CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
105 Tulip Trl
D- Composite 39.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$300,000

105 Tulip Trl · Mount Pocono, PA 18466
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,419 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1971 0.38 ac lot Est $281k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully updated brick ranch home in the heart of Tobyhanna, offering the perfect blend of comfort, style, and resort-style community living. Situated on a desirable corner lot within a private golf course community, this spacious 4-bedroom residence showcases quality upgrades and timeless charm throughout. Step inside to discover a stunning modern kitchen featuring granite countertops, rich cherry wood cabinetry, and a full suite of stainless steel appliances including a refrigerator, glass-top range, microwave, and dishwasher. The inviting living room is highlighted by a gorgeous bay window that fills the space with natural light, along with a cozy brick-faced wood-burn

Key facts

  • Brick ranch home
  • Bay window
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

BRICK RANCH HOMEMODERN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSCHERRY WOOD CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBAY WINDOW

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Annual association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Parking garage; Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 100 amp electric with circuit breakers; Oil water heater
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slate roof; Basement foundation; Built area above grade and finished below grade space
  • Exterior features: Basement with egress windows, concrete construction and sump pump; Approximately 0.38-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms (one 15 x 10, two 10 x 10); Additional bedroom-sized room 15 x 17
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring; Resilient flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Dining area with a separate/formal dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric dryer hookup included); Washer and Electric Dryer listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (9.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (20.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $300k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $237,992 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.40%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,962
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Violet Pl 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+3%) 6mo $300,000 $206 87
206 Adams Pl 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,400 (-1%) 7mo $465,000 $332 80
1104 Crescent Cir 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,488 (+5%) 8mo $270,000 $181 72
2109 Cherry Dr 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+6%) 6mo $235,000 $157 71
214 Pheasant Pl 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-5%) 8mo $360,000 $268 64
5063 Seneca Way 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,403 (-1%) 2mo $265,000 $189 64
605 Quail Ln 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,512 (+7%) 12mo $295,000 $195 63
129 Echo Lake Rd 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,276 (-10%) 13mo $252,500 $198 60
5127 Iroquois St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (+7%) 2mo $245,000 $161 56
5177 Iroquois St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-1%) 14mo $252,500 $179 53
1026 Seven Nations Dr 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,300 (-8%) 7mo $260,000 $200 47
1174 Kilmer Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-12%) 15mo $296,500 $238 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$15,380
Equity at exit
$124,161
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$82,695
Equity at exit
$183,387

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,380 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$350 /mo · $4,197/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$500
Net cashflow
$-168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,592
Max offer price $270,347
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $300,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $300,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $300,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,197 · $350/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,469 · $372/mo
Expected delta
+$271/yr (+$23/mo · 6.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,559
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$4,197
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,285
− Management
−$2,285
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$7,239
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,737
After-tax cash flow
$-277/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Relisted GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $300,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2019-07-12 Listed $169,900 PMAR
  • 2011-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 1998-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 1985-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,197 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…