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258 Elm St Fourplex
C- Composite 52.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

258 Elm St · Barton, VT 05822
None bd · 16.0 ba · 3,686 sqft · MultiFamily · 288 Days on market
Built 1930 0.51 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

This 1930 Vintage 4 Unit is being sold As-Is. It sets on a wonderful large, flat lot with a private back yard, distant mountain range views, gardens, berry bushes and offers Town water and Sewer. This property may be ideal for you to restore/rehab or the make use of it generous size footprint. It is a convenient location setting on the fringe of the center of town. Seller is Motivated. Book to Look!

Key facts

  • Private back yard
  • Large flat lot
  • Gardens

Tags

LARGE FLAT LOTPRIVATE BACK YARDDISTANT MOUNTAIN RANGE VIEWSGARDENSBERRY BUSHESTOWN WATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Existing construction status; Directions: From Church St in Barton turn onto Elm St; the property is on the right.

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Community sewer; Community water; 100 Amp electrical service on-site; Internet via cable; Other utilities listed
  • Home design: Apartment building / Cape style; White exterior
  • Construction: Built in 1930; Wood frame construction; Metal roof; Unknown survey status
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot; Gravel driveway; Public maintained road frontage (118 ft)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four 2-bedroom units; One 1-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Interior-access basement; Partial, unfinished basement with dirt floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($61k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#68 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 157 units permitted in Orleans County in 2024 (107 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Orleans County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 288 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.78%
Cap rate
100.15%
Cash-on-cash
335.21%
DSCR
15.91
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.35×
Total profit
$333,947
Equity at exit
$31,579
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
41.25×
Total profit
$732,516
Equity at exit
$50,580

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05822

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,004 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,471
Net cashflow
$5,084

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 22%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $7,004

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 288 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 287 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 286 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 285 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 284 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 283 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 282 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 279 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 278 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 277 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 276 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 273 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 272 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 271 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $65,000 Active 270 DOM
  16. 2026-01-03
    status Active
  17. 2026-01-01
    historical
  18. 2025-09-01
    listed $75,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$84,048
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,724
− Management
−$6,724
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$63,768
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$15,304
After-tax cash flow
$45,703/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Barton

Score
63/100
State rank
#68
US rank
#15172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Barton, VT
Population (ZIP)
1,999

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,222 people
By 2030
25,399 · -3.1%
By 2040
23,350 · -11.0%
By 2050
21,232 · -19.0%
By 2075
16,543 · -36.9%
By 2100
11,566 · -55.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 14% Slovak 5% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 49.4% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-29.1pp toward R · 2008: 27.5pp · 2024: -1.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.6 2020: D+4.5 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+24.2 2008: D+27.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.64%
Current HPI
205.7059
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-03 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $75,900 PrimeMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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