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1040 Station Rd
C Composite 58.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,900

1040 Station Rd · Twin Rocks, PA 15960
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,142 sqft · SingleFamily · 9 Days on market
0.25 ac lot Est $165k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1040 Station Road in Twin Rocks - an impeccably maintained home situated on a spacious corner lot that truly stands out for its pride of ownership and exceptional condition. The main level offers a bright and inviting sunporch with floor-to-ceiling windows, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you'll find a formal dining room, comfortable family room, and a spacious eat-in kitchen with plenty of room for gatherings. Additional conveniences include first-floor laundry, a full bathroom, a main-level bedroom, and a functional mudroom. Upstairs, the home features four generously sized bedrooms along with a second full bathroom. The basement is unfinished but exceptionally clean and well-kept, providing excellent storage space or potential for future use. Outside, enjoy the large corner lot with a private feel, a covered rear patio, a detached one-car garage with an attached carport, established grapevines, and plenty of yard space to enjoy. This home is a rare find in such outstanding condition. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Sunporch
  • Formal dining room
  • Large corner lot

Tags

SUNPORCHFORMAL DINING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHENFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYMUDROOMLARGE CORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (7.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Blacklick Valley SD (town): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $139,006 (7.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.08%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,934
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1040 Station Rd 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,142 (0%) 1mo $164,500 $77 99
1134 Station Rd 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 2,000 (-7%) 1mo $55,000 $28 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$29,332
Equity at exit
$67,402
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$88,502
Equity at exit
$103,874

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15960

Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,390 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $862/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,165
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to 1040 Station Road in Twin Rocks - an impeccably maintained home situated on a spacious corner lot that truly stands out for its pride of ownership and exceptional condition. The main level offers a bright and inviting sunporch with floor-to-ceiling windows, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you'll find a formal dining room, comfortable family room, and a spacious eat-in kitchen with plenty of room for gatherings. Additional conveniences include first-floor laundry, a full bathroom, a main-level bedroom, and a functional mudroom. Upstairs, the home features four generously sized bedrooms along with a second full bathroom. The basement is unfinished but exceptionally clean and well-kept, providing excellent storage space or potential for future use. Outside, enjoy the large corner lot with a private feel, a covered rear patio, a detached one-car garage with an attached carport, established grapevines, and plenty of yard space to enjoy. This home is a rare find in such outstanding condition. Schedule your showing today!

  2. 2026-04-26
    status Pending 1055-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to 1040 Station Road in Twin Rocks - an impeccably maintained home situated on a spacious corner lot that truly stands out for its pride of ownership and exceptional condition. The main level offers a bright and inviting sunporch with floor-to-ceiling windows, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you'll find a formal dining room, comfortable family room, and a spacious eat-in kitchen with plenty of room for gatherings. Additional conveniences include first-floor laundry, a full bathroom, a main-level bedroom, and a functional mudroom. Upstairs, the home features four generously sized bedrooms along with a second full bathroom. The basement is unfinished but exceptionally clean and well-kept, providing excellent storage space or potential for future use. Outside, enjoy the large corner lot with a private feel, a covered rear patio, a detached one-car garage with an attached carport, established grapevines, and plenty of yard space to enjoy. This home is a rare find in such outstanding condition. Schedule your showing today!

  3. 2026-04-16
    listed $149,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to 1040 Station Road in Twin Rocks - an impeccably maintained home situated on a spacious corner lot that truly stands out for its pride of ownership and exceptional condition. The main level offers a bright and inviting sunporch with floor-to-ceiling windows, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you'll find a formal dining room, comfortable family room, and a spacious eat-in kitchen with plenty of room for gatherings. Additional conveniences include first-floor laundry, a full bathroom, a main-level bedroom, and a functional mudroom. Upstairs, the home features four generously sized bedrooms along with a second full bathroom. The basement is unfinished but exceptionally clean and well-kept, providing excellent storage space or potential for future use. Outside, enjoy the large corner lot with a private feel, a covered rear patio, a detached one-car garage with an attached carport, established grapevines, and plenty of yard space to enjoy. This home is a rare find in such outstanding condition. Schedule your showing today!

  4. 2026-04-16
    listed $149,900 Active 1055-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to 1040 Station Road in Twin Rocks - an impeccably maintained home situated on a spacious corner lot that truly stands out for its pride of ownership and exceptional condition. The main level offers a bright and inviting sunporch with floor-to-ceiling windows, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you'll find a formal dining room, comfortable family room, and a spacious eat-in kitchen with plenty of room for gatherings. Additional conveniences include first-floor laundry, a full bathroom, a main-level bedroom, and a functional mudroom. Upstairs, the home features four generously sized bedrooms along with a second full bathroom. The basement is unfinished but exceptionally clean and well-kept, providing excellent storage space or potential for future use. Outside, enjoy the large corner lot with a private feel, a covered rear patio, a detached one-car garage with an attached carport, established grapevines, and plenty of yard space to enjoy. This home is a rare find in such outstanding condition. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$862 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,615 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$753/yr (+$63/mo · 87.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,681
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$862
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,334
− Management
−$1,334
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$357
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$86
After-tax cash flow
$2,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blacklick Valley SD
NCES district ID
4203690
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$38,550
Composite
36.25/100
National rank
#4712
State rank
#310 of 539 in PA

Livability — Twin Rocks

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Twin Rocks, PA
Population (ZIP)
169

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 4% Slovak 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $149,900 CSMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $149,900 AHARMLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $862 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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