2 Carter Ln · Shelby, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and well-kept 1995 mobile home offering 884 sq. ft. of comfortable living. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath ranch features an open layout with a bright living room and large front window, an eat-in kitchen, and a primary suite with private bath. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a detached garage, paved driveway, and low-maintenance yard. Affordable and move-in ready, this home is a great opportunity for easy living in Shelby.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large front window
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Construction: Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Oven
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Dryer; Refrigerator; Oven; Washer
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($795 rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.7% in Shelby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#301 in OH, #4,837 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: commute D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Shelby City (town): math 62% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #269 of 656 in OH (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.79%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,764
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Carter Ln | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 884 (0%) | 9mo | $63,000 | $71 | 92 |
| 2 Ford Ln | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+11%) | 20mo | $52,500 | $54 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $867
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $15,467
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44875
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $795 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$167
- Net cashflow
- $179
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 1/2 2nd St Unit 62 UP Shelby, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $695 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 7 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-03remarks 490-char remark
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2026-06-03$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$763
- − Management
- −$763
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,181
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, and replace the flooring. The home is in fair condition with a good roof and solid foundation.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and in poor condition
- Major kitchen appliances — outdated and in poor condition
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and in poor condition
- Major flooring — carpeted throughout, in poor condition
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms will attract more buyers
- Both replace flooring — new flooring will improve both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · severely dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen appliances · outdated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · carpeted throughout, in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms will attract more buyers ↑
- Both replace flooring — new flooring will improve both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shelby City
- NCES district ID
- 3910009
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,197
- Composite
- 52.19/100
- National rank
- #1609
- State rank
- #269 of 656 in OH
Livability — Shelby
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #301
- US rank
- #4837
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shelby, OH
- County
- Richland County · 43,943 people
- City population
- 14,144
- Metro
- Mansfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,144
- Household income
- $61,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 284.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 115,577 people
- By 2030
- 111,669 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 103,323 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 95,135 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 76,719 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 57,188 · -50.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.08%
- Current HPI
- 220.0577
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mansfield, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $65,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-19 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-15 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-09-02 Listed $65,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…