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25627 Paige St
B- Composite 66.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

25627 Paige St · Roseville, MI 48066
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 990 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1940 5,663 sqft lot $111/sqft · 29% below area Est $157k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bungalow with living room, Kitchen with appliances and laundry room. Forced air furnace. One entry room near the full bathroom and one upper bedroom. Clean and move in ready. Good Location Fenced Yard.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Laundry room
  • Full bathroom

Tags

KITCHEN WITH APPLIANCESLAUNDRY ROOMFORCED AIR FURNACEFULL BATHROOMFENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.0% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
  • Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 17 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 9058% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $110k implies a 671% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.73%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,627
List price
$109,900
Delta
-29.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26234 Woodmont St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-3%) 1mo $124,000 $129 68
26637 Wenfield St 0.53mi 2/1.0 945 (-4%) 1mo $122,000 $129 67
25383 Lawn St 0.52mi 2/1.0 1,050 (+6%) 1mo $75,000 $71 65
26641 Ridgemont St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-3%) 4mo $133,000 $139 60
26153 Nagel St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-7%) 2mo $101,000 $109 54
26140 Nagel St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-7%) 5mo $96,000 $104 53
26512 Kathy St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-7%) 4mo $150,000 $162 52
26621 Kathy St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-7%) 0mo $155,900 $169 52
25287 Leach St 0.74mi 2/1.0 1,072 (+8%) 1mo $108,500 $101 51
25323 Fern St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 895 (-10%) 5mo $115,000 $128 48
15738 Frazho Rd 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,131 (+14%) 1mo $165,000 $146 47
26501 Clancy St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-7%) 4mo $154,900 $168 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-5,350
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,441
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48066

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,367 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,499/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,051
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $312 -5% $281 +0% $250 +5% $218 +10% $187
Rent -10% $142 -5% $196 +0% $250 +5% $304 +10% $358
Rate -1.0pp $305 -0.5pp $277 base $250 +0.5pp $221 +1.0pp $192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17639 Oakdale St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 812 $1,200 $1.48 45d 1 0.51mi
26511 Grandmont St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,495 $1.56 5d 1 0.58mi
25184 Wiseman St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 895 $1,750 $1.96 22d 1 0.58mi
25184 Wiseman St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 4d 1 0.58mi
26153 Nagel St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,500 $1.62 15d 1 0.61mi
26536 Kathy St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,499 $1.50 25d 1 0.64mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 103 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 44d 1 0.72mi
16840 E 11 Mile Rd Unit 109 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 44d 1 0.72mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 22d 3 0.72mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 104 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 44d 1 0.72mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 25d 3 0.72mi
16944 E 11 Mile Rd Unit C2 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 25d 1 0.74mi
26221 Pinehurst St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 2d 1 0.74mi
26251 Pinehurst St Unit 251d Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.75mi
26291 Pinehurst St Unit 291c Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 44d 1 0.76mi
17455 Wildwood St Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $975 $1.22 25d 1 0.79mi
26711 Lehner St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,575 $1.64 25d 1 0.89mi
27241 Woodmont St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,550 $1.68 2d 1 0.95mi
25107 Rosenbusch Blvd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 903 $1,523 $1.69 15d 1 1.00mi
17491 Allen St Unit 17491 Allen Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 5d 1 1.00mi
26160 Regency Club Dr Warren, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $1,470 $1.45 2d 15 1.02mi
25202 Firwood Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 25d 1 1.06mi
25672 Lira Ln Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 831 $1,250 $1.50 18d 1 1.15mi
17392 Tennyson St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,649 $1.83 2d 1 1.17mi
27415 Gratiot Ave Unit 1 Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 18d 1 1.21mi
17405 Ivanhoe St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,600 $1.65 44d 1 1.25mi
18308 Mesle St Unit 1032362P Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 742 $3,072 $4.14 5d 1 1.44mi
18340 Mesle St Unit 1032351P Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 742 $3,167 $4.27 10d 1 1.46mi
27850 Gratiot Ave Unit 1032354P Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 742 $3,590 $4.84 2d 1 1.47mi
18355 Mesle St Unit 1032347P Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 742 $3,878 $5.23 12d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    price $109,900 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Bungalow with living room, Kitchen with appliances and laundry room. Forced air furnace. One entry room near the full bathroom and one upper bedroom. Clean and move in ready. Good Location Fenced Yard.

  15. 2026-04-28
    price $109,900 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Bungalow with living room, Kitchen with appliances and laundry room. Forced air furnace. One entry room near the full bathroom and one upper bedroom. Clean and move in ready. Good Location Fenced Yard.

  16. 2026-04-28
    price $109,900
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Bungalow with living room, Kitchen with appliances and laundry room. Forced air furnace. One entry room near the full bathroom and one upper bedroom. Clean and move in ready. Good Location Fenced Yard.

  17. 2026-03-14
    listed $1,200
  18. 2026-03-14
    historical $1,200
  19. 2026-02-25
    status Active
  20. 2026-02-24
    historical
  21. 2026-01-30
    listed $119,900 Active 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Bungalow with living room, Kitchen with appliances and laundry room. Forced air furnace. One entry room near the full bathroom and one upper bedroom. Clean and move in ready. Good Location Fenced Yard.

  22. 2026-01-30
    listed $119,900 Active 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Bungalow with living room, Kitchen with appliances and laundry room. Forced air furnace. One entry room near the full bathroom and one upper bedroom. Clean and move in ready. Good Location Fenced Yard.

  23. 2026-01-30
    listed $119,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Bungalow with living room, Kitchen with appliances and laundry room. Forced air furnace. One entry room near the full bathroom and one upper bedroom. Clean and move in ready. Good Location Fenced Yard.

  24. 2026-01-08
    listed $1,200
  25. 2015-11-23
    soldstatus $14,250 Sold
  26. 2015-11-23
    soldstatus $14,250
  27. 2015-11-02
    historical
  28. 2015-11-01
    historical
  29. 2015-10-16
    price $16,500
  30. 2015-10-02
    price $17,500
  31. 2015-09-20
    status Active
  32. 2015-09-15
    historical
  33. 2015-08-28
    price $18,000
  34. 2015-08-03
    price $20,000
  35. 2015-07-21
    price $22,000
  36. 2015-07-12
    listed $25,500 Active
  37. 2015-07-11
    listed $16,500
  38. 2014-07-02
    soldstatus $10,500
  39. 2014-07-02
    soldstatus $10,500
  40. 2014-07-02
    soldstatus $10,500
  41. 2014-06-16
    historical
  42. 2014-06-09
    listed $12,500
  43. 2014-06-09
    listed $12,500
  44. 2014-06-09
    listed $12,500
  45. 2014-06-09
    historical
  46. 2014-06-09
    historical
  47. 2014-05-22
    listed $14,900
  48. 2014-05-22
    listed $14,900
  49. 2014-05-22
    historical
  50. 2014-05-22
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,499 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,499 · $208/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,403
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$2,499
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,312
− Management
−$1,312
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$1,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$331
After-tax cash flow
$2,664/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roseville Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630210
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,590
Composite
14.98/100
National rank
#9363
State rank
#483 of 540 in MI

Livability — Roseville

Score
72/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#6400

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roseville, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
47,123
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,123
Household income
$62,182
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1712.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -232.95%
Current HPI
217.4171
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+637.6% since first listed
41 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $1,200 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-03-14 Rental Removed $1,200 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-02-25 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed for Rent $1,200 REALSOURCE
  • 2015-11-23 Sold (MLS) $14,250 REALCOMP
  • 2015-11-23 Sold (MLS) $14,250 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-11-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-11-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-10-16 Price Changed $16,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-10-02 Price Changed $17,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-09-20 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2015-09-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-08-28 Price Changed $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-08-03 Price Changed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-21 Price Changed $22,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-12 Listed $25,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-11 Listed $16,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-02 Sold (MLS) $10,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-02 Sold (MLS) $10,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-02 Sold (MLS) $10,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-06-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-06-09 Listed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-09 Listed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-09 Listed $12,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-22 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-22 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-22 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
  • 2014-03-13 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-03-13 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,499 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…