6015 19th St N #109 · Lealman, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for an amazing deal you just found it, this 1 bedroom, 1 bath condo is a blank canvas and ready for you to make it your own. If you are looking to live in St. Pete you can not pass by this unit. This very active 55+ community is located in the heart of St. Pete, Minutes to shopping, restaurants, easy commute to the airport. The community has many amenities, in ground pool, shuffle board, club house, horse shoes, corn hole and the highly sought after gas for your appliances. Your parking spot is directly behind your condo by the back door, what a convenience this is! No pets or Rentals Permitted. Cash only.
Key facts
- Marble countertops
- Assigned parking
- Upgraded
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished
- Financial info: Total annual fees: $6,144
- HOA & community: Monthly condo/association fee ($512) — includes cable TV, common area taxes, pool, reserves, fidelity bond, gas, insurance, internet, building and grounds maintenance, management, pest control, private road, recreational facilities, security, sewer, trash and water; Association amenities: Clubhouse, Shuffleboard court; Association requires approval; Association fee due monthly; Senior community; Community features: Association-owned recreation, clubhouse, pool, sidewalks, wheelchair access, street lights, golf carts OK; Pets not allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Guest parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; West-facing; One level (listed as One); 3 total stories in building; Entry on floor 1
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building name/number: PARK
- Exterior features: Awnings; Rain gutters; Sidewalks; Heated pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (floor 1)
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Florida room; Building has elevator
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-710/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $99k (9.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in FL, #1,394 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: John M. Sexton Elementary School (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #1,223 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 449 students, 71% FRL); Northeast High School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #289 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 1,736 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $109k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.33%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-25,232
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -49.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.36×
- Total profit
- $-41,461
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33714
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,389 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $328/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$512
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $-59
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5850 18th St N St Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 727 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 24d | 2 | 0.06mi |
| 660 62nd Ave N #1204 Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,400 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4481 Crestwood Dr N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,950 | $2.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3109 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,025 | $2.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3109 54th Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,025 | $2.56 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 209 NW Jefferson Cir N Unit 15 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,275 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 209 NW Jefferson Cir N Unit JEFFERSON209-15 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,275 | $1.72 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5364 4th St N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $1,150 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 550 50th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,700 | $2.22 | 7d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 1001 77th Ave N #308 Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,325 | $2.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 375 54th Ter N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $2,375 | $2.46 | 2d | 13 | 1.37mi |
| 1051 79th Ave N #107 Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,495 | $2.08 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 500 75th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $1,195 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3725 18th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,795 | $2.56 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2807 41st Ave N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,600 | $3.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 600 76th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 775 | $1,449 | $1.87 | 4d | 10 | 1.45mi |
| 8212 11th St N Unit D Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,200 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $512 · $6,144/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-03-31$109,000 Active
-
2026-01-12soldstatus $55,000
-
2026-01-09soldstatus $55,000 Closed 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
If you are looking for an amazing deal you just found it, this 1 bedroom, 1 bath condo is a blank canvas and ready for you to make it your own. If you are looking to live in St. Pete you can not pass by this unit. This very active 55+ community is located in the heart of St. Pete, Minutes to shopping, restaurants, easy commute to the airport. The community has many amenities, in ground pool, shuffle board, club house, horse shoes, corn hole and the highly sought after gas for your appliances. Your parking spot is directly behind your condo by the back door, what a convenience this is! No pets or Rentals Permitted. Cash only.
-
2025-12-26status Pending 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
If you are looking for an amazing deal you just found it, this 1 bedroom, 1 bath condo is a blank canvas and ready for you to make it your own. If you are looking to live in St. Pete you can not pass by this unit. This very active 55+ community is located in the heart of St. Pete, Minutes to shopping, restaurants, easy commute to the airport. The community has many amenities, in ground pool, shuffle board, club house, horse shoes, corn hole and the highly sought after gas for your appliances. Your parking spot is directly behind your condo by the back door, what a convenience this is! No pets or Rentals Permitted. Cash only.
-
2025-12-23$59,900 Active 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
If you are looking for an amazing deal you just found it, this 1 bedroom, 1 bath condo is a blank canvas and ready for you to make it your own. If you are looking to live in St. Pete you can not pass by this unit. This very active 55+ community is located in the heart of St. Pete, Minutes to shopping, restaurants, easy commute to the airport. The community has many amenities, in ground pool, shuffle board, club house, horse shoes, corn hole and the highly sought after gas for your appliances. Your parking spot is directly behind your condo by the back door, what a convenience this is! No pets or Rentals Permitted. Cash only.
-
2014-02-07soldstatus $31,500 34-char remark
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
Input for statistical reasons only
-
2014-02-07soldstatus $31,500
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
Input for statistical reasons only
-
2014-02-06$34,900 34-char remark
Show marketing remark (34 chars)
Input for statistical reasons only
-
2013-05-15soldstatus $22,000
-
2006-06-13soldstatus $55,000
-
1987-04-01soldstatus $35,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $328 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $905 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$576/yr (+$48/mo · 175.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,667
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$328
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − HOA
- −$6,144
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$2,294
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$551
- After-tax cash flow
- $-159/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lealman
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #1394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lealman, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 20,103
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,227
- Household income
- $47,487
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 915.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -179.12%
- Current HPI
- 399.6253
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.08%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+203.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listed $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2026-01-09 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-26 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-23 Listed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
- 2014-02-07 Sold (MLS) $31,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-06 Listed $34,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1987-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $328 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…