942235 Old Nassauville Rd · Yulee, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.53%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AFFORDABLE living in Nassau County is here! This well maintained 3 bedroom 2 bath manufactured home sits secluded on a 1 acre lot with just a short drive to just about everything needed! Open concept living areas, fresh paint, new skirting, new front & back doors, new sink/faucets in baths, and an inviting soaking tub in the primary suite make this home perfect for a young family, those looking to downsize and it is priced RIGHT! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- New front doors
- New back doors
- New skirting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Shared driveway
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; 1 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bathroom with tub and separate shower; Split-bedroom layout; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater; Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (11.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.2% in Yulee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 949 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $260k implies a 369% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.62%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-33,362
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-21,612
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32034
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 949
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,292 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $159
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $306 | -5% $233 | +0% $159 | +5% $86 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-22 | -5% $69 | +0% $159 | +5% $250 | +10% $340 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $290 | -0.5pp $225 | base $159 | +0.5pp $92 | +1.0pp $23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30970 Paradise Cmns FERNANDINA, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $1,800 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-22$259,900 Active
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
AFFORDABLE living in Nassau County is here! This well maintained 3 bedroom 2 bath manufactured home sits secluded on a 1 acre lot with just a short drive to just about everything needed! Open concept living areas, fresh paint, new skirting, new front & back doors, new sink/faucets in baths, and an inviting soaking tub in the primary suite make this home perfect for a young family, those looking to downsize and it is priced RIGHT! Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-22$259,900 Active 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
AFFORDABLE living in Nassau County is here! This well maintained 3 bedroom 2 bath manufactured home sits secluded on a 1 acre lot with just a short drive to just about everything needed! Open concept living areas, fresh paint, new skirting, new front & back doors, new sink/faucets in baths, and an inviting soaking tub in the primary suite make this home perfect for a young family, those looking to downsize and it is priced RIGHT! Schedule your showing today!
-
1996-08-05soldstatus $55,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 53% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$2,167
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,201
- − Management
- −$2,201
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$2,478
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$595
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,505/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nassau
- NCES district ID
- 1201350
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,267
- Composite
- 59.79/100
- National rank
- #899
- State rank
- #4 of 73 in FL
Livability — Yulee
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #605
- US rank
- #11615
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Nassau County · 67,729 people
- City population
- 26,700
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,029
- Household income
- $98,583
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1230.0
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,419 people
- By 2030
- 92,679 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 99,257 · +12.3%
- By 2050
- 103,378 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 109,726 · +24.1%
- By 2100
- 107,006 · +21.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -576.71%
- Current HPI
- 340.2096
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.42%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+369.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $259,900 AINCAR
- 2026-05-22 Listed $259,900 realMLS
- 1996-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $55,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,167 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…