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302 Main St
C- Composite 53.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$119,230

302 Main St · Creighton, NE 68729
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,628 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot $73/sqft · 23% above area Est $97k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home has seperate living room, dining room and kitchen spaces. You will also find enclosed front and back porches for additional space. The home and oversized 2 car detached garage both have access to the fenced in backyard. Come see this home and its updates.

Key facts

  • Enclosed back porch
  • Fenced in backyard
  • Separate living room

Tags

SEPARATE LIVING ROOMENCLOSED FRONT PORCHENCLOSED BACK PORCHFENCED IN BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Lot approximately 78x140

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central air
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Partial basement; Central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#57 in NE, #2,730 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Creighton Community Public Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #130 of 245 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Creighton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #346 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 175 students, 28% FRL); Creighton Community High Sch (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C-, #80 of 261 statewide, top 37%, 115 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($824 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Knox County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $96k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,230

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.46%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,715
List price
$119,230
Delta
23.28%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1007 Redick Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,827 (+12%) 11mo $144,900 $79 49
308 Redick Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,860 (+14%) 8mo $175,000 $94 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$27,542
Equity at exit
$53,611
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
3.38×
Total profit
$79,495
Equity at exit
$82,621

Cash invested: $33,384 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68729

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,194 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$625
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $731/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $931
Max offer price $119,230
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,808
Closing costs
$3,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 287-char remark
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $119,230 Active 287-char remark
  3. 2025-07-18
    soldstatus $96,000
  4. 2019-06-17
    soldstatus $59,000
  5. 2016-06-20
    soldstatus $46,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$731 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,063 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$1,332/yr (+$111/mo · 182.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,329
− Mortgage interest
−$6,679
− Property taxes
−$731
− Insurance
−$596
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,146
− Management
−$1,146
− Depreciation
−$3,469
Taxable income
$562
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$135
After-tax cash flow
$2,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Creighton Community Public Schools
NCES district ID
3105550
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,576
Composite
46.46/100
National rank
#5330
State rank
#130 of 245 in NE

Livability — Creighton

Score
78/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#2730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Creighton, NE
Population (ZIP)
1,701

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,195 people
By 2030
8,013 · -2.2%
By 2040
7,717 · -5.8%
By 2050
7,531 · -8.1%
By 2075
7,685 · -6.2%
By 2100
7,620 · -7.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.3) · D 17.7% · R 81.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -63.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.3 2020: R+59.8 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+36.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+159.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NNEMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $119,230 NNEMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
  • 2019-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 2016-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $731 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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