105 Tulip Trl · Mount Pocono, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated brick ranch home in the heart of Tobyhanna, offering the perfect blend of comfort, style, and resort-style community living. Situated on a desirable corner lot within a private golf course community, this spacious 4-bedroom residence showcases quality upgrades and timeless charm throughout. Step inside to discover a stunning modern kitchen featuring granite countertops, rich cherry wood cabinetry, and a full suite of stainless steel appliances including a refrigerator, glass-top range, microwave, and dishwasher. The inviting living room is highlighted by a gorgeous bay window that fills the space with natural light, along with a cozy brick-faced wood-burn
Key facts
- Brick ranch home
- Bay window
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Parking garage; Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 100 amp electric with circuit breakers; Oil water heater
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Brick construction; Slate roof; Basement foundation; Built area above grade and finished below grade space
- Exterior features: Basement with egress windows, concrete construction and sump pump; Approximately 0.38-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms (one 15 x 10, two 10 x 10); Additional bedroom-sized room 15 x 17
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring; Resilient flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Dining area with a separate/formal dining room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric dryer hookup included); Washer and Electric Dryer listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (9.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (20.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $238k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $300k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.40%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $280,962
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Violet Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+3%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $206 | 87 |
| 206 Adams Pl | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,400 (-1%) | 7mo | $465,000 | $332 | 80 |
| 1104 Crescent Cir | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+5%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $181 | 72 |
| 2109 Cherry Dr | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+6%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $157 | 71 |
| 214 Pheasant Pl | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-5%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $268 | 64 |
| 5063 Seneca Way | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (-1%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $189 | 64 |
| 605 Quail Ln | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (+7%) | 12mo | $295,000 | $195 | 63 |
| 129 Echo Lake Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (-10%) | 13mo | $252,500 | $198 | 60 |
| 5127 Iroquois St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+7%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $161 | 56 |
| 5177 Iroquois St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-1%) | 14mo | $252,500 | $179 | 53 |
| 1026 Seven Nations Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,300 (-8%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $200 | 47 |
| 1174 Kilmer Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-12%) | 15mo | $296,500 | $238 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $15,380
- Equity at exit
- $124,161
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $82,695
- Equity at exit
- $183,387
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,380 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,197/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $-168
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $300,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $300,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $300,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$300,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,197 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,469 · $372/mo
- Expected delta
- +$271/yr (+$23/mo · 6.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$4,197
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,285
- − Management
- −$2,285
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$7,239
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,737
- After-tax cash flow
- $-277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mount Pocono
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #362
- US rank
- #3166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Relisted — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $300,000 GLVRMLS
- 2019-07-12 Listed $169,900 PMAR
- 2011-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1985-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $4,197 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…