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905 E 1st St
C- Composite 54.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,000

905 E 1st St · Salem, MO 65560
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 936 sqft · Other public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1950 7,156 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Call to schedule your private showing today. 1134 sq. ft. , 3 bedroom 2 bath home with one bedroom being non-conforming. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in the master bedroom and bathroom. Bedroom and bathroom have been recently updated. Vinyl siding, metal roof and vinyl windows. Concrete driveway, sidewalk and covered front porch. 10x10 covered back porch overlooking a nice back yard with a 14x14 garden shed with concrete floor. Large shade trees in the back yard. This property is located in a quiet area close to all of Salem's amenities. Within a 20 minute drive to Montauk State Park, Current River, Meramec River & Indian Trail.

Key facts

  • Vinyl windows
  • Metal roof
  • Recently updated

Tags

LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGRECENTLY UPDATEDVINYL SIDINGMETAL ROOFVINYL WINDOWSCONCRETE DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported by owner; Above-grade finished area reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; On-site parking; Additional parking; Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (single phase, 220 volts); Natural gas available; Cable and phone available; Sewer and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story house; Private ownership; Main entry and all living spaces on the main level
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Deck; Partial fencing; Shed(s) on the property; City lot with rectangular shape; Asphalt road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (all bedrooms located on main level); Bedroom sizes include 13x8, 10x11 and one additional main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Combination flooring; Linoleum; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level); Master bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Oil heating; Electric cooling with multiple units
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Combination of carpet, linoleum and vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Utility room on main level (10x9)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($905/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $74k (12.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.7% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#157 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Salem R-80 (town): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #253 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Salem Upper Elem. (math 28% / reading 40%, grade F, #739 of 1,115 statewide, top 67%, 336 students, 62% FRL); Salem Sr. High (math 8% / reading 47%, grade F, #417 of 521 statewide, top 80%, 616 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Dent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
  • Dent County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,300 (12.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.36%
Cash-on-cash
3.80%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$27,583
Equity at exit
$51,597
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
4.27×
Total profit
$77,794
Equity at exit
$92,023

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65560

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$743 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $364/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$156
Net cashflow
$75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $648
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 637-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$364 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$824 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$460/yr (+$38/mo · 126.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,916
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$364
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$713
− Management
−$713
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable loss
−$534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$128
After-tax cash flow
$1,033/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem R-80
NCES district ID
2927090
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$32,306
Composite
26.94/100
National rank
#7082
State rank
#253 of 324 in MO

Livability — Salem

Score
69/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#8725

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, MO
Population (ZIP)
13,634

Population outlook (Dent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,149 people
By 2030
14,734 · -2.7%
By 2040
13,862 · -8.5%
By 2050
12,959 · -14.5%
By 2075
11,217 · -26.0%
By 2100
9,399 · -38.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Dent

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.2) · D 14.4% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-32.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.8pp · 2024: -70.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.2 2020: R+69.0 2016: R+68.2 2012: R+49.6 2008: R+37.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.66%
Current HPI
238.9175
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-30 Price Changed $52,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $364 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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