4729 Court · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$46,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This three bedroom and one bath home is located in the Central Park Subdivision. Detached one-car garage. It is in need of investor TLC i. e. repair and updating. Sold in an as is condition. Homes that have been rehabbed and flipped within the Central Park subdivision have pushed market values exponentially higher of late. Located within five minutes of Ensley Five Points.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $46k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $318 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.45%
- DSCR
- 3.42
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,590
- List price
- $46,000
- Delta
- -29.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4732 Terrace | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (-2%) | 0mo | $29,500 | $26 | 95 |
| 4829 Avenue | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,247 (+9%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $40 | 75 |
| 4728 Terrace | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (+11%) | 4mo | $29,900 | $23 | 72 |
| 1836 Bessemer Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,258 (+10%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $44 | 67 |
| 1604 44th St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-4%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 1113 51st St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,231 (+7%) | 3mo | $204,900 | $166 | 59 |
| 1515 35th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,205 (+5%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $66 | 58 |
| 3300 Avenue Q | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,227 (+7%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $29 | 56 |
| 2526 SW Lee Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,095 (-5%) | 6mo | $18,000 | $16 | 55 |
| 1508 W 51st St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,264 (+10%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $24 | 47 |
| 1601 48th St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,313 (+14%) | 7mo | $84,900 | $65 | 47 |
| 1523 44th St E | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (+14%) | 5mo | $133,000 | $102 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $34,923
- Equity at exit
- $6,859
- IRR
- 63.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.87×
- Total profit
- $101,417
- Equity at exit
- $3,977
Cash invested: $12,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,154 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$241
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $584
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,500
- Closing costs
- $1,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4732 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1372 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 4736 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4637 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $975 | $0.80 | 2d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4813 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,125 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4801 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,000 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4825 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2017 48th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2133 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1308 | $1,300 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4724 Court R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $895 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2520 Avenue U Unit A Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1757 48th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,295 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4619 Terrace Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3221 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1617 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,030 | $0.73 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1607 43rd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,150 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1820 33rd St W Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $1,495 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3009 Prince Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,095 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 208 22nd St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1933 Saint Charles Ct SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1069 | $950 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,037 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1606 49th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $975 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2028 Lee Ter SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $695 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 312 25th St SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1159 | $1,000 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,123 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $875 | $0.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2026 Lee Ct SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,100 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2216 Lee Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $900 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1632 51st St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,000 | $0.75 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1632 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,100 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1436 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,495 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1528 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,073 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $46,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $46,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $46,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $46,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $46,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $46,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $46,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $46,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $46,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $46,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $46,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $46,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $46,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-03-07price $46,000 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
This three bedroom and one bath home is located in the Central Park Subdivision. Detached one-car garage. It is in need of investor TLC i. e. repair and updating. Sold in an as is condition. Homes that have been rehabbed and flipped within the Central Park subdivision have pushed market values exponentially higher of late. Located within five minutes of Ensley Five Points.
-
2026-02-02$46,900 Active 375-char remark
Show marketing remark (375 chars)
This three bedroom and one bath home is located in the Central Park Subdivision. Detached one-car garage. It is in need of investor TLC i. e. repair and updating. Sold in an as is condition. Homes that have been rehabbed and flipped within the Central Park subdivision have pushed market values exponentially higher of late. Located within five minutes of Ensley Five Points.
-
2012-08-16soldstatus $40,000
-
2011-06-17soldstatus $40,000
-
2001-07-03soldstatus $57,500
-
1998-06-10soldstatus $17,000
-
1984-05-01soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $798 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $798 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,577
- − Property taxes
- −$798
- − Insurance
- −$230
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,107
- − Management
- −$1,107
- − Depreciation
- −$1,338
- Taxable income
- $6,685
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,604
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+162.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $46,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $46,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2012-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2011-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 1998-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 1984-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $798 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…