302 Main St · Creighton, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$119,230
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home has seperate living room, dining room and kitchen spaces. You will also find enclosed front and back porches for additional space. The home and oversized 2 car detached garage both have access to the fenced in backyard. Come see this home and its updates.
Key facts
- Enclosed back porch
- Fenced in backyard
- Separate living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Lot approximately 78x140
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Partial basement; Central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#57 in NE, #2,730 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Creighton Community Public Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #130 of 245 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Creighton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #346 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 175 students, 28% FRL); Creighton Community High Sch (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C-, #80 of 261 statewide, top 37%, 115 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($824 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Knox County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $96k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.46%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,715
- List price
- $119,230
- Delta
- 23.28%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1007 Redick Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,827 (+12%) | 11mo | $144,900 | $79 | 49 |
| 308 Redick Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (+14%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $94 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $27,542
- Equity at exit
- $53,611
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $79,495
- Equity at exit
- $82,621
Cash invested: $33,384 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68729
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$625
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $731/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,808
- Closing costs
- $3,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 287-char remark
-
2026-05-08$119,230 Active 287-char remark
-
2025-07-18soldstatus $96,000
-
2019-06-17soldstatus $59,000
-
2016-06-20soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $731 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,063 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,332/yr (+$111/mo · 182.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,329
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,679
- − Property taxes
- −$731
- − Insurance
- −$596
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$3,469
- Taxable income
- $562
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,355/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Creighton Community Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3105550
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,576
- Composite
- 46.46/100
- National rank
- #5330
- State rank
- #130 of 245 in NE
Livability — Creighton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #2730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Creighton, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,701
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,195 people
- By 2030
- 8,013 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 7,717 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 7,531 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 7,685 · -6.2%
- By 2100
- 7,620 · -7.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.3) · D 17.7% · R 81.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -63.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.3 2020: R+59.8 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+159.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — NNEMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $119,230 NNEMLS
- 2025-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $731 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…