2962 Greenwood Ave · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special! This turnkey 2BR/1BA home is rental-ready and offers immediate cash-flow potential. A great addition to any investment portfolio.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 176 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.3% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 3800% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.58%
- DSCR
- 3.70
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $24,208
- List price
- $39,000
- Delta
- 61.10%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2932 Greenwood Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (+10%) | 13mo | $17,900 | $21 | 70 |
| 2821 Greenview Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 832 (+8%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $36 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $30,118
- Equity at exit
- $5,815
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.05×
- Total profit
- $77,022
- Equity at exit
- $3,372
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,045 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $645/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $551
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 W McDowell Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 43d | 18 | 0.53mi |
| 225 W McDowell Rd Apt L2 Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $750 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2858 Fairhill Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 346 Mason Blvd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 346 Mason Blvd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2786 Brookwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3645 Lee Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $895 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3875 Interstate 55 Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 422 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1049 | $1,426 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $39,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $39,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-05-17historical
-
2026-05-15price $950
-
2026-03-31price $900
-
2026-02-08price $49,000
-
2026-02-07price $950
-
2026-01-07price $900
-
2026-01-05$1,000
-
2025-12-22historical $1,000
-
2025-12-20$1,000
-
2025-12-18$57,500 Active
-
2025-08-22historical $1,000
-
2025-07-25$1,000
-
2023-03-20soldstatus
-
1974-09-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $645 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $645 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$645
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,003
- − Management
- −$1,003
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $6,377
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,531
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,085/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+4800.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $950 Avail
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $900 Avail
- 2026-02-08 Price Changed $49,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $950 Avail
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $900 Avail
- 2026-01-05 Listed for Rent $1,000 Avail
- 2025-12-22 Rental Removed $1,000 Avail
- 2025-12-20 Listed for Rent $1,000 Avail
- 2025-12-18 Listed $57,500 MLSU
- 2025-08-22 Rental Removed $1,000 Avail
- 2025-07-25 Listed for Rent $1,000 Avail
- 2023-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1974-09-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $645 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…