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1706 12th St
F Composite 27.95
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$194,990

1706 12th St · Galena Park, TX 77547
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 949 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1950 5,375 sqft lot $205/sqft · 62% above area Est $182k · 7% over ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home with dedicated office in Galena Park! This top-to-bottom remodel features a new roof, new HVAC system, foundation work, updated electrical, new windows, blown-in insulation, and fresh interior and exterior paint. Enjoy an open-concept layout with a reconfigured kitchen showcasing white shaker cabinets, contrasting island, quartz countertops, subway tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and recessed lighting. Both bathrooms are completely updated with modern tile, new vanities, fixtures, and glass shower enclosure. New vinyl flooring, interior doors, baseboards, lighting, and hardware throughout. Exterior improvements include siding repairs, fres

Key facts

  • Updated electrical
  • Foundation work
  • Dedicated office

Tags

DEDICATED OFFICENEW ROOFNEW HVAC SYSTEMFOUNDATION WORKUPDATED ELECTRICALNEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Driveway; Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-level entry (first-floor living)
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Cement siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Gas cooktop; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10 x 15); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 9 x 11); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10 x 10); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Gas cooktop; Microwave

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-519 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (47.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (43.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (47.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.1% vs local median 4.1% in Galena Park — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#456 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Macarthur El (math 40% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,883 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 614 students, 89% FRL); Galena Park Middle (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 943 students, 88% FRL); Galena Park H S (math 37% / reading 36%, grade F, #924 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,914 students, 87% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,234 (47.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
3.10%
Cash-on-cash
-11.42%
DSCR
0.49
GRM
14.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,171
List price
$194,990
Delta
7.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1304 Pugh Dr 0.40mi 2/1.0 955 (+1%) 5mo $194,000 $203 76
2106 6th St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-1%) 1mo $140,000 $150 73
1705 13th St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,011 (+6%) 10mo $175,000 $173 68
1512 12th St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,052 (+11%) 2mo $185,000 $176 67
1106 11th St 0.46mi 2/1.0 970 (+2%) 13mo $80,000 $82 64
1117 16th St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 920 (-3%) 5mo $168,000 $183 58
1407 Craig Dr 0.54mi 2/1.0 872 (-8%) 10mo $161,500 $185 52
2105 12th St 0.31mi 2/1.5 810 (-15%) 10mo $163,000 $201 51
810 Eastway St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,085 (+14%) 12mo $199,900 $184 50
1706 Holland Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 808 (-15%) 19mo $174,999 $217 41
2219 8th St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+14%) 12mo $140,000 $130 36
1007 13th St 0.51mi 2/1.0 1,088 (+15%) 20mo $120,000 $110 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$11,474
Equity at exit
$110,040
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$63,615
Equity at exit
$189,536

Cash invested: $54,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77547

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,105 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$288 /mo · $3,459/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$-519

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,762
Max offer price $103,234
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-409 -5% $-464 +0% $-519 +5% $-575 +10% $-630
Rent -10% $-607 -5% $-563 +0% $-519 +5% $-476 +10% $-432
Rate -1.0pp $-421 -0.5pp $-470 base $-519 +0.5pp $-570 +1.0pp $-621

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,748
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
423 Armstrong St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,499 $1.38 0d 1 0.94mi
403 Armstrong St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,399 $1.54 0d 1 1.00mi
335 Delaware St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 784 $940 $1.20 14d 1 1.01mi
9743 Veyblum St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,145 $1.31 6d 1 1.19mi
9713 Stedman St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,095 $1.26 45d 1 1.31mi
1726 Switzer St Unit 4 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 620 $500 $0.81 21d 1 1.48mi
1726 Switzer St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 620 $500 $0.81 16d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $194,990 Pending 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,990 Pending 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $194,990 Pending 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,990 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,990 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    historical
  7. 2026-05-13
    listed $194,990 Active 854-char remark
  8. 2026-04-19
    price $195,000
  9. 2026-03-26
    price $209,000
  10. 2026-03-15
    price $217,500
  11. 2026-02-11
    listed $229,000 Active
  12. 2025-09-09
    soldstatus
  13. 2016-08-10
    soldstatus
  14. 1988-06-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,459 · $288/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,568 · $297/mo
Expected delta
+$109/yr (+$9/mo · 3.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 49% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,255
− Mortgage interest
−$10,922
− Property taxes
−$3,459
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,060
− Management
−$1,060
− Depreciation
−$5,672
Taxable loss
−$9,895
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,375
After-tax cash flow
$-3,858/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galena Park ISD
NCES district ID
4820250
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,158
Composite
27.62/100
National rank
#6927
State rank
#578 of 826 in TX

Livability — Galena Park

Score
68/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#9227

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galena Park, TX
City population
9,380
Population (ZIP)
9,380

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 90% Two or more races 46% Black 5% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 88%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada
Languages at home
21% English-only · Spanish 79%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.96%
Current HPI
252.9899
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $194,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $195,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $209,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-15 Price Changed $217,500 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $229,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-08-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-06-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,459 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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