Triplex
15 E High St · Muncy, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.1/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained 3 unit apartment house in downtown Muncy with on-site laundry features a 2 bedroom apartment downstairs and 2- 1 bedroom apartments upstairs.
Key facts
- 2,614 sq ft lot
- Built 1901
- Listed 8 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned CBD
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Parking: No on-site parking
- Utilities: Public water; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential income property (multi-family / multi-units)
- Construction: Frame construction with asbestos; Block foundation; Built area approximately 2877
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas hot water heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 2×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $151/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#674 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Muncy SD (town): math 49% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #99 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ward L Myers El Sch (math 49% / reading 68%, grade B-, #426 of 1,518 statewide, top 28%, 457 students, 47% FRL); Muncy Jshs (math 50% / reading 62%, grade C, #90 of 437 statewide, top 21%, 484 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $238k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.08%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-15,664
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $23,451
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17756
- Home prices YoY
- -3.2%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 24.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,818 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$216 /mo · $2,592/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$592
- Net cashflow
- $454
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $610 | -5% $532 | +0% $454 | +5% $376 | +10% $298 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $231 | -5% $343 | +0% $454 | +5% $565 | +10% $677 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $592 | -0.5pp $524 | base $454 | +0.5pp $383 | +1.0pp $310 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $939 |
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $1,878 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $939 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $939 |
| Total (3 units) | $2,818 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $274,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 213-char remark
-
2026-06-13$274,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,592 · $216/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,468 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- +$875/yr (+$73/mo · 33.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$2,592
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,705
- − Management
- −$2,705
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable income
- $1,043
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$250
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,198/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muncy SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216230
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,309
- Composite
- 48.27/100
- National rank
- #2157
- State rank
- #99 of 539 in PA
Livability — Muncy
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #674
- US rank
- #6583
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muncy, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,525
Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,164 people
- By 2030
- 112,221 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 107,613 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 102,950 · -9.8%
- By 2075
- 92,987 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 80,924 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.73%
- Current HPI
- 233.9965
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+10.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $274,900 WBVAR
- 2024-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $237,500 Public Records
- 2024-09-12 Rental Removed $900 WBVAR
- 2024-08-14 Sold (MLS) — WBVAR
- 2024-07-31 Listed for Rent $900 WBVAR
- 2024-06-30 Contingent — WBVAR
- 2024-06-12 Listed $250,000 WBVAR
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,592 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…