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22510 W Railroad Ave
B+ Composite 79.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$79,000

22510 W Railroad Ave · Seligman, AZ 86337
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 130 Days on market
Built 1914 6,969 sqft lot $64/sqft · 37% below area Est $125k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Historic property Northern AZ Property, zoned C1-2 just 1 block south of Route 66 in Seligman. Renovations have been started on this home. Many building supplies at site to convey. Rental? Air BNB? the sky is the limit on this one. City power, water & gas available. Septic has been installed. House is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to confirm all other utilities available. This is a great opportunity to be a part of American History. Possible owner carry available

Key facts

  • Gas available
  • Zoned c1-2
  • City power available

Tags

HISTORIC PROPERTYZONED C1-2BUILDING SUPPLIES AT SITECITY POWER AVAILABLEWATER AVAILABLEGAS AVAILABLE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $768 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 4.0% in Seligman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#127 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Seligman Unified District (4472) (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #339 of 501 in AZ (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $79k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
17.96%
Cash-on-cash
41.67%
DSCR
2.85
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$124,908
List price
$79,000
Delta
-36.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.8%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$39,459
Equity at exit
$15,340
10-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
5.53×
Total profit
$100,293
Equity at exit
$13,107

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86337

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,587 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $465/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$768

Break-even live

Break-even rent $615
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $813 -5% $791 +0% $768 +5% $746 +10% $723
Rent -10% $643 -5% $705 +0% $768 +5% $831 +10% $894
Rate -1.0pp $808 -0.5pp $788 base $768 +0.5pp $748 +1.0pp $727

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,000 Active 130 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 128 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,000 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,000 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 119 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 112 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 111 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,000 Active 110 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $79,000 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Historic property Northern AZ Property, zoned C1-2 just 1 block south of Route 66 in Seligman. Renovations have been started on this home. Many building supplies at site to convey. Rental? Air BNB? the sky is the limit on this one. City power, water & gas available. Septic has been installed. House is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to confirm all other utilities available. This is a great opportunity to be a part of American History. Possible owner carry available

  18. 2026-02-09
    listed $98,500 Active 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Historic property Northern AZ Property, zoned C1-2 just 1 block south of Route 66 in Seligman. Renovations have been started on this home. Many building supplies at site to convey. Rental? Air BNB? the sky is the limit on this one. City power, water & gas available. Septic has been installed. House is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to confirm all other utilities available. This is a great opportunity to be a part of American History. Possible owner carry available

  19. 2023-05-16
    soldstatus $32,000 Closed 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Great Historic property zoned C1-2 just 1 block south of Route 66 in Seligman. Renovations have been started on this home. Many building supplies at site to convey. Rental? Air BNB? the sky is the limit on this one. City power, water & gas available. Septic needed. House is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to confirm all other utilities available.

  20. 2023-04-13
    status Pending 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Great Historic property zoned C1-2 just 1 block south of Route 66 in Seligman. Renovations have been started on this home. Many building supplies at site to convey. Rental? Air BNB? the sky is the limit on this one. City power, water & gas available. Septic needed. House is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to confirm all other utilities available.

  21. 2023-04-01
    listed $35,000 Active 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Great Historic property zoned C1-2 just 1 block south of Route 66 in Seligman. Renovations have been started on this home. Many building supplies at site to convey. Rental? Air BNB? the sky is the limit on this one. City power, water & gas available. Septic needed. House is being sold ''AS IS''. Buyer to confirm all other utilities available.

  22. 1996-06-03
    soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$465 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$521 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$57/yr (+$5/mo · 12.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone D · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,050
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$465
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,524
− Management
−$1,524
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$8,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,020
After-tax cash flow
$7,198/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seligman Unified District (4472)
NCES district ID
0407630
Math proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,531
Composite
23.7/100
National rank
#13238
State rank
#339 of 501 in AZ

Livability — Seligman

Score
62/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#16174

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seligman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
1,827

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
241,389 people
By 2030
249,523 · +3.4%
By 2040
259,966 · +7.7%
By 2050
264,736 · +9.7%
By 2075
269,334 · +11.6%
By 2100
256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Native American 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.00%
Current HPI
196.1506
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+887.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $79,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $98,500 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-16 Sold (MLS) $32,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-13 Pending PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-01 Listed $35,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $465 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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