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1250 Fair City Rd
B- Composite 69.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$69,000

1250 Fair City Rd · McClure, IL 62952
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 940 sqft · Other · 58 Days on market
Built 1945 Fair condition 0.98 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Peaceful country living starts here! This 3-bedroom home sits on nearly one acre and offers hardwood floors, comfortable living spaces, and plenty of potential to make it your own. The dry basement with tall ceilings provides excellent storage, a laundry area, and additional work space. Whether you’re looking for a full-time residence, a weekend retreat, or an investment opportunity, this property is a great find at an affordable price. Call for your showing today!

Key facts

  • Laundry area
  • Tall ceilings
  • Excellent storage

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSDRY BASEMENTTALL CEILINGSEXCELLENT STORAGELAUNDRY AREAADDITIONAL WORK SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as Active Under Contract

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway/parking (no garage)
  • Utilities: Septic system for wastewater
  • Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1945; One-story plus additional upper, lower and basement levels
  • Construction: Metal roof; Has basement (unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot just under 1 acre with varied dimensions

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (main level bedrooms with egress windows; additional bedrooms on upper, lower, basement/additional levels)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in primary bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Septic system (water/sewer related)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $69k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,264 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Shawnee CUSD 84 (rural): math 15% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #792 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Shawnee Elementary School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,477 of 2,056 statewide, top 74%, 151 students, 0% FRL); Shawnee Jr High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #501 of 665 statewide, top 77%, 65 students, 0% FRL); Shawnee High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 69 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $670 of equity ($477 loan paydown + $193 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Union County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
10.48%
Cash-on-cash
14.94%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.28% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$14,255
Equity at exit
$21,007
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$42,396
Equity at exit
$26,040

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62952

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$959 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,520/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $655
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $280 -5% $260 +0% $241 +5% $221 +10% $201
Rent -10% $165 -5% $203 +0% $241 +5% $278 +10% $316
Rate -1.0pp $275 -0.5pp $258 base $241 +0.5pp $223 +1.0pp $204

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $69,000 Under Contract 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,000 Under Contract 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Under Contract 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Under Contract 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Under Contract 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Under Contract 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $69,000 Under Contract 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 36 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    price $69,000 475-char remark
  18. 2026-04-24
    listed $75,000 Active 475-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,520 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,543 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$23/yr (+$2/mo · 1.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,512
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,520
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$921
− Management
−$921
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$1,932
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$464
After-tax cash flow
$2,423/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 3-bedroom home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and exterior, but has a good foundation and dry basement for additional storage. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the fresh paint and updated kitchen.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and worn
  • Major kitchen appliances — outdated and worn
  • Minor bathroom shower curtain — basic and outdated
  • Minor exterior siding — some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen with new cabinets and appliances — modern kitchen will attract more buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both repair and paint exterior siding — improved exterior will increase curb appeal and home value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · severely dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen appliances · outdated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom shower curtain · basic and outdated Minor $500–3,000
exterior siding · some discoloration Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $31,000–106,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen with new cabinets and appliances — modern kitchen will attract more buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both repair and paint exterior siding — improved exterior will increase curb appeal and home value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shawnee CUSD 84
NCES district ID
1742990
Math proficiency
15% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$37,116
Composite
15.99/100
National rank
#14300
State rank
#792 of 919 in IL

Livability — McClure

Score
54/100
State rank
#1264
US rank
#23768

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,950

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,606 people
By 2030
16,055 · -3.3%
By 2040
14,875 · -10.4%
By 2050
13,645 · -17.8%
By 2075
10,704 · -35.5%
By 2100
7,880 · -52.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-31.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.9pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+39.8 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+11.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.28%
Current HPI
106.3031
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $69,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $75,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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