20301 W Country Club Dr #1630 · Aventura, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in a quiet and friendly building this 1 bedroom convertible 2 bath has a view of the golf course on prestigious Country Club Drive in the heart of Aventura. Split bedroom floor plan. Low condo fees. This is a great apartment. Walk to stores and restaurants. Only 5 minutes to the beach. 3.5 mile bike and walking path across from the property. Affordable luxury in the best location.
Key facts
- Skyline views
- Split-bedroom layout
- Generous closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association pool is heated
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or conditions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes management, amenities, common areas, cable TV, hot water, laundry, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, and parking; Association amenities include billiard room, clubhouse, fitness center, barbecue, picnic area, pool, sauna, storage, and elevators
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Covered parking; Two or more parking spaces; 1 covered garage space (1-car garage)
- Security: Complex fenced; Key card entry; Security guard; Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Hot water included in association services
- Home design: Attached property; Resale unit; 16th floor entry
- Construction: Block construction; 27 stories
- Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony; Screened balcony; On golf course
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Parquet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Furnishing negotiable; Split bedrooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry included in association services
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-198 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (12.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $290k).
- Recommended offer: $255k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, commute A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Aventura Waterways K-8 Center (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 2,168 students, 32% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 993 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,904/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $179k; list at $290k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.38%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-70,184
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- -58.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.45×
- Total profit
- $-118,121
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33180
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 993
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,904 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$1,007
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$820
- Net cashflow
- $-198
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-34 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-198 | +5% $-280 | +10% $-362 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-506 | -5% $-352 | +0% $-198 | +5% $-44 | +10% $111 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-52 | -0.5pp $-124 | base $-198 | +0.5pp $-273 | +1.0pp $-349 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 SW 10th St Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1289 | $3,900 | $3.03 | 26d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 215 SE 5th St Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $2,700 | $2.38 | 26d | 5 | 1.22mi |
| 707 SW 3rd Ave Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $5,500 | $4.02 | 7d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 211 SE 4th St #3 Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $3,950 | $3.06 | 26d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1180 E Hallandale Beach Blvd Unit 1241877P Hallandale Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $5,453 | $6.46 | 5d | 2 | 1.40mi |
| 90 SW 3rd St Unit 2400 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $3,700 | $3.43 | 26d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2069 S Ocean Dr Unit TH12 Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $4,800 | $3.20 | 26d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2069 S Ocean Dr Unit TH12 Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $4,800 | $3.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2017 S Ocean Dr #1107 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $3,900 | $3.07 | 16d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3180 S Ocean Dr #1709 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $4,000 | $3.62 | 9d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3180 S Ocean Dr Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $3,650 | $2.84 | 26d | 3 | 1.43mi |
| 3180 S Ocean Dr Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1263 | $3,750 | $2.97 | 22d | 2 | 1.43mi |
| 201 Golden Isles Dr #302 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,975 | $3.46 | 26d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3140 S Ocean Dr Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,250 | $3.86 | 1d | 3 | 1.46mi |
| 644 SW 7th Ct Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $3,800 | $2.55 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2065 S Ocean Dr Unit 1049793P Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 871 | $4,971 | $5.71 | 9d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2080 S Ocean Dr Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1270 | $3,800 | $2.99 | 5d | 11 | 1.49mi |
| 2080 S Ocean Dr Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1270 | $3,900 | $3.07 | 26d | 7 | 1.49mi |
| 2080 S Ocean Dr #8 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,000 | $3.64 | 26d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2080 S Ocean Dr #6 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $4,500 | $3.86 | 26d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2080 S Ocean Dr #3 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $5,000 | $3.97 | 26d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,007 · $12,084/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $290,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $290,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $290,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $290,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $290,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $290,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $290,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-02-27price $290,000
-
2026-02-24price $240,000
-
2025-12-23price $290,000
-
2025-12-12$320,000 Active
-
2019-07-02status Active
-
2019-05-31status Pending
-
2019-03-26price $216,000
-
2018-10-31price $225,000
-
2018-10-30status Active
-
2018-09-11historical
-
2018-09-11historical
-
2018-07-12$218,000 Active
-
2013-08-20soldstatus $179,000
-
2013-07-11soldstatus $179,000 Sold 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Located in a quiet and friendly building this 1 bedroom convertible 2 bath has a view of the golf course on prestigious Country Club Drive in the heart of Aventura. Split bedroom floor plan. Low condo fees. This is a great apartment. Walk to stores and restaurants. Only 5 minutes to the beach. 3.5 mile bike and walking path across from the property. Affordable luxury in the best location.
-
2013-05-15status Pending 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Located in a quiet and friendly building this 1 bedroom convertible 2 bath has a view of the golf course on prestigious Country Club Drive in the heart of Aventura. Split bedroom floor plan. Low condo fees. This is a great apartment. Walk to stores and restaurants. Only 5 minutes to the beach. 3.5 mile bike and walking path across from the property. Affordable luxury in the best location.
-
1976-03-01soldstatus $39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,484 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,484 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$2,484
- − Insurance
- −$6,568
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,748
- − Management
- −$3,748
- − HOA
- −$12,084
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$6,462
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,551
- After-tax cash flow
- $-822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Aventura
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #1834
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aventura, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,147
- Household income
- $91,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 28% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 7% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -343.81%
- Current HPI
- 234.7715
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.51%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+643.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $290,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $240,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $290,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $320,000 MARMLS
- 2019-07-02 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-05-31 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-03-26 Price Changed $216,000 MARMLS
- 2018-10-31 Price Changed $225,000 MARMLS
- 2018-10-30 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2018-09-11 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-09-11 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-07-12 Listed $218,000 MARMLS
- 2013-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
- 2013-07-11 Sold (MLS) $179,000 MARMLS
- 2013-05-15 Pending — MARMLS
- 1976-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,484 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…