🏷️ Likely Rental
1521 E Lincolnway · Mishawaka, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors Welcome! Charming 3 bedroom 1 bath home. Eat-in kitchen, living room, newer roof, fenced in yard and main floor laundry. Being sold AS-IS. Home is occupied, Tenant’s rights apply
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Main floor laundry
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.3% in Mishawaka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#53 in IN, #3,586 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
- School City Of Mishawaka (urban): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #260 of 301 in IN (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Beiger Elementary School (math 30% / reading 28%, grade F, #725 of 994 statewide, top 73%, 546 students, 67% FRL); John J Young Middle School (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #257 of 330 statewide, top 79%, 735 students, 74% FRL); Mishawaka High School (math 24% / reading 60%, grade F, #197 of 369 statewide, top 57%, 1,488 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $792 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.39%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,656
- List price
- $114,500
- Delta
- -24.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1323 E Mishawaka Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,015 (+1%) | 3mo | $179,000 | $176 | 75 |
| 201 S Beiger St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,055 (+5%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $133 | 74 |
| 1631 Homewood Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+7%) | 7mo | $174,901 | $162 | 73 |
| 1132 E 3rd St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 988 (-2%) | 9mo | $127,000 | $129 | 66 |
| 223 S Delorenzi Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-7%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $166 | 64 |
| 1801 Linden Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,089 (+8%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $170 | 59 |
| 347 S Brook Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 8mo | $214,000 | $212 | 59 |
| 928 S Byrkit St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (+5%) | 6mo | $179,900 | $171 | 55 |
| 118 S Merrifield Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 992 (-2%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $81 | 54 |
| 617 S Byrkit St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,109 (+10%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $153 | 51 |
| 1901 E 3rd St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+14%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $152 | 47 |
| 701 Studebaker St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 892 (-12%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $185 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $13,625
- Equity at exit
- $17,072
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $78,388
- Equity at exit
- $9,900
Cash invested: $32,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46544
- Rents YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,454 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$600
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,390/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $449 | -5% $417 | +0% $385 | +5% $352 | +10% $320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $270 | -5% $327 | +0% $385 | +5% $442 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $442 | -0.5pp $414 | base $385 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,625
- Closing costs
- $3,435
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1434 Fallcreek Dr Mishawaka, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1176 | $1,529 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1918 N Byrkit St Mishawaka, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,250 | $1.62 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 642 E 11th St Mishawaka, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 703 E 12th St Unit A Mishawaka, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 703 E 12th St Unit D Mishawaka, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 232 E Grove St Mishawaka, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,500 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $114,500 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,500 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,500 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,500 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,500 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,500 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,500 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,500 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,500 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,500 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,500 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,500 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,500 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,500 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,500 Active 278 DOM
-
2025-08-25$115,000 Active 194-char remark
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
Investors Welcome! Charming 3 bedroom 1 bath home. Eat-in kitchen, living room, newer roof, fenced in yard and main floor laundry. Being sold AS-IS. Home is occupied, Tenant’s rights apply
-
2025-08-15$115,000 Active
-
2024-10-04status Active
-
2024-03-15$149,900 Active
-
2024-03-11historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,390 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,390 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,414
- − Property taxes
- −$1,390
- − Insurance
- −$572
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,396
- − Management
- −$1,396
- − Depreciation
- −$3,331
- Taxable income
- $2,947
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$707
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- School City Of Mishawaka
- NCES district ID
- 1806840
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,290
- Composite
- 22.26/100
- National rank
- #8143
- State rank
- #260 of 301 in IN
Livability — Mishawaka
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #3586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mishawaka, IN
- County
- Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
- City population
- 57,683
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,077
- Household income
- $58,829
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 685.0
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% English 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.74%
- Current HPI
- 188.9996
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.10%
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-23.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-25 Listed $115,000 IRMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $115,000 IRMLS
- 2024-10-04 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2024-03-15 Listed $149,900 IRMLS
- 2024-03-11 Coming Soon — IRMLS
Property tax history
-5.6%/yrLatest (2023): $1,390 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…