1315 Poplar Glen Dr · Kannapolis, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Manufactured doublewide mobile home with 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, den, kitchen, living room and dining room. Home features fireplace, neutral colors, vaulted ceilings and double sink bath with garden tub. Home sits on 0.32 acre lot with porch and deck.
Key facts
- Large tub
- Nice sized backyard
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One level; Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Partial brick and vinyl exterior; Manufactured construction
- Exterior features: Front porch; Concrete and paved road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (all on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 12 total rooms; Family room with fireplace; Mud room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (mud room)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($550/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (20.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.5% in Kannapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#354 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Kannapolis City Schools (suburban): math 30% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #141 of 178 in NC (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jackson Park Elementary (math 50% / reading 41%, grade D-, #562 of 1,410 statewide, top 40%, 416 students, 99% FRL); Kannapolis Middle (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #312 of 475 statewide, top 66%, 1,238 students, 100% FRL); A L Brown High (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #467 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 1,741 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Rowan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rowan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $279k implies a 675% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.70%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-44,275
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-42,796
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28083
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,213 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $125 | +0% $46 | +5% $-33 | +10% $-112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-129 | -5% $-42 | +0% $46 | +5% $133 | +10% $221 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $117 | base $46 | +0.5pp $-27 | +1.0pp $-100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-05-01$279,000 Active
-
2012-12-06soldstatus $36,000 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Manufactured doublewide mobile home with 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, den, kitchen, living room and dining room. Home features fireplace, neutral colors, vaulted ceilings and double sink bath with garden tub. Home sits on 0.32 acre lot with porch and deck.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,474 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$813/yr (+$68/mo · 55.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$1,474
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,124
- − Management
- −$2,124
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$4,310
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,034
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,584/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kannapolis City Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702430
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,534
- Composite
- 26.34/100
- National rank
- #7237
- State rank
- #141 of 178 in NC
Livability — Kannapolis
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #14030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kannapolis, NC
- County
- Cabarrus County · 218,793 people
- City population
- 57,170
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,095
- Household income
- $66,257
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 633.0
Population outlook (Rowan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 140,430 people
- By 2030
- 140,193 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 137,617 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 131,826 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 115,123 · -18.0%
- By 2100
- 92,774 · -33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rowan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.6% · R 67.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+35.7 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -318.30%
- Current HPI
- 307.0675
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.15%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+675.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $279,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-12-06 Sold (MLS) $36,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,474 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…