109 SE 16th Ave Unit Q301 · Gainesville, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently refreshed! 2 bed/2 bath condo close to the University of Florida, UF Health Shands Hospital, the VA Hospital, the UF Veterinary College, and Downtown Gainesville. Conveniently located on a UF bus line, making it easy to get to campus and nearby hospitals. This condo has a strong rental history and was recently rented for up to $1,100/month. Updates include new LVP flooring in the main living areas and bathrooms, plus brand-new carpet in the bedrooms. Each bedroom has its own private bathroom and spacious closet. All appliances convey, including washer and dryer, with a brand-new dishwasher just installed. Community amenities include two pools and a fitness center. Priced to sell. Do not miss this opportunity!
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Near uf bus line
- Near va hospital
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-92 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (13.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in FL, #1,480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,321/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 3429% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 458 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 9614% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $119k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 458 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.31%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-21,881
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-12,648
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32601
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,321 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $-92
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 458 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 457 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 456 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 455 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 453 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 452 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 450 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 449 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 448 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 447 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 444 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 443 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 442 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 441 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 440 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 439 DOM
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2026-04-06historical $1,225
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2025-10-08$1,225
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2025-04-26price $119,000 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Recently refreshed! 2 bed/2 bath condo close to the University of Florida, UF Health Shands Hospital, the VA Hospital, the UF Veterinary College, and Downtown Gainesville. Conveniently located on a UF bus line, making it easy to get to campus and nearby hospitals. This condo has a strong rental history and was recently rented for up to $1,100/month. Updates include new LVP flooring in the main living areas and bathrooms, plus brand-new carpet in the bedrooms. Each bedroom has its own private bathroom and spacious closet. All appliances convey, including washer and dryer, with a brand-new dishwasher just installed. Community amenities include two pools and a fitness center. Priced to sell. Do not miss this opportunity!
-
2025-03-17$124,900 Active 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Recently refreshed! 2 bed/2 bath condo close to the University of Florida, UF Health Shands Hospital, the VA Hospital, the UF Veterinary College, and Downtown Gainesville. Conveniently located on a UF bus line, making it easy to get to campus and nearby hospitals. This condo has a strong rental history and was recently rented for up to $1,100/month. Updates include new LVP flooring in the main living areas and bathrooms, plus brand-new carpet in the bedrooms. Each bedroom has its own private bathroom and spacious closet. All appliances convey, including washer and dryer, with a brand-new dishwasher just installed. Community amenities include two pools and a fitness center. Priced to sell. Do not miss this opportunity!
-
1986-10-01soldstatus $57,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,246 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,246 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,857
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$2,246
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,269
- − Management
- −$1,269
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$2,949
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$708
- After-tax cash flow
- $-395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alachua
- NCES district ID
- 1200030
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,683
- Composite
- 43.31/100
- National rank
- #3038
- State rank
- #30 of 73 in FL
Livability — Gainesville
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gainesville, FL
- County
- Alachua County · 218,005 people
- City population
- 188,348
- Metro
- Gainesville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,180
- Household income
- $30,352
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3429.0
Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 289,834 people
- By 2030
- 305,873 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 335,246 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 364,719 · +25.8%
- By 2075
- 436,665 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 482,920 · +66.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alachua
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.81%
- Current HPI
- 327.9985
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.24%
- Metro
- Gainesville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-97.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Rental Removed $1,225 STELLARMLS
- 2025-10-08 Listed for Rent $1,225 STELLARMLS
- 2025-04-26 Price Changed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-17 Listed $124,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,246 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…