2709 Peerless Ave · Oildale, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 39 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 45 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$249,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unlock the potential of this value-packed property located at 2709 Peerless Ave. This home presents a fantastic opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add to their rental portfolio. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for your vision and upgrades to maximize its full potential. Situated on a spacious lot, the home offers ample room for expansion, outdoor enhancements, or additional income-producing possibilities. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major transportation routes, making it attractive for future tenants or resale. Whether you're looking for your next fix-and-flip project or a long-term cash-flow investment, this property is priced to move and full of upside. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on a high-potential Bakersfield investment!
Key facts
- Outdoor enhancements
- Spacious lot
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-190 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (13.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Oildale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#680 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Standard Elementary (suburban): math 16% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #1,227 of 1,400 in CA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Highland Elementary (729 students, 84% FRL); Standard Middle (991 students, 88% FRL); North High (reading 75%, 2,214 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 66% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.26%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $338,803
- List price
- $249,990
- Delta
- -26.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245 Sherman Peak Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,737 (-3%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $216 | 86 |
| 505 Orchid Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,721 (-4%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $212 | 66 |
| 507 Meadow Grove Ct | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,724 (-3%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $247 | 65 |
| 401 Pilot Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,696 (-5%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $147 | 64 |
| 3500 Timberline St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,617 (-9%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $247 | 55 |
| 3512 Timberline St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 1,582 (-11%) | 4mo | $360,000 | $228 | 54 |
| 913 Elizabeth Ct | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 2,008 (+13%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $169 | 50 |
| 444 Rian Noelle Ct | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,906 (+7%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $226 | 48 |
| 305 Borman Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,523 (-15%) | 0mo | $365,000 | $240 | 48 |
| 608 Orchid Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (-9%) | 3mo | $390,000 | $240 | 46 |
| 2104 Watson St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,528 (-14%) | 3mo | $333,000 | $218 | 45 |
| 331 Francis St | 0.63mi | 3/1.8 (-1) | 1,556 (-13%) | 3mo | $371,500 | $239 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-54,142
- Equity at exit
- $37,274
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-68,895
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $69,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93308
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,085 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$422 /mo · $5,066/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $-190
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-49 | -5% $-119 | +0% $-190 | +5% $-261 | +10% $-332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-355 | -5% $-272 | +0% $-190 | +5% $-108 | +10% $-25 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-64 | -0.5pp $-127 | base $-190 | +0.5pp $-255 | +1.0pp $-321 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,498
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2413 Ashby St Unit 1 Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,750 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 208 Electra Ave Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2001 Bedford Way Bakersfield, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 408 Brite Meadow Ct Bakersfield, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2486 | $2,795 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 524 Sunset Meadow Ln Bakersfield, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,150 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2609 Violet Ct Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 706 Orchid Dr Apt A Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 709 Francis St Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 821-char remark
Show marketing remark (821 chars)
Unlock the potential of this value-packed property located at 2709 Peerless Ave. This home presents a fantastic opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add to their rental portfolio. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for your vision and upgrades to maximize its full potential. Situated on a spacious lot, the home offers ample room for expansion, outdoor enhancements, or additional income-producing possibilities. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major transportation routes, making it attractive for future tenants or resale. Whether you're looking for your next fix-and-flip project or a long-term cash-flow investment, this property is priced to move and full of upside. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on a high-potential Bakersfield investment!
-
2026-04-02$249,990 Active 821-char remark
Show marketing remark (821 chars)
Unlock the potential of this value-packed property located at 2709 Peerless Ave. This home presents a fantastic opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add to their rental portfolio. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property is ready for your vision and upgrades to maximize its full potential. Situated on a spacious lot, the home offers ample room for expansion, outdoor enhancements, or additional income-producing possibilities. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major transportation routes, making it attractive for future tenants or resale. Whether you're looking for your next fix-and-flip project or a long-term cash-flow investment, this property is priced to move and full of upside. Don't miss this chance to capitalize on a high-potential Bakersfield investment!
-
2022-06-10soldstatus $315,000 Sold 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
North Bakersfield! Step right up, come on in- If you'd like to take the grand tour of a One Owner Home'' awaiting the next buyer! A jewel of home- good bones and a great floor plan! Home features 4 bedrooms (One bedroom is massive in sized) 2 bath home. Home has new interior paint throughout, new Flooring, New Drain line installed recently, New Pex Plumbing, and Roof Cert on File. A great porch to sit and make new memories, great yard for gatherings. Come by and see this jewel for yourself. You will feel the love the previous owner of 66 years (yes that is correct -one owner, 6 decades! )- you can be owner #2. Located next to Shopping and restaurants!
-
2022-06-10soldstatus $315,000
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
North Bakersfield! Step right up, come on in- If you'd like to take the grand tour of a One Owner Home'' awaiting the next buyer! A jewel of home- good bones and a great floor plan! Home features 4 bedrooms (One bedroom is massive in sized) 2 bath home. Home has new interior paint throughout, new Flooring, New Drain line installed recently, New Pex Plumbing, and Roof Cert on File. A great porch to sit and make new memories, great yard for gatherings. Come by and see this jewel for yourself. You will feel the love the previous owner of 66 years (yes that is correct -one owner, 6 decades! )- you can be owner #2. Located next to Shopping and restaurants!
-
2022-05-14status Pending 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
North Bakersfield! Step right up, come on in- If you'd like to take the grand tour of a One Owner Home'' awaiting the next buyer! A jewel of home- good bones and a great floor plan! Home features 4 bedrooms (One bedroom is massive in sized) 2 bath home. Home has new interior paint throughout, new Flooring, New Drain line installed recently, New Pex Plumbing, and Roof Cert on File. A great porch to sit and make new memories, great yard for gatherings. Come by and see this jewel for yourself. You will feel the love the previous owner of 66 years (yes that is correct -one owner, 6 decades! )- you can be owner #2. Located next to Shopping and restaurants!
-
2022-04-25$315,000 Active 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
North Bakersfield! Step right up, come on in- If you'd like to take the grand tour of a One Owner Home'' awaiting the next buyer! A jewel of home- good bones and a great floor plan! Home features 4 bedrooms (One bedroom is massive in sized) 2 bath home. Home has new interior paint throughout, new Flooring, New Drain line installed recently, New Pex Plumbing, and Roof Cert on File. A great porch to sit and make new memories, great yard for gatherings. Come by and see this jewel for yourself. You will feel the love the previous owner of 66 years (yes that is correct -one owner, 6 decades! )- you can be owner #2. Located next to Shopping and restaurants!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,066 · $422/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,066 · $422/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 39 unhealthy d/yr today · 45 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,003
- − Property taxes
- −$5,066
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,002
- − Management
- −$2,002
- − Depreciation
- −$7,272
- Taxable loss
- −$6,574
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,578
- After-tax cash flow
- $-703/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Standard Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0637890
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,574
- Composite
- 21.42/100
- National rank
- #13640
- State rank
- #1227 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Oildale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #680
- US rank
- #20848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oildale, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,078
- Household income
- $62,445
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2931.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.52%
- Current HPI
- 825.65
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.22%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-20.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — AVMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $249,990 AVMLS
- 2022-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-10 Sold (MLS) $315,000 GEMLS
- 2022-05-14 Pending — GEMLS
- 2022-04-25 Listed $315,000 GEMLS
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,066 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…