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4151 Columbia River Rd
D+ Composite 45.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,795

4151 Columbia River Rd · Pasco, WA 99301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,269 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1954 1.35 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

We do not accept 3rd party applications or viewing requests. 4 Bedroom, 3.5 Bath 1,943 sqft Home in Pasco Exceptional 4-bedroom, 3.5 bath home in Pasco available now. The stunning main kitchen boasts wood cabinets, stainless appliances and open shelving. With beautiful flooring throughout this home all feels spacious and welcoming. The primary suite has a private ensuite bathroom with dual vessel sinks. 2 additional bedrooms offer additional space and options. On the other end of the house is a complete ADU with a kitchen, living room, bedroom, & bathroom/laundry room. A large bonus room connects the two spaces seamlessly. Every detail has been well curated throughout. You are going t

Key facts

  • Main kitchen
  • Dual vessel sinks
  • Stainless appliances

Tags

MAIN KITCHENSTAINLESS APPLIANCESOPEN SHELVINGPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOMDUAL VESSEL SINKSCOMPLETE ADU

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two total parking spaces; Two covered parking spaces; Two-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built on owned lot; One level / single-story; New construction
  • Construction: Built as site-built construction
  • Exterior features: Lot is approximately 1.35 acres; Zoned for single-family residential

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $3k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $3k).
  • Cap rate 718.6% vs local median 3.0% in Pasco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#104 in WA, #1,999 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-.
  • Pasco School District (suburban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #242 of 291 in WA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 705 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 981 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (517 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $19 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $84 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $783 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $2,795

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
76.01%
Cap rate
718.62%
Cash-on-cash
2544.02%
DSCR
114.19
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
132.76×
Total profit
$103,112
Equity at exit
$417
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
278.78×
Total profit
$217,391
Equity at exit
$242

Cash invested: $783 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99301

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
705
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,125 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$15
Tax est. 1.5%
$3 /mo · $42/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$1,659

Break-even live

Break-even rent $24
Max offer price $2,795
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$699
Closing costs
$84
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,795 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,795 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 695-char remark
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $2,795 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,495
− Mortgage interest
−$157
− Property taxes
−$42
− Insurance
−$14
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,040
− Management
−$2,040
− Depreciation
−$81
Taxable income
$21,122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,069
After-tax cash flow
$14,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco School District
NCES district ID
5306570
Math proficiency
31% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,454
Composite
33.78/100
National rank
#10401
State rank
#242 of 291 in WA

Livability — Pasco

Score
79/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1999

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Franklin County · 87,044 people
City population
87,044
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
Population (ZIP)
87,044
Household income
$87,951
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
1556.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,530 people
By 2030
118,705 · +9.4%
By 2040
140,053 · +29.0%
By 2050
162,360 · +49.6%
By 2075
217,667 · +100.6%
By 2100
264,533 · +143.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% White 37% Two or more races 22% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 47% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.7) · D 37.4% · R 60.1% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.0pp toward D · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -22.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.7 2020: R+14.5 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -331.74%
Current HPI
284.481
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $2,795 PACMLS
  • 2026-06-14 Price Changed $2,795 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-06-13 Listed for Rent $2,500 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2021): $2,825 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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