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8796 Madison Ave
F Composite 29.7
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.3/30.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$420,000

8796 Madison Ave · Munster, IN 46321
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,539 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1976 9,750 sqft lot Est $376k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Within walking distance to Munster's excellent High school and Middle school, this 4 bedroom 2 bathroom Quad is well-maintained and spacious. The home offers a thoughtful layout with exceptional indoor and outdoor living spaces. Highlights include a large game room with its own dedicated furnace and central air, also located in the game room is a hot tub and ping pong table included with the sale. The family room has a gas fireplace, and oversized windows throughout that provide abundant natural light. The home features four bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with luxury vinyl flooring in the bedrooms installed approximately 1 year ago. Living spaces include a formal dining room, living room, family

Key facts

  • Hot tub
  • Ping pong table
  • Gas fireplace

Tags

GAME ROOMHOT TUBPING PONG TABLEGAS FIREPLACEOVERSIZED WINDOWSLUXURY VINYL FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $420k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-385 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $352k (16.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (27.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $303k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in IN, #1,427 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • School Town Of Munster (suburban): math 65% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #6 of 301 in IN (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: James B Eads Elementary School (math 75% / reading 57%, grade B+, #71 of 994 statewide, top 7%, 507 students, 33% FRL); Wilbur Wright Middle School (math 51% / reading 59%, grade B-, #26 of 330 statewide, top 8%, 908 students, 24% FRL); Munster High School (math 71% / reading 91%, grade A, #4 of 369 statewide, top 1%, 1,564 students, 23% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($395k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $302,780 (27.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.19%
Cash-on-cash
-3.93%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$375,772
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8760 Madison Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 2,508 (-1%) 6mo $368,000 $147 90
8778 Madison Ave 0.03mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,600 (+2%) 4mo $385,000 $148 82
8706 Madison Ave 0.18mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,448 (-4%) 6mo $389,706 $159 69
218 Lawndale Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,544 (+0%) 1mo $360,000 $142 67
9031 Columbia Ave 0.49mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,565 (+1%) 2mo $540,000 $211 67
1004 Fran-lin Pkwy 0.61mi 3/2.5 2,480 (-2%) 1mo $424,900 $171 65
8749 Monroe Ave 0.09mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,192 (-14%) 4mo $388,000 $177 61
8549 Forest Ave 0.71mi 3/2.5 2,626 (+3%) 7mo $375,000 $143 54
8639 Linden Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 2,378 (-6%) 2mo $355,000 $149 52
8719 Linden Ave 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,712 (+7%) 0mo $383,000 $141 48
901 Ridgeway Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,732 (+8%) 3mo $372,000 $136 46
8612 Hohman Ave 0.60mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,844 (+12%) 2mo $374,900 $132 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.9%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-92,597
Equity at exit
$62,623
10-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.04×
Total profit
$-112,317
Equity at exit
$36,314

Cash invested: $117,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46321

Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,028 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,203
Tax from tax record
$399 /mo · $4,791/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$636
Net cashflow
$-385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,515
Max offer price $352,026
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-147 -5% $-266 +0% $-385 +5% $-504 +10% $-623
Rent -10% $-624 -5% $-504 +0% $-385 +5% $-265 +10% $-146
Rate -1.0pp $-173 -0.5pp $-278 base $-385 +0.5pp $-494 +1.0pp $-604

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$105,000
Closing costs
$12,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
548 South St Munster, IN 4.0 2.0 2300 $3,300 $1.43 6d 1 0.52mi
8016 Monaldi Dr Munster, IN 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,999 $1.50 12d 1 1.11mi
18006 Wentworth Ave #3553 Lansing, IL 2.0 1.0 1900 $1,950 $1.03 2d 1 1.39mi
7741 Hohman Ave Munster, IN 4.0 2.0 2200 $3,200 $1.45 12d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-11
    listed $420,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,791 · $399/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,791 · $399/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,334
− Mortgage interest
−$23,527
− Property taxes
−$4,791
− Insurance
−$2,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,907
− Management
−$2,907
− Depreciation
−$12,218
Taxable loss
−$12,115
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,908
After-tax cash flow
$-1,710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
School Town Of Munster
NCES district ID
1807350
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,901
Composite
56.91/100
National rank
#1115
State rank
#6 of 301 in IN

Livability — Munster

Score
81/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#1427

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Munster, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
23,733
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
23,733
Household income
$110,187
Rent vs Own
13.0% rent · 87.0% own
Severe rent burden
338.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.34%
Current HPI
232.4818
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $420,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,791 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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