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1521 E Lincolnway 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,500

1521 E Lincolnway · Mishawaka, IN 46544
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 300 Days on market
Built 1924 6,578 sqft lot $114/sqft · 24% below area Est $151k · 24% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors Welcome! Charming 3 bedroom 1 bath home. Eat-in kitchen, living room, newer roof, fenced in yard and main floor laundry. Being sold AS-IS. Home is occupied, Tenant’s rights apply

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Main floor laundry
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENFENCED IN YARDMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYNEWER ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $114,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$150,656) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.3% in Mishawaka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#53 in IN, #3,586 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
  • School City Of Mishawaka (urban): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #260 of 301 in IN (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Beiger Elementary School (math 30% / reading 28%, grade F, #725 of 994 statewide, top 73%, 546 students, 67% FRL); John J Young Middle School (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #257 of 330 statewide, top 79%, 735 students, 74% FRL); Mishawaka High School (math 24% / reading 60%, grade F, #197 of 369 statewide, top 57%, 1,488 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $792 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $100,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.32%
Cash-on-cash
14.39%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,656
List price
$114,500
Delta
-24.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1323 E Mishawaka Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,015 (+1%) 3mo $179,000 $176 75
201 S Beiger St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,055 (+5%) 5mo $140,000 $133 74
1631 Homewood Ave 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,080 (+7%) 7mo $174,901 $162 73
1132 E 3rd St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 988 (-2%) 9mo $127,000 $129 66
223 S Delorenzi Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 936 (-7%) 4mo $155,000 $166 64
1801 Linden Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,089 (+8%) 7mo $185,000 $170 59
347 S Brook Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 8mo $214,000 $212 59
928 S Byrkit St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,054 (+5%) 6mo $179,900 $171 55
118 S Merrifield Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 992 (-2%) 8mo $80,000 $81 54
617 S Byrkit St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,109 (+10%) 4mo $170,000 $153 51
1901 E 3rd St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+14%) 8mo $175,000 $152 47
701 Studebaker St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 892 (-12%) 8mo $165,000 $185 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$13,625
Equity at exit
$17,072
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$78,388
Equity at exit
$9,900

Cash invested: $32,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46544

Rents YoY
9.1%
Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,454 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$600
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,390/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $967
Max offer price $114,500
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $449 -5% $417 +0% $385 +5% $352 +10% $320
Rent -10% $270 -5% $327 +0% $385 +5% $442 +10% $499
Rate -1.0pp $442 -0.5pp $414 base $385 +0.5pp $355 +1.0pp $325

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,625
Closing costs
$3,435
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1434 Fallcreek Dr Mishawaka, IN 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1176 $1,529 $1.30 15d 1 1.04mi
1918 N Byrkit St Mishawaka, IN 2.0 1.0 770 $1,250 $1.62 15d 1 1.10mi
642 E 11th St Mishawaka, IN 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,295 $1.04 23d 1 1.13mi
703 E 12th St Unit A Mishawaka, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 45d 1 1.17mi
703 E 12th St Unit D Mishawaka, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,395 $1.64 15d 1 1.17mi
232 E Grove St Mishawaka, IN 3.0 1.0 1188 $1,500 $1.26 15d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $114,500 Active 300 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,500 Active 297 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,500 Active 296 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,500 Active 295 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,500 Active 294 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,500 Active 292 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,500 Active 291 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $114,500 Active 289 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,500 Active 288 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,500 Active 287 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,500 Active 286 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,500 Active 281 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,500 Active 280 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,500 Active 279 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,500 Active 278 DOM
  16. 2025-08-25
    listed $115,000 Active 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Investors Welcome! Charming 3 bedroom 1 bath home. Eat-in kitchen, living room, newer roof, fenced in yard and main floor laundry. Being sold AS-IS. Home is occupied, Tenant’s rights apply

  17. 2025-08-15
    listed $115,000 Active
  18. 2024-10-04
    status Active
  19. 2024-03-15
    listed $149,900 Active
  20. 2024-03-11
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,390 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,390 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,445
− Mortgage interest
−$6,414
− Property taxes
−$1,390
− Insurance
−$572
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,396
− Management
−$1,396
− Depreciation
−$3,331
Taxable income
$2,947
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$707
After-tax cash flow
$3,907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
School City Of Mishawaka
NCES district ID
1806840
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$39,290
Composite
22.26/100
National rank
#8143
State rank
#260 of 301 in IN

Livability — Mishawaka

Score
76/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#3586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mishawaka, IN
County
Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
City population
57,683
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Population (ZIP)
31,077
Household income
$58,829
Rent vs Own
36.3% rent · 63.7% own
Severe rent burden
685.0

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
273,186 people
By 2030
273,594 · +0.1%
By 2040
271,641 · -0.6%
By 2050
269,187 · -1.5%
By 2075
263,136 · -3.7%
By 2100
245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% English 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.74%
Current HPI
188.9996
Rent YoY
▲ 9.10%
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $115,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $115,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-10-04 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2024-03-15 Listed $149,900 IRMLS
  • 2024-03-11 Coming Soon IRMLS

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,390 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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