502 Lovera · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
Key facts
- 6,011 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1961
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment resources available
- HOA & community: Located in the Olmos/San Pedro Place subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Rear entry parking
- Utilities: City water and sewer
- Home design: Pre-owned single-family property; Approximately 65 years old
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Siding exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (14 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet and full bath (17 x 17); Second bedroom (14 x 14)
- Flooring: Other flooring (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with tub/shower combination (6 x 6)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Open floor plan with combined living and dining area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 175 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.62%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,632
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -37.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 434 Hermine | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,208 (-1%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $178 | 77 |
| 334 Thorain | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $125 | 72 |
| 546 Hermine Blvd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,204 (-1%) | 14mo | $199,000 | $165 | 71 |
| 331 S Audubon Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,243 (+2%) | 4mo | $199,500 | $160 | 64 |
| 429 Lovera Blvd | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,049 (-14%) | 11mo | $208,900 | $199 | 61 |
| 110 Weizmann | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,262 (+4%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $237 | 56 |
| 281 Hermine Blvd | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,394 (+15%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $190 | 54 |
| 315 W Hermosa Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,326 (+9%) | 8mo | $249,900 | $188 | 51 |
| 313 W Wildwood | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,382 (+14%) | 5mo | $249,999 | $181 | 48 |
| 1502 Beacon Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,328 (+9%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $169 | 44 |
| 935 W Mariposa | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,386 (+14%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $198 | 41 |
| 1131 W Hermosa | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,044 (-14%) | 12mo | $234,999 | $225 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,536
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $20,623
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78212
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,844 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$307 /mo · $3,688/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 San Angelo San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1430 | $1,950 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 415 W Mariposa Dr Unit NA San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,750 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 415 W Mariposa Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 823 La Manda Blvd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,550 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 143 Kinder Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,250 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 862 Clower Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,195 | $0.96 | 20d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 118 Gaskin Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $2,050 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 802 Alametos Unit A San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4507 Howard St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1289 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 158 Weizmann St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 440 Horace St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1106 Alametos San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,595 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1211 Lee Hall San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 654 Santa Monica St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1331 W Wildwood Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 331 Gardina St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 636 W Norwood Ct San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1627 W Mariposa Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 130 Melrose Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1230 | $1,865 | $1.52 | 3d | 22 | 1.20mi |
| 230 Craigmont Ln San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $2,100 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 146 Redrock Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1135 W Ridgewood Ct San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,650 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2326 Basse Rd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4618 Neer Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,550 | $1.67 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1812 Mardell St San Antonio, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 488 E Olmos Dr Unit 3 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $3,995 | $3.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 522 W Hollywood Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,100 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 434 Schmeltzer Ln San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 210 Dryden San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1177 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $130,000 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10status $130,000 Active Option 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$130,000 New 135-char remark
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-05-16status Back on Market
-
2025-04-22historical Active Option
-
2025-04-01$130,000 New
-
2022-11-10historical
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2022-11-10soldstatus
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2022-11-09soldstatus Sold
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2022-10-30status Pending
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2022-10-18price $166,000
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2022-10-17status Back on Market
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2022-08-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2022-07-29price $155,000
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2022-07-22$170,000 New
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Sizeable corner lot with mature trees. Home has a standing seam metal roof, nice layout with Saltillo tile in entryway, kitchen/dining area/primary bath. Wood floors in bedrooms. Large, detached carport. Home to be sold As Is with no repairs.
-
2011-12-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,688 · $307/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,688 · $307/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$3,688
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,182
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$764
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,437
- Household income
- $62,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1505.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 58% White 34% Two or more races 34% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 50%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 36% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.24%
- Current HPI
- 280.1006
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.89%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-23.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — LERA
- 2026-06-09 Contingent — LERA
- 2026-05-15 Listed $130,000 LERA
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2025-05-16 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-04-22 Contingent — LERA
- 2025-04-01 Listed $130,000 LERA
- 2022-11-10 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2022-11-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-11-09 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2022-10-30 Pending — LERA
- 2022-10-18 Price Changed $166,000 LERA
- 2022-10-17 Relisted — LERA
- 2022-08-08 Pending — LERA
- 2022-07-29 Price Changed $155,000 LERA
- 2022-07-22 Listed $170,000 LERA
- 2011-12-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,688 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…