818 Michigan St · Wildwood, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your perfect oasis in Wildwood Acres, a 55+ community! Conveniently located near The Villages and Brownwood Square. Newly renovated with fresh paint inside and out, new hot water tank and new flooring and baseboards throughout. All new AC systems have been installed in each room with both full bathrooms being completed updated themselves! All new everything in this gorgeous home with new installation and belly board installed underneath the home. Large Florida room with new screening! Washer hook up inside with dryer hook up in shed. Plenty of room for storage, a long carport and a great large open floor plan! Lot rent is around $735 a month. Community approval required. Comes fu
Key facts
- New screening
- New hot water tank
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished
- HOA & community: Located in Wildwood Acres with buyer approval required; Community clubhouse; Community pool; Tennis courts; Golf carts allowed; Pets allowed (cats and dogs); Association requires approval; no monthly fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One level; Northeast facing; Completed condition
- Construction: Metal roof; Block foundation and crawl space; Built as a manufactured single wide
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch/patio; Metal siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen and family room combo; Living room and dining room combo; Split bedroom layout; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 3.9% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 428 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.74%
- DSCR
- 3.26
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,040
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 927 Village Dr | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 768 (-9%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $156 | 75 |
| 6378 County Road 154b | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-7%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $121 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $35,325
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.25×
- Total profit
- $88,223
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34785
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 428
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,424 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $710
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $752 | -5% $731 | +0% $710 | +5% $690 | +10% $669 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $598 | -5% $654 | +0% $710 | +5% $767 | +10% $823 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $741 | -0.5pp $726 | base $710 | +0.5pp $695 | +1.0pp $679 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1016 Century Dr Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,399 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 605 Sunnyside Dr Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 6629 Dan DiCiolla Dr Wildwood, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1075 | $1,874 | $1.74 | 22d | 44 | 0.67mi |
| 5901 Myrtle DR Wildwood, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $2,009 | $2.05 | 22d | 11 | 0.92mi |
| 805 Peters St Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $850 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 409 Kilgore St Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $650 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 505 Kilgore St Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $650 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7011 Homestead Lp Wildwood, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,469 | $1.47 | 22d | 22 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-01$60,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,088
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,367
- − Management
- −$1,367
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $8,048
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,931
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,592/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with recent renovations, offering a move-in-ready living space in a desirable community.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale Replace old appliances — Improves functionality and appeal
- Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Enhances ambiance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace old appliances — Improves functionality and appeal ↑
- Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Enhances ambiance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wildwood
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #8500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wildwood, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 21,568
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,568
- Household income
- $66,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 730.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.14%
- Current HPI
- 267.9137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.85%
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…