554 · $46/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,082
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$554
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,047
− Management
−$1,047
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,874
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$450
After-tax cash flow
$2,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster Parish
NCES district ID
2201890
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -38.00%
Median HH income
$33,011
Composite
17.5/100
National rank
#9055
State rank
#67 of 98 in LA

Livability — Springhill

Score
65/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#12517

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springhill, LA
Population (ZIP)
5,417

Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,736 people
By 2030
36,203 · -4.1%
By 2040
32,988 · -12.6%
By 2050
29,743 · -21.2%
By 2075
22,346 · -40.8%
By 2100
15,045 · -60.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Webster

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.2% · R 67.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.1 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.57%
Current HPI
90.8938
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $95,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $554 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…