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163 E 1st St
A Composite 85.35
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$43,000

163 E 1st St · Mansfield, OH 44902
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,582 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1915 4,356 sqft lot $27/sqft · 34% below area Est $66k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Single family home fenced in on a corner lot offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, attached garage. This home offers a lot of potential for investors or handy man.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1915

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (side load); On-street parking; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1915; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Block and stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Full basement; Living area approximately 1,582

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $43k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 4.2% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#224 in OH, #3,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities D-.
  • Mansfield City (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #590 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($297 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $41,710 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
19.26%
Cash-on-cash
46.32%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,554
List price
$43,000
Delta
-34.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Hedges St 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,672 (+6%) 1mo $24,900 $15 83
268 Superior St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,498 (-5%) 1mo $38,000 $25 80
223 Hedges St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,687 (+7%) 1mo $14,000 $8 71
195 Hedges St 0.23mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,483 (-6%) 1mo $141,500 $95 71
223 E 2nd St 0.15mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,483 (-6%) 9mo $134,000 $90 68
153 Hedges St 0.14mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,483 (-6%) 12mo $134,990 $91 66
203 Home Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,748 (+10%) 2mo $38,000 $22 63
11 Blanche St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,560 (-1%) 13mo $42,000 $27 60
175 S Mulberry St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,405 (-11%) 3mo $100,000 $71 56
11 Hoffer Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,528 (-3%) 9mo $92,700 $61 51
274 S Main St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,656 (+5%) 12mo $75,000 $45 50
22 Small Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,394 (-12%) 3mo $137,600 $99 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.6%
Equity multiple
5.04×
Total profit
$48,605
Equity at exit
$33,998
10-year hold
IRR
53.4%
Equity multiple
10.90×
Total profit
$119,205
Equity at exit
$68,796

Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44902

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,022 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$225
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,186/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433
Max offer price $43,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,750
Closing costs
$1,290
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
147 Ford St Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.5 1286 $995 $0.77 44d 1 0.52mi
243 W 1st St Mansfield, OH 4.0 1.0 1470 $1,195 $0.81 44d 1 0.77mi
275 Cliffbrook Dr Mansfield, OH 2.0 1.5 1200 $925 $0.77 44d 1 1.26mi
520 Lida St Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $850 $0.65 44d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $43,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $43,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $43,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $43,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $43,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $43,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $43,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $43,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $43,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $43,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $43,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $43,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $43,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $43,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $43,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $43,000 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $43,000 Active 156-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,186 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,186 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,258
− Mortgage interest
−$2,409
− Property taxes
−$1,186
− Insurance
−$215
− Repairs & maintenance
−$981
− Management
−$981
− Depreciation
−$1,251
Taxable income
$5,236
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,257
After-tax cash flow
$4,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mansfield City
NCES district ID
3904429
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,435
Composite
23.25/100
National rank
#7934
State rank
#590 of 656 in OH

Livability — Mansfield

Score
76/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#3525

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mansfield, OH
County
Richland · 128,966 people
City population
16,349
Metro
Mansfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
4,876
Household income
$31,619
Rent vs Own
64.9% rent · 35.1% own
Severe rent burden
13.2

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
115,577 people
By 2030
111,669 · -3.4%
By 2040
103,323 · -10.6%
By 2050
95,135 · -17.7%
By 2075
76,719 · -33.6%
By 2100
57,188 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.45%
Current HPI
302.035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $43,000 CBRMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,186 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…