15916 16th Ave Unit 2FL · New York, NY 11357

$238,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 610 sqft · Condo · 24 Days on market

Built 1950 Average condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.7/10.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath co-op offering approximately 610 sq ft of comfortable living space in the heart of Whitestone. This bright unit features a functional layout and the convenience of an in-unit washer and dryer. Low Monthly maintenance is $996.25 and includes utilities, providing excellent value. Parking available via waitlist at $25/month. Conveniently located near major highways including the Cross Island Parkway and Whitestone Expressway. Close to Q15 and Q16 buses with easy access to Flushing and the 7 Train. Surrounded by shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences along Francis Lewis Blvd and Utopia Pkwy. Located in School District 25.Building requirements: if all-cash

Key facts

• Built 1950
• Listed 24 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No carport; Parking: waitlist
• Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
• Home design: Townhouse; Stock cooperative
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Cooktop; Other appliances
• Bedrooms: Entry level: 2
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric cooling; Natural gas heating
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Chef's kitchen
• Laundry & utility: Pets allowed: contact management

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $238k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $238k).
• Recommended offer: $234k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $234,430 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.15%
• DSCR: 1.27
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.76×
• Total profit: $-15,727
• Equity at exit: $35,487

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $18,788
• Equity at exit: $20,578

Cash invested: $66,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11357

• Rents YoY: 3.4%
• Active inventory: 289
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,514 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,248
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$298 /mo · $3,570/yr
• Insurance: −$99
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$528
• Net cashflow: $342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,082

Max offer price $238,000

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $59,500
• Closing costs: $7,140
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 8 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
206-14 Emily Rd Unit 42L Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,700	$3.86	24d	1	0.85mi
29-04 204th St Unit 1Floor Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,600	$3.71	19d	1	1.25mi
16-05 Bell Blvd Unit 1st Floor Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,400	$3.43	24d	1	1.29mi
16-66 Bell Blvd Unit 736 Bayside, NY	—	1.0	600	$2,350	$3.92	24d	1	1.33mi
1670 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY	2.0	1.0–1.5	600	$2,600	$4.33	2d	4	1.35mi
14943 35th Ave Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,400	$3.20	2d	1	1.43mi
14943 35th Ave Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	775	$2,450	$3.16	3d	2	1.44mi
1785 215th St Unit 15J Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	620	$3,500	$5.65	24d	1	1.44mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-11
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-16
   listed $238,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,173
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,332
• − Property taxes: −$3,570
• − Insurance: −$1,190
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,414
• − Management: −$2,414
• − Depreciation: −$6,924
• Taxable income: $330
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$79
• After-tax cash flow: $4,021/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

A well-maintained 1-bedroom condo with potential for cosmetic updates to the kitchen and flooring to increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

• Minor kitchen backsplash — A dated backsplash can be easily replaced with a modern option.
• Minor kitchen flooring — The dated flooring can be updated with a more modern material like tile or laminate.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint and update backsplash in kitchen — Fresh paint and a modern backsplash can significantly enhance the home's appeal.
• Resale Replace flooring in living areas — Upgrading the flooring can make the living spaces more appealing and modern.
• Rental Replace ceiling fan bulbs — Fresh bulbs can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting for potential tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
kitchen backsplash · A dated backsplash can be easily replaced with a modern option.	Minor	$500–3,000
kitchen flooring · The dated flooring can be updated with a more modern material like tile or laminate.	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint and update backsplash in kitchen — Fresh paint and a modern backsplash can significantly enhance the home's appeal. ↑
• Resale Replace flooring in living areas — Upgrading the flooring can make the living spaces more appealing and modern. ↑
• Rental Replace ceiling fan bulbs — Fresh bulbs can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting for potential tenants. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 43,346
• Household income: $96,988
• Rent vs Own: 22.4% rent · 77.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1296.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 35% · China, Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 50% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Chinese 14% Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -810.81%
• Current HPI: 285.5469
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.41%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-11 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-16 Listed $238,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid