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3100 Going to the Sun
C+ Composite 62.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.5

$105,000

3100 Going to the Sun · Sebring, FL 33872
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 221 Days on market
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Built 2005 Good condition $67/sqft · 14% below area Est $122k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your new home in the friendly 55+ community of Tanglewood in Sebring, FL! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, convenience, and plenty of space to enjoy the Florida lifestyle. Step inside to find new flooring, a spacious layout with a formal dining room, and abundant storage throughout & mdash; including two pantries for added convenience. The thoughtfully designed floor plan even features the laundry located in the primary bathroom, making everyday living easier. Major updates provide peace of mind, including a new roof (2022), new A/C (2021), and a brand-new hot water heater (2025).

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • New flooring
  • New a/c

Tags

NEW FLOORINGFORMAL DINING ROOMTWO PANTRIESLAUNDRY IN PRIMARY BATHROOMNEW ROOFNEW A/C

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.7% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sun 'N Lake Elementary School (math 63% / reading 59%, grade B, #653 of 2,144 statewide, top 31%, 618 students, 67% FRL); Hill-Gustat Middle School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C, #232 of 571 statewide, top 41%, 705 students, 63% FRL); Avon Park High School (math 35% / reading 39%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 928 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 1055 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.12%
Cash-on-cash
17.26%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,120
List price
$105,000
Delta
-14.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3312 Beartooth Pass 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+3%) 4mo $50,000 $31 89
2556 Georgia St 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,396 (-11%) 14mo $172,000 $123 46
1405 Lisbon Ln 0.88mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (-7%) 4mo $90,000 $62 44
1304 Briaridge Cir N 0.87mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,492 (-5%) 13mo $82,000 $55 41
3352 Delaware Ave 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (-17%) 17mo $157,000 $121 38
3201 New York Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-14%) 19mo $150,000 $112 36
2515 Seattle Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,806 (+15%) 19mo $215,000 $119 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$7,986
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$33,934
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
32 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
38.4 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$88,900 ($59/sqft)
Median days on market
1 d
This list price
81% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+32.1% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33872

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
1055
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,454 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $495 -5% $459 +0% $423 +5% $386 +10% $350
Rent -10% $308 -5% $365 +0% $423 +5% $480 +10% $538
Rate -1.0pp $476 -0.5pp $449 base $423 +0.5pp $396 +1.0pp $368

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3802 Peugeot St Sebring, FL 3.0 2.0 1563 $1,550 $0.99 6d 1 0.21mi
1409 Palm Way Sebring, FL 3.0 2.0 1768 $1,900 $1.07 6d 1 0.70mi
4407 Sunbeam St Sebring, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,200 $1.76 6d 1 0.88mi
4700 Sunbeam St Sebring, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,900 $1.50 6d 1 0.89mi
4616 Granada Blvd Sebring, FL 2.0 2.0 1319 $1,600 $1.21 6d 1 1.03mi
5007 Granada Blvd Sebring, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,500 $2.17 6d 1 1.04mi
5722 Granada Blvd Sebring, FL 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,800 $1.32 6d 1 1.09mi
3919 Tangier St Sebring, FL 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,950 $1.26 6d 1 1.14mi
3757 Sebring Pkwy Sebring, FL 3.0 2.0 1460 $2,000 $1.37 6d 1 1.27mi
3801 Edgewater Dr Sebring, FL 2.0 2.0 1234 $1,550 $1.26 6d 1 1.34mi
4502 Mercado Dr Sebring, FL 2.0 2.0 1260 $1,450 $1.15 4d 1 1.36mi
4500 Mercado Dr Sebring, FL 2.0 2.0 1260 $1,450 $1.15 6d 1 1.36mi
3908 Garienda Ave Sebring, FL 3.0 3.0 1723 $2,400 $1.39 6d 1 1.39mi
4000 Garienda Ave Sebring, FL 3.0 3.0 1723 $2,450 $1.42 6d 1 1.39mi
3915 Edgewater Dr Sebring, FL 2.0 2.5 1484 $1,500 $1.01 6d 1 1.42mi
4315 Vantage Cir Sebring, FL 2.0 2.0 1101 $1,600 $1.45 6d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $105,000 Active 221 DOM
  2. 2026-09-24
    days on market $105,000 Active 220 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $105,000 Active 219 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 218 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $105,000 Active 217 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 215 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 214 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 213 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 212 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 211 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 210 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 209 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $105,000 Active 208 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 202 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 201 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 200 DOM
  17. 2026-09-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 199 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $105,000 Active 196 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $105,000 Active 195 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $105,000 Active 194 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    days on market $105,000 Active 191 DOM
  22. 2026-08-24
    days on market $105,000 Active 190 DOM
  23. 2026-08-23
    days on market $105,000 Active 189 DOM
  24. 2026-08-22
    days on market $105,000 Active 188 DOM
  25. 2026-08-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 187 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $105,000 Active 186 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $105,000 Active 185 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 184 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 183 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 182 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 181 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 180 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 179 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 178 DOM
  35. 2026-08-11
    days on market $105,000 Active 177 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 176 DOM
  37. 2026-08-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 175 DOM
  38. 2026-08-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 174 DOM
  39. 2026-08-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 173 DOM
  40. 2026-08-06
    days on market $105,000 Active 172 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 171 DOM
  42. 2026-08-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 170 DOM
  43. 2026-08-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 169 DOM
  44. 2026-07-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 166 DOM
  45. 2026-07-30
    days on market $105,000 Active 165 DOM
  46. 2026-07-29
    days on market $105,000 Active 164 DOM
  47. 2026-07-27
    days on market $105,000 Active 162 DOM
  48. 2026-07-25
    days on market $105,000 Active 160 DOM
  49. 2026-07-23
    days on market $105,000 Active 158 DOM
  50. 2026-07-22
    days on market $105,000 Active 157 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,444
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,396
− Management
−$1,396
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$3,617
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$868
After-tax cash flow
$4,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,840–$23,520 screening

This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in a 55+ community offers a good condition with recent updates and a good curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 50/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Sun 'n Lake Elementary School B FL #653/2,144 Nat'l #6,943/41,679 Middle Hill-Gustat Middle School C FL #232/571 Nat'l #3,192/14,009 High Avon Park High School F FL #340/667 Nat'l #9,001/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highlands
NCES district ID
1200840
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,276
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4672
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Sebring

Score
66/100
State rank
#618
US rank
#11992

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Highlands County · 99,674 people
City population
50,797
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,746
Household income
$69,578
Rent vs Own
10.6% rent · 89.4% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,674 people
By 2030
99,615 · -0.1%
By 2040
99,342 · -0.3%
By 2050
98,242 · -1.4%
By 2075
93,291 · -6.4%
By 2100
79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Russian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $105,000 Fizber.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…