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402 W Cortinas St
B- Composite 69.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$102,000

402 W Cortinas St · Del Rio, TX 78840
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 872 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1965 3,920 sqft lot $117/sqft · 17% below area Est $122k · 17% under ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this cute and cozy home full of charm, perfectly situated on a corner lot at 402 W Cortinas St. Just a short walk from the beautiful San Felipe Creek, this property offers both location and character. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, this home is ready for its next owner to bring a little TLC and make it truly shine. With its inviting feel and great potential, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a warm and charming family home. Don’t miss out on this hidden gem! Call today to set up a showing.

Key facts

  • San felipe creek
  • Corner lot
  • 3,920 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOTSAN FELIPE CREEK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $75k (26.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#349 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • San Felipe-Del Rio CISD (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #667 of 826 in TX (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 85 units permitted in Val Verde County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $705 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Val Verde County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,861 (26.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.47%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,300
List price
$102,000
Delta
-16.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.9%
Equity multiple
0.03×
Total profit
$-27,809
Equity at exit
$15,209
10-year hold
IRR
-44.1%
Equity multiple
-0.50×
Total profit
$-42,756
Equity at exit
$8,819

Cash invested: $28,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78840

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
549
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,234 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$535
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,497/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$-154

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,429
Max offer price $74,861
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,500
Closing costs
$3,060
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
163 Yucca St Del Rio, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $746 $0.88 43d 1 0.41mi
405 N Bedell Ave Del Rio, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,050 $1.12 43d 4 0.92mi
113 Long Dr Del Rio, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 43d 1 1.01mi
502 W Dignowity St Del Rio, TX 2.0 1.0 946 $900 $0.95 43d 1 1.04mi
1104 N Bedell Ave Unit A Del Rio, TX 2.0 1.0 997 $950 $0.95 43d 1 1.29mi
103 Summit Ave Del Rio, TX 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,250 $1.15 43d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $102,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $102,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $102,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $102,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $102,000 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $102,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $102,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $102,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $102,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $102,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $102,000 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $102,000 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $102,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $102,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $102,000 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $102,000 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    price $102,000 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Come see this cute and cozy home full of charm, perfectly situated on a corner lot at 402 W Cortinas St. Just a short walk from the beautiful San Felipe Creek, this property offers both location and character. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, this home is ready for its next owner to bring a little TLC and make it truly shine. With its inviting feel and great potential, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a warm and charming family home. Don’t miss out on this hidden gem! Call today to set up a showing.

  18. 2026-04-17
    price $110,000 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Come see this cute and cozy home full of charm, perfectly situated on a corner lot at 402 W Cortinas St. Just a short walk from the beautiful San Felipe Creek, this property offers both location and character. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, this home is ready for its next owner to bring a little TLC and make it truly shine. With its inviting feel and great potential, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a warm and charming family home. Don’t miss out on this hidden gem! Call today to set up a showing.

  19. 2026-03-18
    listed $120,000 Active 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Come see this cute and cozy home full of charm, perfectly situated on a corner lot at 402 W Cortinas St. Just a short walk from the beautiful San Felipe Creek, this property offers both location and character. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, this home is ready for its next owner to bring a little TLC and make it truly shine. With its inviting feel and great potential, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a warm and charming family home. Don’t miss out on this hidden gem! Call today to set up a showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,497 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,867 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$370/yr (+$31/mo · 24.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,811
− Mortgage interest
−$5,714
− Property taxes
−$1,497
− Insurance
−$5,628
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,185
− Management
−$1,185
− Depreciation
−$2,967
Taxable loss
−$3,365
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$808
After-tax cash flow
$-1,036/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Felipe-Del Rio CISD
NCES district ID
4838900
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,582
Composite
24.04/100
National rank
#7766
State rank
#667 of 826 in TX

Livability — Del Rio

Score
70/100
State rank
#349
US rank
#7531

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Del Rio, TX
County
Val Verde County · 47,256 people
City population
47,256
Metro
Del Rio, TX
Population (ZIP)
47,256
Household income
$66,084
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
1111.0

Population outlook (Val Verde County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,073 people
By 2030
47,468 · -1.3%
By 2040
45,930 · -4.5%
By 2050
43,904 · -8.7%
By 2075
38,126 · -20.7%
By 2100
26,217 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 24% White 15% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 63%

Political lean MEDSL · Val Verde

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.6) · D 36.2% · R 62.9%
2008→2024 swing
-36.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: -26.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.6 2020: R+9.9 2016: D+7.9 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.95%
Current HPI
161.762
Rent YoY
▲ 1.55%
Metro
Del Rio, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $102,000 DRBORMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $110,000 DRBORMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $120,000 DRBORMLS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,497 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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